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Some transistors of two different kinds (call them N and P) are stored in two boxes. You know that there are 6 N’s in one box and that 2 N’s and 3 P’s got mixed in the other box, but you don’t know which box is which. You select a box and a transistorfrom it at random and find that it is an N; what is the probability that it came from the box with the 6 N’s? From the other box? If another transistor is picked from the same box as the first, what is the probability that it is also an N?

Short Answer

Expert verified

Answer

The probability the transistor is from first box is57and from second box is 27and when second transistor is picked, the probability that it is from same box is 1114.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information

There are 6Ns in first box and 2Ns and 3Ps in second box.

02

Definition of Independent Event

The events are said to be independent when the occurrence or non-occurrence of any event does not have any effect on the occurrence or non-occurrence of the other event.

03

Drawing the tree diagram for the situation

Draw the tree diagram depicting the transistor is taken from each box and corresponding probability.

04

Drawing the tree diagram for the situation

Draw the tree diagram depicting the transistor is taken from each box and corresponding probability.

05

Finding the probability that the selected transistor came from the boxes

Find the probability that selected transistor comes from first box using the Bayes Theorem and the tree diagram.

PNtransostors6NBox=P6NBoxandNTransistorPNTransistor=12×6612×66+12×25=57

Find the probability that selected transistor comes from second box by subtracting the obtained probability from 1.

PNtransistors2N,3PBox=1-PNtransistors6NBox=1-57=27

06

Finding the probability that another transistor is picked from the same box as the first and it is also an N

Find the probability that another transistor is picked from the same box as the first and it is also an N by multiplying the probability of picking the second N transistor from each box to the obtained probability corresponding to the boxes.

PSecondNtransistor=57×55+27×24=1114

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