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91Ó°ÊÓ

If two variables have a negative linear correlation, is the slope of the least-squares line positive or negative?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Negative.

Step by step solution

01

Understand Linear Correlation

A linear correlation measures the strength and direction of a linear relationship between two variables. A negative linear correlation means that as one variable increases, the other variable tends to decrease.
02

Define Least-Squares Line

The least-squares line or linear regression line is the line that best fits the data points. It minimizes the sum of the squared deviations (errors) from the line.
03

Determine the Slope of the Least-Squares Line

The slope of a line reflects how much one variable changes on average with a one-unit change in the other variable. For a line with a negative correlation, as one variable increases, the other decreases, meaning the slope must be negative.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding Negative Correlation
In statistics, correlation is a measure of how two variables move in relation to each other. When we talk about a negative correlation, it implies that there is an inverse relationship between the variables. This means when one variable increases, the other tends to decrease and vice versa.
For example, imagine studying ice cream sales and coat sales in winter. In such a scenario, as the temperature drops (and coats are needed more), ice cream sales tend to decline, demonstrating a negative correlation.
  • Negative correlation signifies inverse movement.
  • As one variable goes up, the other tends to go down.
Understanding the nature of this inverse relationship helps in predicting how changes in one variable might affect the other.
The Least-Squares Line in Linear Regression
The least-squares line is a vital concept in linear regression analysis. This line represents the best fit for all the data points in a scatterplot. Its key function is to minimize the discrepancy (or deviations) between the predicted values from the line and the actual values collected from the data set.
  • It literally means minimizing the sum of the squares of the differences (hence 'least squares').
  • The end goal is a line that captures the trend in the data most accurately.
This line is what statisticians use to predict unknown values based on known data. Whether you're dealing with stock prices, product sales, or temperature changes, the least-squares line is instrumental in making data-driven decisions.
Decoding the Slope of a Line in Linear Relationships
The slope of a line in a linear relationship is essential as it reflects the rate of change between the two variables. For linear regression, it's found by the ratio of the vertical change to the horizontal change between any two points on the line.
  • Positive Slope: Indicates that as one variable increases, the other one tends to increase too.
  • Negative Slope: Suggests that as one variable increases, the other decreases, typical of a negative correlation.
When addressing a negative correlation, the slope of the least-squares line will naturally be negative, highlighting that for every increase in one variable, a corresponding decrease in the other is expected. This is a crucial element in interpreting linear relationships, as it gives direct insight into the nature of the relationship between variables.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

How much should a healthy Shetland pony weigh? Let \(x\) be the age of the pony (in months), and let \(y\) be the average weight of the pony (in kilograms). The following information is based on data taken from The Merck Veterinary Manual (a reference used in most veterinary colleges). $$ \begin{array}{r|rrrrr} \hline x & 3 & 6 & 12 & 18 & 24 \\ \hline y & 60 & 95 & 140 & 170 & 185 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ (a) Make a scatter diagram and draw the line you think best fits the data. (b) Would you say the correlation is low, moderate, or strong? positive or negative? (c) Use a calculator to verify that \(\Sigma x=63, \quad \Sigma x^{2}=1089, \quad \Sigma y=650\) \(\Sigma y^{2}=95,350\), and \(\Sigma x y=9930 .\) Compute \(r .\) As \(x\) increases from 3 to 24 months, does the value of \(r\) imply that \(y\) should tend to increase or decrease? Explain.

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What is the optimal amount of time for a scuba diver to be on the bottom of the ocean? That depends on the depth of the dive. The U.S. Navy has done a lot of research on this topic. The Navy defines the "optimal time" to be the time at each depth for the best balance between length of work period and decompression time after surfacing. Let \(x=\) depth of dive in meters, and let \(y=\) optimal time in hours. A random sample of divers gave the following data (based on information taken from Medical Physiology by A. C. Guyton, M.D.). $$ \begin{array}{c|ccccccc} \hline x & 14.1 & 24.3 & 30.2 & 38.3 & 51.3 & 20.5 & 22.7 \\ \hline y & 2.58 & 2.08 & 1.58 & 1.03 & 0.75 & 2.38 & 2.20 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ (a) Verify that \(\Sigma x=201.4, \quad \Sigma y=12.6, \quad \Sigma x^{2}=6734.46, \quad \Sigma y^{2}=25.607\), \(\Sigma x y=311.292\), and \(r \approx-0.976\). (b) Use a \(1 \%\) level of significance to test the claim that \(\rho<0\). (c) Verify that \(S_{e} \approx 0.1660, a \approx 3.366\), and \(b \approx-0.0544\). (d) Find the predicted optimal time in hours for a dive depth of \(x=18\) meters. (e) Find an \(80 \%\) confidence interval for \(y\) when \(x=18\) meters. (f) Use a \(1 \%\) level of significance to test the claim that \(\beta<0\). (g) Find a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for \(\beta\) and its meaning.

In baseball, is there a linear correlation between batting average and home run percentage? Let \(x\) represent the batting average of a professional baseball player, and let \(y\) represent the player's home run percentage (number of home runs per 100 times at bat). A random sample of \(n=7\) professional baseball players gave the following information (Reference: The Baseball Encyclopedia, Macmillan Publishing Company). $$ \begin{array}{l|lllllll} \hline x & 0.243 & 0.259 & 0.286 & 0.263 & 0.268 & 0.339 & 0.299 \\ \hline y & 1.4 & 3.6 & 5.5 & 3.8 & 3.5 & 7.3 & 5.0 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ (a) Make a scatter diagram and draw the line you think best fits the data. (b) Would you say the correlation is low, moderate, or high? positive or negative? (c) Use a calculator to verify that \(\Sigma x=1.957, \Sigma x^{2} \approx 0.553, \Sigma y=30.1\), \(\Sigma y^{2}=150.15\), and \(\Sigma x y \approx 8.753 .\) Compute \(r .\) As \(x\) increases, does the value of \(r\) imply that \(y\) should tend to increase or decrease? Explain.

Over the past 30 years in the United States, there has been a strong negative correlation between the number of infant deaths at birth and the number of people over age 65 . (a) Is the fact that people are living longer causing a decrease in infant mortalities at birth? (b) What lurking variables might be causing the increase in one or both of the variables? Explain.

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