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Assume that \(x\) has a normal distribution with the specified mean and standard deviation. Find the indicated probabilities.$$P(x \geq 30) ; \mu=20 ; \sigma=3.4$$

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability is approximately 0.0016.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Problem

We are dealing with a normal distribution where the mean \( \mu \) is 20 and the standard deviation \( \sigma \) is 3.4. We need to find the probability that \( x \) is greater than or equal to 30.
02

Standardize the Variable

Convert the variable \( x \) to a standard normal variable \( z \) using the formula: \[ z = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma} \]. For \( x = 30 \), \( \mu = 20 \), and \( \sigma = 3.4 \), we calculate: \[ z = \frac{30 - 20}{3.4} = \frac{10}{3.4} = 2.94 \].
03

Use Standard Normal Distribution Table

Look up the value of \( P(z \geq 2.94) \) using the standard normal distribution table. This is equivalent to finding \( 1 - P(z \leq 2.94) \), since standard normal tables typically give \( P(z \leq z_0) \).
04

Calculating the Complement Probability

The standard normal table provides \( P(z \leq 2.94) \) as approximately 0.9984. Hence, \( P(z \geq 2.94) = 1 - 0.9984 = 0.0016 \).
05

Conclude the Calculation

Thus, the probability that \( x \) is greater than or equal to 30 for a normal distribution with mean 20 and standard deviation 3.4 is \( 0.0016 \).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Standard Normal Distribution
The standard normal distribution is a cornerstone of statistics. It's essentially a normal distribution that has been standardized to have a mean (bc) of 0 and a standard deviation (c3) of 1. By converting any normal distribution to a standard one, we can easily compare different distributions and calculate probabilities.
This transformation frees us from the need to handle complex individual distributions in their original forms. Instead, we have a universal model to reference.
  • Standard normal distributions are key to understanding probability because they allow use of the standard normal table.
  • It provides a way to determine how usual or unusual a particular data point is from the mean.
This simplification is achieved through the concept of the Z-score, which we will examine next.
Z-score
The Z-score is a numerical measurement used to express how far a particular data point is from the mean, measured in units of standard deviation.
To calculate the Z-score, you use the formula:\[z = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma}\]where:
  • \(x\) is the value of the data point,
  • \(\mu\) is the mean of the data set,
  • \(\sigma\) is the standard deviation of the data set.
In our exercise, we calculated the Z-score for \(x = 30\), with \(\mu = 20\) and \(\sigma = 3.4\), and found it to be 2.94.
This means that a value of 30 is 2.94 standard deviations above the mean.
  • The Z-score helps us assess whether a data point lies within a common or uncommon range when compared to our mean.
  • It simplifies the process of probability calculation, enabling the quick lookup of ranges in the standard normal distribution table.
Probability Calculation
Calculating probability in the context of a normal distribution involves determining the likelihood of a random variable falling within a given range.
We use the Z-score to achieve this by transforming the original distribution problem into a problem of the standard normal distribution.
Once we have our Z-score, we can use the standard normal distribution table to find probabilities.

Looking Up Table Values

Most standard normal distribution tables give the cumulative probability from the mean up to a Z-score.
This means that when we find \(P(z \leq 2.94)\), it represents all the area to the left under the curve up to 2.94 standard deviations.
  • In our case, \(P(z \leq 2.94)\) is 0.9984, representing about 99.84% of the data.
  • To find \(P(z \geq 2.94)\), which corresponds to \(x \geq 30\), we simply calculate the complement: \(1 - 0.9984 = 0.0016\).
This indicates there's a very small probability (0.16%) that a randomly chosen value is greater than or equal to 30.
The ability to convert probabilities through the use of Z-scores and tables makes probability calculations straightforward and consistent.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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