Chapter 9: Problem 2
What is the symbol used for the slope of the population least-squares line?
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Chapter 9: Problem 2
What is the symbol used for the slope of the population least-squares line?
These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.
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Trevor conducted a study and found that the correlation between the price of a gallon of gasoline and gasoline consumption has a linear correlation coefficient of \(-0.7 .\) What does this result say about the relationship between price of gasoline and consumption? The study included gasoline prices ranging from \(\$ 2.70\) to \(\$ 5.30\) per gallon. Is it reliable to apply the results of this study to prices of gasoline higher than \(\$ 5.30\) per gallon? Explain.
Ocean currents are important in studies of cli mate change, as well as ecology studies of dispersal of plankton. Drift bottles are used to study ocean currents in the Pacific near Hawaii, the Solomon Islands, New Guinea, and other islands. Let \(x\) represent the number of days to recovery of a drift bottle after release and \(y\) represent the distance from point of release to point of recovery in \(\mathrm{km} / 100 .\) The following data are taken from the reference by Professor E.A. Kay, University of Hawaii. $$\begin{array}{l|lllll}\hline x \text { days } & 74 & 79 & 34 & 97 & 208 \\\\\hline y \mathrm{km} / 100 & 14.6 & 19.5 & 5.3 & 11.6 & 35.7 \\ \hline\end{array}$$ Reference: \(A\) Natural History of the Hawaiian Islands, edited by E. A. Kay, University of Hawaii Press. (a) Verify that \(\Sigma x=492, \Sigma y=86.7, \Sigma x^{2}=65,546, \Sigma y^{2}=2030.55\) \(\Sigma x y=11351.9,\) and \(r \approx 0.93853\) (b) Use a \(1 \%\) level of significance to test the claim \(\rho>0\) (c) Verify that \(S_{e} \approx 4.5759, a \approx 1.1405,\) and \(b \approx 0.1646\) (d) Find the predicted distance \((\mathrm{km} / 100)\) when a drift bottle has been floating for 90 days. (e) Find a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for your prediction of part (d). (f) Use a \(1 \%\) level of significance to test the claim that \(\beta>0\) (g) Find a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for \(\beta\) and interpret its meaning in terms of drift rate. (h) Consider the following scenario. A sailboat had an accident and radioed a Mayday alert with a given latitude and longitude just before it sank. The survivors are in a small (but well provisioned) life raft drifting in the part of the Pacific Ocean under study. After 30 days, how far from the accident site should a rescue plane expect to look?
Suppose two variables are positively correlated. Does the response variable increase or decrease as the explanatory variable increases?
Use appropriate multiple regression software of your choice and enter the data. Note that the data are also available for download at the Companion Sites for this text. Medical: Blood Pressure The systolic blood pressure of individuals is thought to be related to both age and weight. For a random sample of 11 men, the following data were obtained: $$\begin{array}{ccc|ccc} \hline \begin{array}{c} \text { Systolic } \\ \text { Blood Pressure } \end{array} & \begin{array}{c} \text { Age } \\ \text { (years) } \end{array} & \begin{array}{c} \text { Weight } \\ \text { (pounds) } \end{array} & \begin{array}{c} \text { Systolic } \\ \text { Blood Pressure } \end{array} & \begin{array}{c} \text { Age } \\ \text { (years) } \end{array} & \begin{array}{c} \text { Weight } \\ \text { (pounds) } \end{array} \\ \hline x_{1} & x_{2} & x_{3} & x_{1} & x_{2} & x_{3} \\ \hline 132 & 52 & 173 & 137 & 54 & 188 \\ 143 & 59 & 184 & 149 & 61 & 188 \\ 153 & 67 & 194 & 159 & 65 & 207 \\ 162 & 73 & 211 & 128 & 46 & 167 \\ 154 & 64 & 196 & 166 & 72 & 217 \\ 168 & 74 & 220 & & & \\ \hline \end{array}$$ (a) Generate summary statistics, including the mean and standard deviation of each variable. Compute the coefficient of variation (see Section 3.2) for each variable. Relative to its mean, which variable has the greatest spread of data values? Which variable has the smallest spread of data values relative to its mean? (b) For each pair of variables, generate the sample correlation coefficient \(r\) Compute the corresponding coefficient of determination \(r^{2}\). Which variable (other than \(x_{1}\) ) has the greatest influence (by itself) on \(x_{1} ?\) Would you say that both variables \(x_{2}\) and \(x_{3}\) show a strong influence on \(x_{1}\) ? Explain your answer. What percent of the variation in \(x_{1}\) can be explained by the corresponding variation in \(x_{2}\) ? Answer the same question for \(x_{3}\) (c) Perform a regression analysis with \(x_{1}\) as the response variable. Use \(x_{2}\) and \(x_{3}\) as explanatory variables. Look at the coefficient of multiple determination. What percentage of the variation in \(x_{1}\) can be explained by the corresponding variations in \(x_{2}\) and \(x_{3}\) taken together? (d) Look at the coefficients of the regression equation. Write out the regression equation. Explain how each coefficient can be thought of as a slope. If age were held fixed, but a person put on 10 pounds, what would you expect for the corresponding change in systolic blood pressure? If a person kept the same weight but got 10 years older, what would you expect for the corresponding change in systolic blood pressure? (e) Test each coefficient to determine if it is zero or not zero. Use level of significance \(5 \% .\) Why would the outcome of each test help us determine whether or not a given variable should be used in the regression model? (f) Find a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for each coefficient. (g) Suppose Michael is 68 years old and weighs 192 pounds. Predict his systolic blood pressure, and find a \(90 \%\) confidence range for your prediction (if your software produces prediction intervals).
Over the past decade, there has been a strong positive correlation between teacher salaries and prescription drug costs. (a) Do you think paying teachers more causes prescription drugs to cost more? Explain. (b) What lurking variables might be causing the increase in one or both of the variables? Explain.
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