/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 6 If a \(90 \%\) confidence interv... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

If a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the difference of proportions contains some positive and some negative values, what can we conclude about the relationship between \(p_{1}\) and \(p_{2}\) at the \(90 \%\) confidence level?

Short Answer

Expert verified
There is no significant difference between the proportions at the 90% confidence level.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding Confidence Intervals

A confidence interval provides a range of values within which we expect the true parameter to lie with a certain level of confidence—in this case, 90%. For the difference in proportions, the interval is centered around the estimated difference of the sample proportions, and its width depends on the variability of the sample estimates and the sample sizes.
02

Interpreting the Interval Values

When a confidence interval for the difference between two proportions (\(p_1 - p_2\)) includes both positive and negative values, it suggests that p_1 may be greater, smaller, or even equal to p_2. In other words, there is no conclusive evidence to indicate a consistent direction of the difference between the two proportions at the 90% confidence level.
03

Conclusion from the Exercise

When a confidence interval encompasses zero, it suggests that there is insufficient statistical evidence to confirm any significant difference between the two proportions. Since the interval includes both positive and negative values, it implies that zero (no difference) is a plausible value for the difference between the proportions.

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding Statistical Evidence
Statistical evidence is all about using data to make informed decisions. In the context of hypothesis testing or confidence intervals, it's crucial to understand what the numbers are revealing about the relationship between different groups or variables.

When a confidence interval includes both positive and negative values, as mentioned in the exercise, it means that we have mixed evidence about the relationship between the proportions, such as whether one is larger than the other. The range that includes zero suggests that there is no strong evidence to suggest a significant difference between the groups measured.

This lack of conclusive evidence means that while there might be a difference, our sample does not provide enough data to confidently say so.

Therefore, statistical evidence gives us a way to gauge the strength of our findings. When we're dealing with multiple potential outcomes, we're essentially reminded to consider our results with caution and not to overstate any claims of difference without stronger data.
Exploring the Difference in Proportions
The concept of 'difference in proportions' helps us compare two groups based on a particular feature. Think of it as comparing two batches of cookies to determine which has more chocolate chips on average! In statistics, we estimate these differences using data gathered from samples.

When observing the difference in proportions, one often calculates the difference between two sample proportions, let's say \(p_1\) and \(p_2\). For example, if \(p_1\) represents the proportion of cookies with chips in Batch 1 and \(p_2\) in Batch 2, \(p_1 - p_2\) gives the difference.

Now, what does it mean when a confidence interval for this difference contains both positive and negative points? It suggests that \(p_1\) might be larger, smaller, or identical to \(p_2\). Thus, there's no statistically solid ground to claim a definitive difference.

This uncertainty is key because it emphasizes the importance of having a representative and adequately sized sample to draw meaningful conclusions.
Parameter Estimation Explained
Parameter estimation in statistics involves using sample data to estimate an unknown parameter of a population. This might seem technical, but think of it like getting a sneak peek into the average temperature of an entire planet by checking the temperature at a few spots.

For the difference of proportions, parameter estimation lets us guess the real world difference based on sample information. Essentially, it gives us a way to predict the behavior of a larger group from a small segment of data.

Estimation provides us with values like a confidence interval which range our parameter within plausible bounds. If this interval contains both negative and positive values, it covers a wide ground, reflecting uncertainty or variability in our data.

Accurately estimating parameters requires thinking about the sample size and variability of the data—bigger samples often give narrower intervals, providing clearer insights into the population parameters.

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

Over the past several months, an adult patient has been treated for tetany (severe muscle spasms). This condition is associated with an average total calcium level below \(6 \mathrm{mg} / \mathrm{dl}(\) Reference: Manual of Laboratory and Diagnostic Tests, F. Fischbach). Recently, the patient's total calcium tests gave the following readings (in \(\mathrm{mg} / \mathrm{dl}\) ). \(9.3\) \(\begin{array}{llllll}8.8 & 10.1 & 8.9 & 9.4 & 9.8 & 10.0\end{array}\) \(\begin{array}{lll}9.9 & 11.2 & 12.1\end{array}\) (a) Use a calculator to verify that \(\bar{x}=9.95\) and \(s \approx 1.02\). (b) Find a \(99.9 \%\) confidence interval for the population mean of total calcium in this patient's blood. (c) Based on your results in part (b), do you think this patient still has a calcium deficiency? Explain.

In the Focus Problem at the beginning of this chapter, a study was described comparing the hatch ratios of wood duck nesting boxes. Group I nesting boxes were well separated from each other and well hidden by available brush. There were a total of 474 eggs in group I boxes, of which a field count showed about 270 hatched. Group II nesting boxes were placed in highly visible locations and grouped closely together. There were a total of 805 eggs in group II boxes, of which a field count showed about 270 hatched. (a) Find a point estimate \(\hat{p}_{1}\) for \(p_{1}\), the proportion of eggs that hatch in group I nest box placements. Find a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for \(p_{1}\). (b) Find a point estimate \(\hat{p}_{2}\) for \(p_{2}\), the proportion of eggs that hatch in group II nest box placements. Find a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for \(p_{2}\). (c) Find a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for \(p_{1}-p_{2} .\) Does the interval indicate that the proportion of eggs hatched from group I nest boxes is higher than, lower than, or equal to the proportion of eggs hatched from group II nest boxes? (d) What conclusions about placement of nest boxes can be drawn? In the article discussed in the Focus Problem, additional concerns are raised about the higher cost of placing and maintaining group I nest box placements. Also at issue is the cost efficiency per successful wood duck hatch.

Isabel Myers was a pioneer in the study of personality types. The following information is taken from \(A\) Guide to the Development and Use of the Myers- Briggs Type Indicator, by Myers and McCaulley (Consulting Psychologists Press). In a random sample of 62 professional actors, it was found that 39 were extroverts. (a) Let \(p\) represent the proportion of all actors who are extroverts. Find a point estimate for \(p\). (b) Find a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for \(p\). Give a brief interpretation of the meaning of the confidence interval you have found. (c) Do you think the conditions \(n p>5\) and \(n q>5\) are satisfied in this problem? Explain why this would be an important consideration.

You want to conduct a survey to determine the proportion of people who favor a proposed tax policy. How does increasing the sample size affect the size of the margin of error?

A random sample of medical files is used to estimate the proportion \(p\) of all people who have blood type \(B\). (a) If you have no preliminary estimate for \(p\), how many medical files should you include in a random sample in order to be \(85 \%\) sure that the point estimate \(\hat{p}\) will be within a distance of \(0.05\) from \(p ?\) (b) Answer part (a) if you use the preliminary estimate that about 8 out of 90 people have blood type B. (Reference: Manual of Laboratory and Diagnostic Tests, F. Fischbach.)

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.