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As a New Year's gift to yourself, you buy your roommate's 1976 Ford Pinto. She has given you the option of two payment plans. Under Plan A, you pay \(\$ 500\) now, plus \(\$ 500\) at the beginning of each of the next two years. Under Plan B, you would pay nothing down, but \(\$ 800\) at the beginning of each of the next two years. a. Calculate the present value of each plan's payments if interest rates are \(10 \%\). Should you choose Plan A or Plan B? b. Recalculate the present value of each plan's payments using a \(20 \%\) interest rate. Should you choose Plan A or Plan B? c. Explain why your answers to (a) and (b) differ.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Choose Plan A at 10% interest, and Plan B at 20% interest. Higher interest rates increase the discount effect on future payments.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Present Value Concept

The present value (PV) of a payment amount is the current equivalent value of future payments discounted at a specific interest rate over time. This is calculated using the formula: \( PV = \frac{C}{(1 + r)^t} \), where \( C \) is the future cash flow, \( r \) is the interest rate, and \( t \) is the time in years.
02

Calculate Present Value for Plan A at 10%

Plan A payments consist of \(500\) now, \(500\) at year 1, and \(500\) at year 2. Using the PV formula:- Immediate payment: \(500\) (no discount as payment is already in present value)- Year 1 payment: \(\frac{500}{(1 + 0.10)^1} = 454.55\)- Year 2 payment: \(\frac{500}{(1 + 0.10)^2} = 413.22\)Total PV for Plan A = \(500 + 454.55 + 413.22 = 1367.77\).
03

Calculate Present Value for Plan B at 10%

Plan B payments consist of \(800\) at year 1 and \(800\) at year 2. Using the PV formula:- Year 1 payment: \(\frac{800}{(1 + 0.10)^1} = 727.27\)- Year 2 payment: \(\frac{800}{(1 + 0.10)^2} = 661.16\)Total PV for Plan B = \(727.27 + 661.16 = 1388.43\).
04

Decision Making at 10% Interest

With interest at 10%, choose the plan with the lower present value. Since Plan A (1367.77) is less than Plan B (1388.43), Plan A is cheaper.
05

Calculate Present Value for Plan A at 20%

Recalculate PV for Plan A with 20% interest:- Immediate payment: \(500\)- Year 1 payment: \(\frac{500}{(1 + 0.20)^1} = 416.67\)- Year 2 payment: \(\frac{500}{(1 + 0.20)^2} = 347.22\)Total PV for Plan A = \(500 + 416.67 + 347.22 = 1263.89\).
06

Calculate Present Value for Plan B at 20%

Recalculate PV for Plan B with 20% interest:- Year 1 payment: \(\frac{800}{(1 + 0.20)^1} = 666.67\)- Year 2 payment: \(\frac{800}{(1 + 0.20)^2} = 555.56\)Total PV for Plan B = \(666.67 + 555.56 = 1222.23\).
07

Decision Making at 20% Interest

With interest at 20%, choose the plan with the lower present value. Since Plan B (1222.23) is less than Plan A (1263.89), Plan B is cheaper.
08

Explain Differences in Answers

The change in decision from Plan A at 10% to Plan B at 20% is due to the higher discounting effect at higher interest rates. Higher rates make future payments less valuable in present terms, favoring plans with fewer upfront payments.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Interest Rate
Interest rates are crucial when it comes to understanding financial decisions involving any kind of payment over time. The interest rate dictates how much the value of money decreases over time. This is because money available today has a different value than money promised in the future. For instance, when comparing plans like Plan A and Plan B in the exercise, the interest rate determines the discount that is applied to future payments to find their present worth.

Higher interest rates will cause money to depreciate in value faster because the potential to earn a return on that money is higher. This means that future payments are worth less today if interest rates are high. Conversely, lower interest rates mean that the value of future payments is closer to their face value today. This is why understanding interest rates is so essential in making choices between payment plans.
Payment Plans
Payment plans provide options for how costs can be spread out over time, which is extremely useful in budgeting and managing finances. In scenarios like buying a car, deciding between Plan A and Plan B means evaluating not just how much you pay, but also when those payments occur.
  • Plan A involves an initial payment plus future payments.
  • Plan B requires no upfront payment, but higher payments in the next two years.
Evaluating such plans requires a close look at what you can afford now versus the future, and the interest rate can play a large role in this decision.

Different plans can carry different financial impacts over time. In this exercise, Plan A demands an immediate financial commitment, which might be easier when you have access to cash. Plan B, on the other hand, defers all costs to the future, which could be better if you expect to have more funds available later. Choosing the right payment plan involves comparing their present values, which will depend on the interest rate applied.
Discounting Future Payments
Discounting future payments involves calculating what future payments are worth in present-day terms. The concept relies on the present value formula which is \( PV = \frac{C}{(1 + r)^t} \), where \( C \) is the future cash flow, \( r \) is the interest rate, and \( t \) is the time in years.

This discounting process is vital because it helps us determine the attractiveness of receiving payments over time rather than as a single upfront payment. A higher interest rate decreases the present value of future payments because the discounting effect is stronger. This means that as higher rates are applied, the future payments are worth significantly less today, which can shift the preference between payment plans.
In our exercise, comparing the future cash outflows under Plans A and B at different interest rates highlights this concept. At 10%, Plan A is more favorable because the initial immediate payment softens the impact of future discounting. But at 20%, the heavier discounting tips the balance in favor of Plan B where no upfront cost is incurred.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

You have \(\$ 832.66\) in a savings account that offers a \(5.25 \%\) interest rate. a. If you leave your money in that account for 20 years, how much will you have in the account? b. Suppose that inflation is expected to run at \(3.25 \%\) for the next 20 years. Use the real interest rate to calculate the inflation-adjusted amount your account will contain at the end of the 20 -year period. c. The amount you calculated in (b) is smaller than the amount you calculated in (a). Explain exactly what the amount you calculated in (b) tells you, and why the difference arises.

You are writing the great American novel and have signed a contract with the world's most prestigious publisher. To keep you on schedule, the publisher promises you a \(\$ 100,000\) bonus when the first draft is complete, and another \(\$ 100,000\) following revisions. You believe that you can write the first draft in a year and have the revisions done at the end of a second year. a. If interest rates are \(5 \%,\) what is the value today of the publisher's future payments? b. Suppose the publisher offers you \(\$ 80,000\) after the first draft and \(\$ 125,000\) following revisions. Is this a better deal than the original offer?

Many college graduates feel as if their student loan payments drag on forever. Suppose that the government offers the following arrangement: It will pay for your college in its entirety, and in return you will make annual payments until the end of time. a. Suppose the government asks for \(\$ 6,000\) each year for all of eternity. If interest rates currently sit at \(4 \%,\) what is the present value of the payments you will make? b. Your college charges \(\$ 140,000\) for four years of quality education. Should you take the government up on its offer to pay for your college? What if your college charged \(\$ 160,000 ?\)

Speedy Steve is a traveling salesman. His utility function is given by \(U=I^{0.5},\) where \(U\) is his utility and \(I\) is his income. Steve's income is \(\$ 900\) each week, but if Steve is caught speeding while making his rounds, he will receive a hefty fine. There is a \(50 \%\) chance he will be caught speeding in any given week and pay a fine of \(\$ 500\). a. Calculate Steve's expected income and expected utility. b. Suppose that Steve's boss offers him a position in online sales that eliminates the risk of being caught speeding. What salary would provide Steve with the same utility he expected to receive as a traveling salesman? c. Suppose instead that Steve was given the opportunity to purchase speeding ticket insurance that would pay all of his fines. What is the most Steve would be willing to pay to obtain this insurance? Explain how you arrived at this number. d. If the company issuing the insurance referred to in (c) convinces Steve to pay the amount you indicated, will the insurer earn a profit? If so, how much profit will it earn?

Marian currently makes \(\$ 40,000\) a year as a tow truck driver. She is considering a career change: For a current expenditure of \(\$ 30,000,\) she can obtain her florist's license and become a flower arranger. If she makes that career change, her earnings will rise to \(\$ 48,000\) per year. Marian has five years left to work before retirement (you may safely assume that she gets paid once at the end of each year). a. Calculate the net present value of Marian's investment in floriculture if interest rates are \(10 \%\). b. Assume that in terms of job satisfaction, floriculture and tow truck driving are identical. Should Marian change careers? c. Compare the present value of Marian's earnings as a tow truck driver to the present value of Marian's earnings as a florist. Is the difference large enough to justify spending \(\$ 30,000 ?\) d. Does the method you used in part (a) give an identical answer to the method you used in part (c)? Explain.

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