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AJ pays full price to view The Avengers at the multiplex. After three minutes of viewing, he realizes that the movie is worse than anything he could be watching on \(\mathrm{TV}\) at home. Yet he stays to the end, "because I paid \(\$ 9\) for the ticket." What behavioral bias has AJ fallen victim to? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified
AJ is experiencing the sunk cost fallacy, causing him to stay for the whole movie because he already paid $9 for the ticket.

Step by step solution

01

Identify AJ's behavior

AJ decided to stay and watch the movie to the end despite not enjoying it after the initial three minutes.
02

Recognize why AJ stays

AJ's decision to stay is based on his reasoning that he already paid $9 for the ticket, hence he wants to get his money's worth.
03

Identify the behavioral bias

AJ has fallen victim to the 'sunk cost fallacy.' This is when an individual continues a behavior or endeavor due to previously invested resources (time, money, effort).
04

Explain the sunk cost fallacy

The sunk cost fallacy leads to irrational decision making, as the cost that has already been incurred (in this case the price of the ticket) should not normally affect the current decision to stay or leave.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sunk Cost Fallacy
Imagine you've already paid for something, like a movie ticket, and you find yourself not enjoying the activity. Yet, you decide to stick with it. This is a classic example of the "sunk cost fallacy." The idea here is simple: you've already invested resources, so you feel compelled to continue, even if it's not beneficial. However, the money you've spent is not recoverable—hence the term "sunk cost."

The logical approach would be to make decisions based on current and future benefits, rather than past investments. For example, if AJ wasn't enjoying the movie, the best choice would have been to leave and do something more enjoyable.

It's crucial to understand:
  • The past is unchangeable; you can't get the money back.
  • Focus on maximizing happiness and efficiency from the present onward.

Separating emotional attachments to past investments can help make more rational decisions.
Rational Decision Making
Rational decision making involves logical reasoning and analysis to make decisions that maximize an individual's well-being. It requires weighing current costs and benefits to choose the most favorable outcome. Unlike the irrational path taken under the sunk cost fallacy, rational decision making focuses on present and future gains.

Here's how rational decision making could have changed AJ's situation:
  • Acknowledging that the $9 cost is "sunk"—already spent and unrecoverable.
  • Evaluating current enjoyment versus dissatisfaction.
  • Choosing to spend time doing something more fulfilling.

By applying rational decision making, individuals can ensure their actions are aligned with their current preferences and not be swayed by past investments.
Behavioral Biases
Behavioral biases often derail otherwise sound decision making. They are cognitive shortcuts or tendencies that can lead to less optimal outcomes. Everyone is susceptible to these biases, and understanding them is crucial for making better choices.

The two key biases discussed here are:
  • Sunk Cost Fallacy: Continuing a behavior due to previously invested resources.
  • Confirmation Bias: Favoring information that confirms pre-existing beliefs while disregarding contrary evidence (not explicitly part of AJ's situation, but worth noting as a common roadblock in rational thinking).

Awareness of these biases helps in recognizing when they're influencing decisions. By doing so, it's possible to steer towards more rational and beneficial outcomes.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Consider the dictator game, a two-player game often played in experimental economics labs. In the dictator game, one player (the dictator) is given an amount of money and then instructed to give some arbitrary portion of it to an anonymous second player. The second player must accept whatever the first player offers, if anything. a. According to traditional economic theory, what should the first player offer the second? b. In experimental settings, the average offer given to the second player is about \(30 \%\) of the initial amount. Explain how such an offer might not be motivated by an innate sense of fairness.

You have just graduated from college and receive two job offers doing identical work. Firm A offers you \(\$ 40,000\) per year and informs you that your coworkers will make the same. Firm B offers you \(\$ 38,000\) per year and informs you that your coworkers will make \(\$ 35,000\). a. Which job offer does economic theory predict you will take? b. When experimental subjects were asked which job would make them happier, well over half indicated that they preferred Firm B. Can you think of a systematic bias that might lead people to prefer a job that pays less for identical work? Explain.

Connor and Marie are in a relationship with each other, a relationship punctuated by constant bickering and mistrust. "Connor," Marie's friends tell her, "is a jerk. Why on earth don't you leave him?" To which Marie responds, "Silly, we've been together for 9 years! I can't just throw away those years!" Explain how Marie has fallen victim to the sunk cost fallacy.

"The most heartfelt gifts are anonymous ones." Explain this statement, drawing on your knowledge of utility functions that account for behavioral traits.

Siblings Sacha and Simon love basketball - and there's nothing better for a basketball fan than March Madness! If they had the chance to attend an NCAA tournament game today, each would value an Elite Eight game at \(\$ 1,000,\) a Final Four game at \(\$ 1,600,\) and a Championship game at \(\$ 1,800 .\) A benevolent aunt offers Sacha and Simon one ticket each to a game of their choosing: Elite Eight, Final Four, or Championship. But there's the hitch; the benevolent aunt is slightly controlling! The siblings can attend an Elite Eight game this year, but if they choose a Final Four game, they'll have to wait one year, and if they want to see the Championship game, they'll have to wait for \(t\) wo years. a. Suppose Sacha discounts each year of waiting at \(10 \%\). Which option will she choose today? b. Suppose Simon discounts hyperbolically so that something a year away is always discounted at \(30 \%,\) while horizons beyond the first year are discounted at \(10 \%\). Which option will Simon choose today? c. Next year, Simon and Sacha's aunt tells them, "You've waited so patiently. If you'd like to see the Final Four game today, you can. Or, you can wait and see next year's Championship game." What will Simon and Sacha do? d. Explain why Sacha's preferences are time-consistent, but Simon's aren't.

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