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A basketball player succeeds in making a basket 3 tries out of 4. How many tries arenecessary in order to have probability >0.99of at least one basket?

Short Answer

Expert verified

Answer

The number of times the throw must be made to have the probability greater than 0.99is 4.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information

The probability of successful throw is34.

02

Definition of Independent Event

The events are said to be independent when the occurrence or non-occurrence of any event does not have any effect on the occurrence or non-occurrence of the other event.

When events are independent, apply the formula P(AB)=P(B)P(B)where andare the events.

03

Finding the number of times must we throw a die to have probability greater than half of getting an ace

The probability of missing the throw is14. Similarly, the probability of missing n-throws is 14n.

This implies that the probability of at least successful throw is 1-14n.

To have the probability more than0.99, 1-14n>0.99.

Solve the obtained inequality to obtain the value of n.

1-14n>0.990.01>14nIn0.01>nln14n<In0.01In0.25<3.321

The obtained value is not a whole number; thus we can assume that the required number of throws will be 4.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

(a) Set up a sample space for the 5 black and 10 white balls in a box discussed above assuming the first ball is not replaced. Suggestions: Number the balls, say 1 to 5 for black and 6 to 15 for white. Then the sample points form an array something like (2.4), but the point 3,3 for example is not allowed. (Why?

What other points are not allowed?) You might find it helpful to write the

numbers for black balls and the numbers for white balls in different colors.

(b) Let A be the event 鈥渇irst ball is white鈥 and B be the event 鈥渟econd ball is

black.鈥 Circle the region of your sample space containing points favorable to

A and mark this region A. Similarly, circle and mark region B. Count the

number of sample points in A and in B; these are and . The region

AB is the region inside both A and B; the number of points in this region is

. Use the numbers you have found to verify (3.2) and (3.1). Also find

and and verify (3.3) numerically.

(c) Use Figure 3.1 and the ideas of part (b) to prove (3.3) in general.

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