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Assume that \(x\) has a normal distribution with the specified mean and standard deviation. Find the indicated probabilities.$$P(x \geq 90) ; \mu=100 ; \sigma=15$$

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that \(x \geq 90\) is approximately 0.7486.

Step by step solution

01

Convert to Standard Normal Distribution

To find the probability, we first need to convert the variable to standard normal form. Use the formula for the standard score, or z-score: \[ z = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma} \]Substitute the given values: \[ z = \frac{90 - 100}{15} = -\frac{10}{15} = -\frac{2}{3} \approx -0.67 \]
02

Use the Standard Normal Distribution Table

Look up the z-score from Step 1 in the standard normal distribution table. A z-score of -0.67 corresponds to a cumulative probability of approximately 0.2514.
03

Calculate Probability Greater Than 90

Since we need the probability of \(x \geq 90\), which is equivalent to \(P(Z \geq -0.67)\), use:\[ P(Z \geq -0.67) = 1 - P(Z < -0.67) \]Thus:\[ P(Z \geq -0.67) = 1 - 0.2514 = 0.7486 \]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding the z-score
The z-score is a numerical measurement that describes a value's relationship to the mean of a group of values. When it comes to the normal distribution, it helps us understand where a particular point falls on the standard bell curve. The formula for calculating the z-score is given by:
  • Formula: \( z = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma} \)
  • Where: \(x\) is the value in question, \(\mu\) is the mean, and \(\sigma\) is the standard deviation.
To find how far away a number is from the average, compared to the overall spread, compute the z-score. It tells us how many standard deviations an element is from the mean.
For example, in the problem at hand, the z-score came out to be approximately \(-0.67\), indicating that 90 is less than one standard deviation below the mean of 100.
Exploring the standard normal distribution
The standard normal distribution, often called the "bell curve," is a special case of the normal distribution. It has a mean (bc) of 0 and a standard deviation (c3) of 1. This distribution is crucial for calculating probabilities and is symmetric about the mean.
When you convert a normal distribution to a standard normal distribution using the z-score formula, you are essentially mapping the data onto this special curve. This allows you to use standardized tables to find probabilities easily. Each z-score represents a point along the x-axis of this curve.
The standard normal distribution table, sometimes called the "z-table," helps in finding the percentage of values below (or sometimes above) a given z-score. Such tables display the cumulative probability associated with that score. In our example, the z-score \(-0.67\) showed us that about 25.14% of the data falls below that point.
Delving into cumulative probability
Cumulative probability is a way of expressing the probability that a random variable is less than or equal to a certain value. Using the standard normal distribution table, you gain insights into this probability over a range of values.
By looking up a z-score in a z-table, we're actually finding the cumulative probability – the total probability up to that point. This is pivotal when calculating probabilities for events linked with a normal distribution.
  • In this problem, we found that the cumulative probability for \(z = -0.67\) is approximately 0.2514.
  • This means that 25.14% of the distribution lies below the score in question.
However, since we wanted to know the probability for \(x \geq 90\), we worked with one minus this cumulative probability to get 0.7486, demonstrating the complement rule in probability. This means 74.86% of the data falls above the score of 90.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Estimating the Standard Deviation Consumer Reports gave information about the ages at which various household products are replaced. For example, color TVs are replaced at an average age of \(\mu=8\) years after purchase, and the (95\% of data) range was from 5 to 11 years. Thus, the range was \(11-5=6\) years. Let \(x\) be the age (in years) at which a color TV is replaced. Assume that \(x\) has a distribution that is approximately normal. (a) The empirical rule (see Section 6.1) indicates that for a symmetric and bell-shaped distribution, approximately \(95 \%\) of the data lies within two standard deviations of the mean. Therefore, a \(95 \%\) range of data values extending from \(\mu-2 \sigma\) to \(\mu+2 \sigma\) is often used for "commonly occurring" data values. Note that the interval from \(\mu-2 \sigma\) to \(\mu+2 \sigma\) is \(4 \sigma\) in length. This leads to a "rule of thumb" for estimating the standard deviation from a \(95 \%\) range of data values.Use this "rule of thumb" to approximate the standard deviation of \(x\) values, where \(x\) is the age (in years) at which a color TV is replaced. (b) What is the probability that someone will keep a color TV more than 5 years before replacement? (c) What is the probability that someone will keep a color TV fewer than 10 years before replacement? (d) Inverse Normal Distribution Assume that the average life of a color TV is 8 years with a standard deviation of 1.5 years before it breaks. Suppose that a company guarantees color TVs and will replace a TV that breaks while under guarantee with a new one. However, the company does not want to replace more than \(10 \%\) of the TVs under guarantee. For how long should the guarantee be made (rounded to the nearest tenth of a year)?

Suppose \(x\) has a distribution with a mean of 20 and a standard deviation of \(3 .\) Random samples of size \(n=36\) are drawn. (a) Describe the \(\bar{x}\) distribution and compute the mean and standard deviation of the distribution. (b) Find the \(z\) value corresponding to \(\bar{x}=19\) (c) Find \(P(\bar{x}<19)\) (d) Interpretation Would it be unusual for a random sample of size 36 from the \(x\) distribution to have a sample mean less than \(19 ?\) Explain.

Find the indicated probability, and shade the corresponding area under the standard normal curve. $$P(z \geq-1.50)$$

Porphyrin is a pigment in blood protoplasm and other body fluids that is significant in body energy and storage. Let \(x\) be a random variable that represents the number of milligrams of porphyrin per deciliter of blood. In healthy adults, \(x\) is approximately normally distributed with mean \(\mu=38\) and standard deviation \(\sigma=12\) (see reference in Problem 25 ). What is the probability that : (a) \(x\) is less than \(60 ?\) (b) \(x\) is greater than \(16 ?\) (c) \(x\) is between 16 and \(60 ?\) (d) \(x\) is more than \(60 ?\) (This may indicate an infection, anemia, or another type lness.)

Find the indicated probability, and shade the corresponding area under the standard normal curve. $$P(-0.45 \leq z \leq 2.73)$$

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