/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 16 Let \(\alpha\) and \(\beta\) be ... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Let \(\alpha\) and \(\beta\) be any two constants such that \(\alpha<\beta .\) Suppose we choose a point \(x\) at random in the interval from \(\alpha\) to \(\beta .\) In this context the phrase at random is taken to mean that the point \(x\) is as likely to be chosen from one particular part of the interval as any other part. Consider the rectangle. The base of the rectangle has length \(\beta-\alpha\) and the height of the rectangle is \(1 /(\beta-\alpha),\) so the area of the rectangle is \(1 .\) As such, this rectangle's top can be thought of as part of a probability density curve. since we specify that \(x\) must lie between \(\alpha\) and \(\beta,\) the probability of a point occurring outside the interval \([\alpha, \beta]\) is, by definition, \(0 .\) From a geometric point of view, \(x\) chosen at random from \(\alpha\) to \(\beta\) means we are equally likely to land anywhere in the interval from \(\alpha\) to \(\beta .\) For this reason, the top of the (rectangle's) density curve is flat or uniform. Now suppose that \(a\) and \(b\) are numbers such that \(\alpha \leq a

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) 0.3, (b) 0.5, (c) 0.4, (d) 0.040 mm, (e) ≈0.0144 mm

Step by step solution

01

Understand the problem

We are given a continuous uniform distribution for pellet diameters between 0.015 mm and 0.065 mm. We are tasked with finding the probability of certain diameter ranges and calculating the mean and standard deviation of this distribution.
02

Define the interval

For this uniform distribution, the interval's lower bound is \(\alpha = 0.015\) mm and the upper bound is \(\beta = 0.065\) mm. The length of the interval \(\beta - \alpha = 0.065 - 0.015 = 0.050\) mm.
03

Calculate probability for size 0.050 mm or larger

The interval for pellets 0.050 mm or larger is \([0.050, 0.065]\). The length of this interval is \(0.065 - 0.050 = 0.015\). The probability is \(P(0.050 \leq x \leq 0.065) = \frac{0.015}{0.050} = 0.3\).
04

Calculate probability for size 0.040 mm or smaller

The interval for pellets 0.040 mm or smaller is \([0.015, 0.040]\). The length of this interval is \(0.040 - 0.015 = 0.025\). The probability is \(P(0.015 \leq x \leq 0.040) = \frac{0.025}{0.050} = 0.5\).
05

Calculate probability for size between 0.035 mm and 0.055 mm

The interval for pellets between 0.035 mm and 0.055 mm is \([0.035, 0.055]\). The length of this interval is \(0.055 - 0.035 = 0.020\). The probability is \(P(0.035 \leq x \leq 0.055) = \frac{0.020}{0.050} = 0.4\).
06

Compute the mean particle size

The mean \(\mu\) of a uniform distribution is calculated as \(\mu = \frac{\alpha + \beta}{2}\). For our interval, \(\mu = \frac{0.015 + 0.065}{2} = 0.040\) mm.
07

Compute the standard deviation of particle size

The standard deviation \(\sigma\) of a uniform distribution is calculated as \(\sigma = \frac{\beta - \alpha}{\sqrt{12}}\). For our interval, \(\sigma = \frac{0.050}{\sqrt{12}} \approx 0.0144\) mm.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability
Probability is a fundamental concept in statistics and represents the likelihood of a specific event occurring within a defined set of possibilities. In the context of a continuous uniform distribution—such as the range of pellet diameters mentioned in the exercise—each outcome within the specified interval is equally probable. This means any point or sub-interval selected from the larger interval has an equal chance of being chosen.

To determine the probability for any specific sub-interval in a continuous uniform distribution, we consider the length of the sub-interval. For example:
  • The probability of a pellet diameter being between 0.050 mm and 0.065 mm is computed by dividing the length of this sub-interval (\[0.065 - 0.050 = 0.015\]) by the total length of the interval (\[0.065 - 0.015 = 0.050\]), resulting in a probability of\[ \frac{0.015}{0.050} = 0.3 \].
  • Similarly, for a pellet diameter between 0.035 mm and 0.055 mm, the probability is calculated as\[ \frac{0.020}{0.050} = 0.4 \].
      Understanding probability in uniform distributions is central to predicting outcomes in a given range.
Mean and Standard Deviation
The mean and standard deviation are key indicators in any probability distribution, providing insight into the central tendency and variability of the distribution, respectively.

For a continuous uniform distribution, the mean represents the midpoint of the interval. It is calculated as:\[\mu = \frac{\alpha + \beta}{2}\]. In the given problem with pellet diameters between 0.015 mm and 0.065 mm, the mean diameter comes out to\[\mu = \frac{0.015 + 0.065}{2} = 0.040\] mm.

The standard deviation in a uniform distribution measures the spread of the data around this mean, capturing the variability of the pellet sizes. The formula for the standard deviation is:\[\sigma = \frac{\beta - \alpha}{\sqrt{12}}\]. For the example provided, this calculation yields\[\sigma \approx 0.0144\] mm.
  • The mean tells us that the average pellet size expected in the given range is 0.040 mm.
  • The standard deviation shows that the pellet sizes deviate from the mean by approximately 0.0144 mm, indicating how spread out the sizes are around the mean.
Continuous Uniform Distribution
The continuous uniform distribution, often called a rectangular distribution, represents scenarios where all outcomes within a certain interval are equally likely. This distribution is characterized by its flat probability density function (PDF), which results in a constant height across the interval

This distribution is commonly used in situations involving ranges of values over a fixed interval. For example, in the exercise provided, the pellet diameters range uniformly between 0.015 mm and 0.065 mm further exemplifies this. Each pellet size has the same chance of being selected compared to any other size in this range.
  • The uniform distribution can be quickly identified by its evenly distributed probabilities across its defined range.
  • Its simplicity often makes it a starting point for understanding more complex distributions, as it clearly depicts random variability within indicated bounds.
When applying the concept of continuity to a uniform distribution, keep in mind: the entirety of the interval should sum to a probability of 1, as seen by the integral of the PDF over the interval. This rule ensures that probability mass is uniformly distributed across every potential outcome within the specified range.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Conditional Probability Suppose you want to eat lunch at a popular restaurant. The restaurant does not take reservations, so there is usually a waiting time before you can be seated. Let \(x\) represent the length of time waiting to be seated. From past experience, you know that the mean waiting time is \(\mu=18\) minutes with \(\sigma=4\) minutes. You assume that the \(x\) distribution is approximately normal. (a) What is the probability that the waiting time will exceed 20 minutes, given that it has exceeded 15 minutes? Hint: Compute \(P(x>20 | x>15)\).(b) What is the probability that the waiting time will exceed 25 minutes, give that it has exceeded 18 minutes? Hint: Compute \(P(x>25 | x>18)\) (c) Hint for solution: Review item \(6,\) conditional probability, in the summar= of basic probability rules at the end of Section \(4.2 .\) Note that $$P(A | B)=\frac{P(A \text { and } B)}{P(B)}$$,and show that in part (a), $$P(x>20 | x>15)=\frac{P((x>20) \text { and }(x>15))}{P(x>15)}=\frac{P(x>20)}{P(x>15)}$$.

Find the indicated probability, and shade the corresponding area under the standard normal curve. $$P(-2.37 \leq z \leq 0)$$

Let \(x\) be a random variable that represents the weights in kilograms (kg) of healthy adult female deer (does) in December in Mesa Verde National Park. Then \(x\) has a distribution that is approximately normal, with mean \(\mu=63.0 \mathrm{kg}\) and standard deviation \(\sigma=7.1 \mathrm{kg}\) (Source: The Mule Deer of Mesa Verde National Park, by G. W. Micrau and J. L. Schmidt, Mesa Verde Museum Association). Suppose a doe that weighs less than \(54 \mathrm{kg}\) is considered undernourished. (a) What is the probability that a single doe captured (weighed and released) at random in December is undernourished? (b) If the park has about 2200 does, what number do you expect to be undernourished in December? (c) Interpretation To estimate the health of the December doe population, park rangers use the rule that the average weight of \(n=50\) does should be more than \(60 \mathrm{kg}\). If the average weight is less than \(60 \mathrm{kg}\), it is thought that the entire population of does might be undernourished. What is the probability that the average weight \(\bar{x}\) for a random sample of 50 does is less than \(60 \mathrm{kg}\) (assume a healthy population)? (d) Interpretation Compute the probability that \(\bar{x}<64.2 \mathrm{kg}\) for 50 does (assume a healthy population). Suppose park rangers captured, weighed, and released 50 does in December, and the average weight was \(\bar{x}=64.2 \mathrm{kg} .\) Do you think the doe population is undernourished or not? Explain.

Supermarkets: Free Samples Do you take the free samples offered in supermarkets? About \(60 \%\) of all customers will take free samples. Furthermore, of those who take the free samples, about \(37 \%\) will buy what they have sampled. (See reference in Problem 8.) Suppose you set up a counter in a supermarket offering free samples of a new product. The day you are offering free samples, 317 customers pass by your counter. (a) What is the probability that more than 180 take your free sample? (b) What is the probability that fewer than 200 take your free sample? (c) What is the probability that a customer takes a free sample and buys the product? Hint: Use the multiplication rule for dependent events. Notice that we are given the conditional probability \(P(\text { buy } | \text { sample })=0.37\) while \(P(\text { sample })=0.60.\) (d) What is the probability that between 60 and 80 customers will take the free sample and buy the product? Hint: Use the probability of success calculated in part (c).

Suppose an \(x\) distribution has mean \(\mu=5 .\) Consider two corresponding \(\bar{x}\) distributions, the first based on samples of size \(n=49\) and the second based on samples of size \(n=81\) (a) What is the value of the mean of each of the two \(\bar{x}\) distributions? (b) For which \(\bar{x}\) distribution is \(P(\bar{x}>6)\) smaller? Explain. (c) For which \(\bar{x}\) distribution is \(P(4<\bar{x}<6)\) greater? Explain.

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