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Use a graph of aggregate demand and supply to demonstrate how lags in the policy process can result in undesirable fluctuations in output and inflation.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The diagram which suggests how the lags in policy implementations results in undesirable fluctuations, is as follows:

The lags in policy implementations might mean that the effects of the looser monetary policy come in after the economy starts to recover from a recession. Then, policymakers have to tighten monetary policy again, resulting in more volatility in output and inflation levels.

Step by step solution

01

Concept Introduction

Inflation refers to the sustained increase in the general price level. It leads to a decline in the value of money.

02

Graph

The diagram which suggests how the lags in policy implementation results in unpredictable fluctuations, is as follows:

Where,

- LRAS is the long run aggregate supply

- SRAS is the short run aggregate supply

- AD is the aggregate demand

- E is the equilibrium point.

03

Explanation

Assume the financial system is in a recession at point E, and policymakers want to maintain output stability. With the provided assumption about the economy, policymakers may also want to devise a strategy to shift the aggregate demand curve rightwards at AD1 in order to stabilize the economy. However, lags in the economy may make it more difficult to implement the new policy. If the financial system begins to recover before the new policy is implemented, aggregate demand could be increased beyond its potential production as soon as the policy is implemented.

If the aggregate demand expands beyond its possible output at E1, it will result in higher inflation than planned. If policymakers attempt to rectify this issue once inflation rises, they will have to tighten monetary policy. Aggregate demand will shift leftwards lower back to AD1, an excellent way to raise the unpredictability of inflation and output once more.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

For aggregate demand shocks and permanent supply shocks, the price stability and economic activity stability objectives are consistent: Stabilizing inflation stabilizes economic activity, even in the short run. For temporary supply shocks, however, there is a trade-off between stabilizing inflation and stabilizing economic activity in the short run. In the long run, however, there is no conflict between stabilizing inflation and stabilizing economic activity.

In 2003, as the U.S. economy finally seemed poised to exit its ongoing recession, the Fed began to worry about a 鈥渟oft patch鈥 in the economy, in particular the possibility of a deflation. As a result, the Fed proactively lowered the federal funds rate from 1.75% in late 2002 to 1% by mid-2003, the lowest federal funds rate on record up to that point in time. In addition, the Fed committed to keeping the federal funds rate at this level for a considerable period of time. This policy was considered highly expansionary and was seen by some as potentially inflationary and unnecessary.

  1. How might fears of a zero lower bound justify such a policy, even if the economy was not actually in a recession?
  2. Show the impact of these policies on the MP curve and the AD/AS graph. Be sure to show the initial conditions in 2003 and the impact of the policy on the deflation threat.

What will happen if policymakers erroneously believe that the natural rate of unemployment is 7% when it is actually 5% and therefore pursue stabilization policy?

If an economy鈥檚 self-correcting mechanism works slowly, should the government necessarily pursue an activist policy to eliminate unemployment? Why or why not?

Many developing countries suffer from endemic corruption. How does this help explain why these countries鈥 economies typically have high inflation and economic stagnation? Use a graph of aggregate demand and supply to demonstrate.

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