/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 27 Suppose that a coin is tossed th... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Suppose that a coin is tossed three times and that the random variable \(W\) represents the number of heads minus the number of tails. (a) List the elements of the sample space \(S\) for the three tosses of the coin, and to each sample point assign a value \(w\) of \(W\). (b) Find the probability distribution of \(W\), assuming that the coin is fair. (c) Find the probability distribution of \(W\), assuming that the coin is biased so that a head is twice as likely to occur as a tail.

Short Answer

Expert verified
a) Sample space: S = {HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, TTH, THT, HTT, TTT}. b) Fair coin probabilities: P(W = 3) = 1/8, P(W = 1) = 3/8, P(W = -1) = 3/8, P(W = -3) = 1/8. c) Biased coin probabilities: P(W = 3) = 8/27, P(W = 1) = 4/9, P(W = -1) = 1/9, P(W = -3) = 1/27.

Step by step solution

01

Identify sample space

To identify the sample space for the three coin tosses, consider each toss can result in either a Head (H) or a Tail (T). The sample space can be expressed as all possible sequences of three tosses: \[ S = \{ HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, TTH, THT, HTT, TTT \} \]
02

Assign values for W

For each sequence in the sample space, calculate the value of the random variable \( W \), which is the number of heads minus the number of tails. Here are the calculations for each element of \( S \):- \( HHH \): 3 heads, 0 tails, \( W = 3 - 0 = 3 \)- \( HHT \): 2 heads, 1 tail, \( W = 2 - 1 = 1 \)- \( HTH \): 2 heads, 1 tail, \( W = 2 - 1 = 1 \)- \( THH \): 2 heads, 1 tail, \( W = 2 - 1 = 1 \)- \( TTH \): 1 head, 2 tails, \( W = 1 - 2 = -1 \)- \( THT \): 1 head, 2 tails, \( W = 1 - 2 = -1 \)- \( HTT \): 1 head, 2 tails, \( W = 1 - 2 = -1 \)- \( TTT \): 0 heads, 3 tails, \( W = 0 - 3 = -3 \)
03

Calculate fair coin probabilities

Assume the coin is fair, so each outcome in the sample space is equally likely. The probability of each sequence occurring is \( \frac{1}{8} \).Calculate the probability distribution of \( W \):- \( P(W = 3) = \frac{1}{8} \) (one outcome: \( HHH \))- \( P(W = 1) = \frac{3}{8} \) (three outcomes: \( HHT, HTH, THH \))- \( P(W = -1) = \frac{3}{8} \) (three outcomes: \( TTH, THT, HTT \))- \( P(W = -3) = \frac{1}{8} \) (one outcome: \( TTT \))
04

Calculate biased coin probabilities

Assume the coin is biased such that Heads appear with probability \( \frac{2}{3} \) and Tails with probability \( \frac{1}{3} \). Calculate the probability of each sequence:- \( P(HHH) = \left( \frac{2}{3} \right)^3 = \frac{8}{27} \)- \( P(HHT) = \left( \frac{2}{3} \right)^2 \times \frac{1}{3} = \frac{4}{27} \)- \( P(HTH) = \frac{4}{27} \)- \( P(THH) = \frac{4}{27} \)- \( P(TTH) = \frac{1}{3} \times \left( \frac{1}{3} \right)^2 = \frac{1}{27} \)- \( P(THT) = \frac{1}{27} \)- \( P(HTT) = \frac{1}{27} \)- \( P(TTT) = \left( \frac{1}{3} \right)^3 = \frac{1}{27} \)Summarize the probability distribution of \( W \):- \( P(W = 3) = \frac{8}{27} \)- \( P(W = 1) = \frac{12}{27} = \frac{4}{9} \)- \( P(W = -1) = \frac{3}{27} = \frac{1}{9} \)- \( P(W = -3) = \frac{1}{27} \)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Space
In probability, the sample space is a critical foundational concept. It refers to the set of all possible outcomes of a random experiment. In the context of tossing a coin three times, the sample space encompasses every sequence resulting from these tosses. For three coin tosses, since each toss can either be heads (H) or tails (T), the sample space is written as:\[ S = \{ HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, TTH, THT, HTT, TTT \} \]This indicates that there are a total of 8 possible outcomes. The sample space shows all the outcomes where you can count the number of heads, the number of tails, or any combination as needed. Each of these sequences, known as sample points, is vital to understanding the behavior of random variables in probability distributions.
Random Variables
A random variable is a numerical description of the outcome of a random experiment. In mathematical terms, it assigns a unique number to each outcome in the sample space. In the coin toss scenario, the random variable \( W \) represents the difference between the number of heads and the number of tails. Each sequence in the sample space corresponds to a particular value of \( W \). For example, the sequence "HHH" corresponds to a \( W \) value of 3 because there are 3 heads and 0 tails, yielding \( W = 3 - 0 = 3 \). On the other hand, "THT" results in \( W = 1 - 2 = -1 \).Understanding random variables allows for the modeling of real-world phenomena, providing a way to handle uncertainty and quantify various outcomes. Such modeling is crucial when finding probability distributions, as it defines the framework upon which further calculations are based.
Biased and Unbiased Probabilities
Probabilities tell you the likelihood of an event occurring. With unbiased probabilities, every outcome is equally likely, much like an ideal "fair" coin where both heads and tails have a probability of 0.5. For our problem with three coin tosses, each sequence in the sample space, assuming a fair coin, has a probability of \( \frac{1}{8} \), since there are 8 possible sequences in the sample.Biased probabilities, however, represent scenarios where outcomes do not have equal chances. In our example, if the coin is biased such that a head is twice as likely as a tail, heads occur with probability \( \frac{2}{3} \) and tails with \( \frac{1}{3} \). This changes the probability distribution because some sequences become more likely than others. For example, the sequence "HHH" becomes more probable with a chance of \( \frac{8}{27} \) due to the coin's bias.Understanding the distinction between biased and unbiased probabilities is key in predicting and analyzing outcomes in various probability models. It helps in defining how changes in conditions affect the likelihood of different events.

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