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Josh and Kendra each calculated a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the difference of means using a Student's \(t\) distribution for random samples of size \(n_{1}=20\) and \(n_{2}=31 .\) Kendra followed the convention of using the smaller sample size to compute \(d . f .=19 .\) Josh used his calculator and Satterthwaite's approximation and obtained \(d, f . \approx 36.3 .\) Which confidence interval is shorter? Which confidence interval is more conservative in the sense that the margin of error is larger?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Josh's interval is shorter; Kendra's is more conservative with a larger margin of error.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding Degrees of Freedom

In the calculation of the confidence interval for the difference of means using the Student's t-distribution, degrees of freedom (df) influences the distribution's critical value. The smaller the degrees of freedom, the wider the confidence interval. Kendra uses df = 19, while Josh uses df = 36.3 with Satterthwaite's approximation.
02

Comparison of Critical t-Values

For a 90% confidence interval, the critical t-value decreases as degrees of freedom increase. For df = 19, let's find the critical t-value (approximately 1.729). For df = 36.3, the critical t-value is smaller (about 1.687). The use of a larger degrees of freedom by Josh would lead to a smaller critical t-value and thus a shorter interval.
03

Determining Interval Length and Margin of Error

The confidence interval is calculated as \( \bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2 \pm t^* \times SE \), where \( t^* \) is the critical value and SE is the standard error. A smaller critical value results in a narrower confidence interval, making Josh's interval shorter. The margin of error is larger for Kendra since her critical t-value is larger than Josh's.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Confidence Interval
A confidence interval offers a range of values within which we can say, with a certain level of certainty, that the true parameter of a population lies. In statistics, we often express this certainty in terms of a percentage, such as 90%, 95%, or 99% confidence levels. This means, for example, that 90% of the time, the confidence interval will contain the true parameter.When calculating the confidence interval for the difference of means using the Student's t-distribution, the formula used is \[ CI = \bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2 \pm t^* \times SE \] where \( \bar{x}_1 \) and \( \bar{x}_2 \) are the sample means, \( t^* \) is a critical value from the t-distribution, and SE is the standard error. The critical value \( t^* \) is what sets the width of the interval, combined with the standard error. A smaller critical \( t^* \) value results in a narrower confidence interval.Understanding how the confidence interval works helps to assess the reliability of estimates in the sample data, guiding decision-making in statistics.
Degrees of Freedom
Degrees of freedom, often abbreviated as df, is a vital concept in statistics that essentially describes the number of values in the final calculation of a statistic that are free to vary. When estimating a population parameter from a sample, degrees of freedom are connected to the sample size and account for the constraints introduced by estimating other parameters.In the context of using the Student's t-distribution for confidence intervals, the degrees of freedom affect the shape of the t-distribution. A smaller degree of freedom results in a t-distribution that is more spread out, leading to larger critical t-values and thus wider confidence intervals.For example, in Kendra and Josh's exercise, Kendra found the degrees of freedom using the smaller sample size, resulting in \( df = 19 \). On the other hand, Josh used Satterthwaite's approximation, resulting in \( df \approx 36.3 \). This difference in degrees of freedom significantly impacts the calculated critical t-values, affecting the length and conservativeness of their confidence intervals.
Satterthwaite's Approximation
Satterthwaite's approximation is an important method used in statistics when dealing with two sample t-tests for unequal variances. It provides a way to estimate the effective degrees of freedom, denoted as \( df \), which is especially useful when the samples have different variances and sizes.The formula for Satterthwaite's approximation is as follows:\[ df \approx \frac{\left(\frac{s_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{s_2^2}{n_2}\right)^2}{\frac{\left(\frac{s_1^2}{n_1}\right)^2}{n_1 - 1} + \frac{\left(\frac{s_2^2}{n_2}\right)^2}{n_2 - 1}} \]where \( s_1^2 \) and \( s_2^2 \) are the sample variances, and \( n_1 \) and \( n_2 \) are the sample sizes. This approach adjusts the degrees of freedom based on the variance and sample size differences, providing a more accurate estimate for the confidence intervals.In the exercise, Josh utilized Satterthwaite's approximation to calculate his degrees of freedom as \( df \approx 36.3 \). This resulted in a smaller critical t-value, thereby producing a shorter confidence interval. Satterthwaite's method can make the analysis less conservative and more efficient by providing narrower intervals compared to using the smaller sample size alone.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Answer true or false. Explain your answer. If the original \(x\) distribution has a relatively small standard deviation, the confidence interval for \(\mu\) will be relatively short.

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