/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 38 Suppose that the running distanc... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Suppose that the running distance (in thousands of kilometres) that car owners get from a tyre is a random variable with density function $$ f_{X}(x)=\left\\{\begin{array}{cc} \frac{1}{30} \mathrm{e}^{-x / 30} & (x>0) \\ 0 & (x \leqslant 0) \end{array}\right. $$ Find (a) the probability that one of these tyres will last at most \(19000 \mathrm{~km}\); (b) the mean and standard deviation of \(X\); (c) the median and interquartile range of \(X\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) 48.6%; (b) Mean = 30, SD = 30; (c) Median = 20.79, IQR = 41.57.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Type of Distribution

The density function given is of the form \( f_X(x) = \frac{1}{30} e^{-x/30} \), which is recognizable as the probability density function (PDF) of an exponential distribution. The exponential distribution is characterized by a parameter \( \lambda \), which is the rate parameter. Here, \( \lambda = \frac{1}{30} \). The mean \( 1/\lambda \) is the average car distance a tire would last, which helps in part (b).
02

Calculate the Probability for Part (a)

We want to find \( P(X \leq 19) \). For an exponential distribution, the cumulative distribution function (CDF) is given by \( F(x) = 1 - e^{-\lambda x} \). Thus, \[ P(X \leq 19) = 1 - e^{-19/30}. \] Plug in the numbers to calculate the probability.
03

Find the Mean for Part (b)

The mean of an exponential distribution is \( \mu = \frac{1}{\lambda} \). For this problem, \( \lambda = \frac{1}{30} \), so \( \mu = 30 \). This represents the average number in thousands of kilometers a tire lasts.
04

Calculate the Standard Deviation for Part (b)

The standard deviation of an exponential distribution is also \( \sigma = \frac{1}{\lambda} \). This gives \( \sigma = 30 \).
05

Find the Median for Part (c)

The median of an exponential distribution is found where the CDF is 0.5. Set \( 0.5 = 1 - e^{-\lambda M} \) and solve for \( M \). This gives \[ M = \frac{\ln(2)}{\lambda} = 30 \ln(2). \]
06

Calculate the Interquartile Range for Part (c)

For the interquartile range, find the 25th percentile \( Q1 \) and the 75th percentile \( Q3 \). Solve \( F(Q1) = 0.25 \) and \( F(Q3) = 0.75 \) using the CDF formula. \[ Q1 = \frac{-30 \ln(0.75)}{1} \] and \( Q3 = \frac{-30 \ln(0.25)}{1} \). The interquartile range is \( Q3 - Q1 \).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Density Function
In the world of statistics, the Probability Density Function, or PDF, is an essential concept used to specify the probability of a random variable falling within a particular range of values. For continuous random variables like in our exercise, the PDF provides a curve that represents probabilities. It does not give probabilities directly but rather allows us to compute them over an interval by integrating the function.
In the case of an exponential distribution, the PDF is defined as:
  • For any positive value of the random variable, say \( x \), the PDF is given by \( f(x) = \frac{1}{ heta} e^{-x/\theta} \), where \( \theta \) is the scale parameter, equivalent to the mean \( 1/\lambda \).
  • For \( x \leq 0 \), the PDF value is 0 since the exponential distribution is not defined for negative values.
Therefore, in our problem, the PDF \( f_{X}(x) = \frac{1}{30} e^{-x/30} \) represents an exponential distribution with a rate parameter \( \lambda = \frac{1}{30} \). This parameter is crucial as it influences how rapidly the probabilities taper off as you move away from zero.
Cumulative Distribution Function
The Cumulative Distribution Function, or CDF, is a crucial tool in statistics to find the probability that a random variable \( X \) is less than or equal to a certain value, say \( x \). It's essentially the cumulative sum of probabilities up to \( x \).
For an exponential distribution, the CDF is expressed as:
  • \( F(x) = 1 - e^{-\lambda x} \) for \( x > 0 \), where \( \lambda \) is the rate parameter.
  • For \( x \leq 0 \), the CDF is 0, reflecting no probability of "negative" values for a positive process.
In our exercise, the calculation of \( P(X \leq 19) \) involves plugging 19 into the CDF: \( F(19) = 1 - e^{-19/30} \). Solving this gives us the probability that a tire lasts at most 19000 km, which is helpful for decision-making and planning.
Mean and Standard Deviation
The mean and standard deviation are fundamental characteristics of a distribution, offering insights into its central tendency and spread.
For the exponential distribution, both these values are described with a simple relationship to the rate parameter \( \lambda \):
  • The mean \( \mu \) is given by \( \frac{1}{\lambda} \). This is the expected value, or the long-term average of the random variable. In our exercise, with \( \lambda = \frac{1}{30} \), the mean distance a tire lasts is 30 thousand km.
  • Interestingly, the standard deviation \( \sigma \) is also \( \frac{1}{\lambda} \), which indicates that the spread or variability in the data is identical to the mean for exponential distributions.
This simplicity makes the exponential distribution unique and interesting, with the mean and standard deviation providing a quick snapshot of the distribution's behavior.
Interquartile Range
The Interquartile Range (IQR) is a measure of statistical dispersion, which indicates the spread of the middle 50% of a dataset. It is the difference between the 75th percentile (\( Q3 \)) and the 25th percentile (\( Q1 \)).
For an exponential distribution, finding these percentiles involves the CDF:
  • \( Q1 \) or the 25th percentile is determined by solving \( F(Q1) = 0.25 \), which gives \( Q1 = -30 \ln(0.75) \). This represents the kilometer mark below which 25% of the tire lifespans fall.
  • \( Q3 \) or the 75th percentile is found by solving \( F(Q3) = 0.75 \), resulting in \( Q3 = -30 \ln(0.25) \). This is the kilometer mark below which 75% of the tire lifespans are found.
The IQR, \( Q3 - Q1 \), thus provides valuable information on the variability of tire lifespan not affected by extreme values or outliers, offering a robust statistical range within the distribution.

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