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Basic Computation: Binomial Distribution Consider a binomial experiment with \(n=7\) trials where the probability of success on a single trial is \(p=0.30\). (a) Find \(P(r=0)\). (b) Find \(P(r \geq 1)\) by using the complement rule.

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) \(P(r=0) \approx 0.0824\), (b) \(P(r \geq 1) \approx 0.9176\).

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Binomial Distribution

The binomial probability formula is given by \[ P(r) = \binom{n}{r} p^r (1-p)^{n-r} \] where \(n\) is the number of trials, \(r\) is the number of successes, \(p\) is the probability of success on each trial, and \(\binom{n}{r}\) is the binomial coefficient.
02

Calculating P(r=0)

To find \(P(r=0)\), use the formula with \(r=0\): \[ P(r=0) = \binom{7}{0} (0.30)^0 (0.70)^7 \] Calculate \(\binom{7}{0} = 1\) and substitute as follows: \[ P(r=0) = 1 \times 1 \times 0.70^7 \] Calculate \(0.70^7 \approx 0.0823543\), so \[ P(r=0) \approx 0.0823543 \].
03

Calculating P(r ≥ 1) Using the Complement Rule

The complement rule states that \(P(r \geq 1) = 1 - P(r = 0)\). Since we have already found that \(P(r=0) \approx 0.0823543\), substitute this value into the complement rule: \[ P(r \geq 1) = 1 - 0.0823543 \approx 0.9176457 \].

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability of Success
Probability of success refers to how likely it is for a specific outcome to occur in a single trial. In the context of a binomial distribution, it is commonly denoted by the symbol \( p \). This probability value is crucial as it influences the computation of overall probabilities in multiple trials.

In a binomial experiment, such as flipping a coin or rolling a die, each trial is independent, meaning the outcome of one trial does not affect the next. The probability of success remains constant across all trials. For our original exercise, the probability of success in each of the 7 trials is set at 0.30. This means that for each trial, the chance of the desired outcome occurring is 30%.

This constant probability is a key condition for applying the binomial distribution formula, as it ensures we can model the experiment accurately using this mathematical approach.
Complement Rule
The complement rule is a simple yet powerful concept in probability that helps find the likelihood of an event occurring by using the probability of its opposite. This rule is especially useful when calculating probabilities of complex events directly seems challenging.

Mathematically, the complement rule is expressed as \( P(A') = 1 - P(A) \), where \( P(A) \) is the probability of event \( A \) happening, and \( P(A') \) is the probability of event \( A \) not happening.

In our original exercise, we wanted to find \( P(r \geq 1) \), which is the probability of achieving one or more successes. Instead of directly calculating each possible success scenario, we simplify the process by first calculating \( P(r=0) \) (zero successes) and then applying the complement rule:
  • Calculate \( P(r=0) \).
  • Subtract \( P(r=0) \) from 1: \( P(r \geq 1) = 1 - P(r=0) \).
This method offers an efficient way to compute cumulative probabilities using the complement of simpler events.
Binomial Coefficient
The binomial coefficient is a fundamental component in the binomial probability formula. Denoted as \( \binom{n}{r} \), it represents the number of ways to choose \( r \) successes out of \( n \) trials without considering the order. This concept is derived from combinatorics and also appears in Pascal's Triangle.

Mathematically, it is calculated using the formula:
\[\binom{n}{r} = \frac{n!}{r!(n-r)!}\]
  • \( n! \) represents the factorial of \( n \), which is the product of all positive integers up to \( n \).
  • \( r! \) and \((n-r)!\) are the factorials of \( r \) and \( n-r \), respectively.
In the context of our problem, with 7 trials and looking for 0 successes, \( \binom{7}{0} \) simplifies as there is exactly one way to have 0 successes - when none of the trials succeed. Thus, \( \binom{7}{0} = 1 \), making it straightforward in this case but highlighting its importance in calculations with other numbers of successes.

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