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You are writing the great American novel and have signed a contract with the world's most prestigious publisher. To keep you on schedule, the publisher promises you a \(\$ 100,000\) bonus when the first draft is complete, and another \(\$ 100,000\) following revisions. You believe that you can write the first draft in a year and have the revisions done at the end of a second year. a. If interest rates are \(5 \%,\) what is the value today of the publisher's future payments? b. Suppose the publisher offers you \(\$ 80,000\) after the first draft and \(\$ 125,000\) following revisions. Is this a better deal than the original offer?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The alternative offer (89,568.85) is better than the original (85,941.05) based on present value.

Step by step solution

01

Calculating Present Value (PV) of Future Payments

To determine the present value of the publisher's original future payments, which are \(\\( 100,000\) after the first year and \(\\) 100,000\) after the second year when the interest rate is \(5\%\), we employ the formula for present value of a future sum, \(PV = \frac{FV}{(1 + r)^n}\), where \(FV\) is the future value, \(r\) is the interest rate, and \(n\) is the number of years. First, calculate the PV for each payment separately: For the first year's payment: \[ PV_1 = \frac{100,000}{(1 + 0.05)^1} = \frac{100,000}{1.05} \approx 95,238.10 \].For the second year's payment:\[ PV_2 = \frac{100,000}{(1 + 0.05)^2} = \frac{100,000}{1.1025} \approx 90,702.95 \].
02

Adding Present Values of Original Payments

Now, sum the present values of the payments at the end of year one and year two to find the total present value of the payments today. \[ PV_{original} = 95,238.10 + 90,702.95 = 185,941.05 \].
03

Calculating Present Value (PV) of Alternative Offer

Calculate the present value for the alternate offer: \(\\( 80,000\) after one year and \(\\) 125,000\) after two years. Again, using the present value formula:For the first year's payment:\[ PV_3 = \frac{80,000}{(1 + 0.05)^1} = \frac{80,000}{1.05} \approx 76,190.48 \].For the second year's payment:\[ PV_4 = \frac{125,000}{(1 + 0.05)^2} = \frac{125,000}{1.1025} \approx 113,378.37 \].
04

Adding Present Values of Alternative Offer

Sum the present values of the payments for the alternate offer to find the total present value today:\[ PV_{alternative} = 76,190.48 + 113,378.37 = 189,568.85 \].
05

Comparison of Total Present Values

Compare the total present values of the original offer and the alternative offer:- Original offer present value: \(185,941.05\)- Alternative offer present value: \(189,568.85\)The alternative offer has a higher present value, indicating it is a better financial deal today.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Interest Rates
Interest rates play a crucial role in financial decision making. They represent the cost of borrowing money or the return on investment for savings. When you deposit money in a bank, the interest rate determines how much you earn over time. Conversely, when you take out a loan, this rate tells you how much you'll pay in addition to the principal amount.

In the context of our exercise, the interest rate of 5% is used to calculate the present value of future payments. The higher the rate, the less money today is needed to equal a future amount. This is because money has the potential to earn more if it's invested or saved, making it more valuable in the future.
  • Higher interest rates decrease present values.
  • Lower interest rates increase present values.
Understanding the impact of interest rates is essential for comparing loan offers, evaluating savings accounts, and deciding on investment opportunities.
Future Value
Future value is the amount of money you'd end up with after a certain period, assuming you invest or save a sum at a particular interest rate. It's like figuring out how much your current savings grow over time. In mathematics, future value (\(FV\)), involves a formula:

\[ FV = PV \, imes \, (1 + r)^n \]

Where:
  • \(PV\): Present Value, or the initial amount of money.
  • \(r\): Interest rate per period.
  • \(n\): Number of periods (e.g., years).
For example, if you invest \$10,000 at an interest rate of 5% for two years, the future value is:

\[ FV = 10,000 \, imes \, (1.05)^2 = 11,025 \]

In the exercise, while we're primarily focused on finding present values, understanding future value helps contextualize what those future amounts will eventually be worth after accounting for time and interest.
Present Value Formula
The present value formula is pivotal in determining the worth of future cash flows in today's terms. Often used in finance, it allows you to assess what a sum of money received in the future is equivalent to in today's dollars. The formula is:

\[ PV = \frac{FV}{(1 + r)^n} \]

Here:
  • \(FV\): The future value or the amount of money you're set to receive.
  • \(r\): The interest rate, reflecting the time value of money.
  • \(n\): The number of periods before the payment is received.
In this problem, the present value formula is used to compute the value today of payments of \\(100,000 in one year and another \\)100,000 in two years. With a 5% interest rate:
  • \( PV_1 = \frac{100,000}{1.05} \approx 95,238.10 \)
  • \( PV_2 = \frac{100,000}{1.1025} \approx 90,702.95 \)
This formula is essential for comparing offers that involve different payment structures, helping identify better financial deals.
Financial Decision Making
Financial decision making involves evaluating options and choosing the path that maximizes economic outcomes. It requires understanding both present and future values of money. Decisions often revolve around investments, savings, and comparing financial offers.

In our exercise, you have two payment options:
  • Original offer: \\(100,000 after one year and another \\)100,000 after two years.
  • Alternative offer: \\(80,000 after the first year and \\)125,000 following revisions.
By calculating the present values of these offers at a 5% interest rate, you can decide which deal provides more value today:
  • Original offer present value: \\(185,941.05
  • Alternative offer present value: \\)189,568.85
The alternative offer is the better financial deal because it has a higher present value. This illustrates the importance of assessing present values in financial decisions, helping you make informed choices that optimize your financial well-being.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

You have just purchased a Kia with a \(\$ 20,000\) price tag. The dealer offers to let you pay for your car in five equal annual installments, with the first payment due in a year. a. If the dealer finances your purchase at an interest rate of \(10 \%,\) how much will your annual payment be? b. How much would your payment be if you had purchased a \(\$ 40,000\) Camry instead of a \(\$ 20,000 \mathrm{Kia} ?\) c. How much would your payment be if you arranged to pay in 10 annual installments instead of \(5 ?\) Is your payment cut in half? Why or why not? d. How much would your payment fall if you paid \(\$ 10,000\) down at the time of purchase?

Marian currently makes \(\$ 40,000\) a year as a tow truck driver. She is considering a career change: For a current expenditure of \(\$ 30,000,\) she can obtain her florist's license and become a flower arranger. If she makes that career change, her earnings will rise to \(\$ 48,000\) per year. Marian has five years left to work before retirement (you may safely assume that she gets paid once at the end of each year). a. Calculate the net present value of Marian's investment in floriculture if interest rates are \(10 \%\). b. Assume that in terms of job satisfaction, floriculture and tow truck driving are identical. Should Marian change careers? c. Compare the present value of Marian's earnings as a tow truck driver to the present value of Marian's earnings as a florist. Is the difference large enough to justify spending \(\$ 30,000 ?\) d. Does the method you used in part (a) give an identical answer to the method you used in part (c)? Explain.

Many college graduates feel as if their student loan payments drag on forever. Suppose that the government offers the following arrangement: It will pay for your college in its entirety, and in return you will make annual payments until the end of time. a. Suppose the government asks for \(\$ 6,000\) each year for all of eternity. If interest rates currently sit at \(4 \%,\) what is the present value of the payments you will make? b. Your college charges \(\$ 140,000\) for four years of quality education. Should you take the government up on its offer to pay for your college? What if your college charged \(\$ 160,000 ?\)

You have \(\$ 832.66\) in a savings account that offers a \(5.25 \%\) interest rate. a. If you leave your money in that account for 20 years, how much will you have in the account? b. Suppose that inflation is expected to run at \(3.25 \%\) for the next 20 years. Use the real interest rate to calculate the inflation-adjusted amount your account will contain at the end of the 20 -year period. c. The amount you calculated in (b) is smaller than the amount you calculated in (a). Explain exactly what the amount you calculated in (b) tells you, and why the difference arises.

Ricardo is considering purchasing an ostrich, which he can graze for free in his backyard. Once the ostrich reaches maturity (in exactly three years), Ricardo will be able to sell it for \(\$ 2,000\). The ostrich \(\operatorname{costs} \$ 1,500\) a. Suppose that interest rates are \(8 \% .\) Calculate the net present value of the ostrich investment. Does the NPV indicate that Ricardo should buy the ostrich? b. Suppose that Ricardo passes on the ostrich deal and invests \(\$ 1,500\) in his next-best opportunity: a safe government bond yielding \(8 \% .\) How much money will he have at the end of three years? Is this outcome better or worse than buying the ostrich? c. Calculate the net present value of the ostrich if interest rates are \(11 \% .\) Does the NPV method indicate that Ricardo should buy the ostrich? d. If Ricardo passes on the ostrich deal and invests in a government bond yielding \(11 \%,\) how much money will he have at the end of three years? Is this outcome better or worse than buying the ostrich? e. Based on your answers to (b) and (d), how well does the NPV method capture the concept of opportunityc ost?

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