(a) If we know \(s(t)\) and \(i(t)\) then we can determine \(r(t)\) from \(s+i+r=n\)
(b) In this case the system is
\\[\begin{array}{l}\frac{d s}{d t}=-0.2 s i \\\\\frac{d i}{d t}=-0.7 i+0.2 s
i\end{array}\\]
We also note that when \(i(0)=i_{0}, s(0)=10-i_{0}\) since \(r(0)=0\) and
\(i(t)+s(t)+r(t)=0\) for all values of \(t .\) Now \(k_{2} / k_{1}=0.7 / 0.2=3.5,\)
so we consider initial conditions \(s(0)=2, i(0)=8 ; s(0)=3.4, i(0)=6.6\)
\(s(0)=7, i(0)=3 ;\) and \(s(0)=9, i(0)=1\).
We see that an initial susceptible population greater than \(k_{2} / k_{1}\)
results in an epidemic in the sense that
the number of infected persons increases to a maximum before decreasing to \(0
.\) On the other hand, when \(s(0)< k_{2} / k_{1},\) the number of infected
persons decreases from the start and there is no epidemic.