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Suppose two events \(A\) and \(B\) are independent, with \(P(A) \neq 0\) and \(P(B) \neq 0\). By working through the following steps, you'll see why two independent events are not mutually exclusive. (a) What formula is used to compute \(P(A\) and \(B)\) ? Is \(P(A\) and \(B) \neq 0\) ? Explain. (b) Using the information from part (a), can you conclude that events \(A\) and \(B\) are not mutually exclusive?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Independent events have a non-zero intersection probability, so they are not mutually exclusive.

Step by step solution

01

Define Independence of Events

Two events \( A \) and \( B \) are independent if the probability of their intersection is equal to the product of their individual probabilities. The formula is given by: \[ P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B) \]
02

Check If Intersection Probability is Non-Zero

Given that \( P(A) eq 0 \) and \( P(B) eq 0 \), the product \( P(A) \cdot P(B) eq 0 \) if both probabilities are positive. Therefore, \( P(A \cap B) eq 0 \) meaning that there is a non-zero probability that both events occur.
03

Analyze Mutual Exclusivity

Two events are mutually exclusive if they cannot happen at the same time, i.e., \( P(A \cap B) = 0 \). Since \( P(A \cap B) eq 0 \) for independent events, this indicates that \( A \) and \( B \) are not mutually exclusive.
04

Conclusion on Independence vs Mutual Exclusivity

Since the intersection probability \( P(A \cap B) eq 0 \), \( A \) and \( B \) being independent implies they can occur simultaneously and hence are not mutually exclusive.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Independent Events
In probability theory, understanding independent events is crucial. Two events, say \( A \) and \( B \), are termed independent if the occurrence of one event does not affect the probability of the other event happening. For independent events, the probability that both \( A \) and \( B \) occur is calculated as the product of their individual probabilities, represented by the formula:
  • \( P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B) \)
In the context of the exercise, since \( P(A) eq 0 \) and \( P(B) eq 0 \), their product—\( P(A \cap B) \)—is also not zero, provided both probabilities are positive. This indicates that both events can occur side by side. This is a defining feature of independent events.
Mutually Exclusive Events
Mutually exclusive events are quite different from independent events. When two events are mutually exclusive, they cannot both happen at the same time.So, if \( A \) and \( B \) are mutually exclusive, the probability of both occurring together is zero. Mathematically, this is expressed as:
  • \( P(A \cap B) = 0 \)
If events are independent, as seen in the previous section, \( P(A \cap B) eq 0 \). Henceforth, independent events are never mutually exclusive because both can indeed occur together. This makes the two concepts distinctly different.
Intersection of Events
In probability, the intersection of events \( A \) and \( B \) is concerned with the scenario where both events occur simultaneously. This is symbolized by \( A \cap B \) and the probability of this intersection provides a vital insight into understanding relationships between events.If \( A \) and \( B \) are independent, the intersection probability \( P(A \cap B) \) is the product of their individual probabilities. As explained:
  • \( P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B) \)
This probability tells us how likely it is for both events to take place together. Conversely, if events are mutually exclusive, \( P(A \cap B) = 0 \), as they can’t occur simultaneously. Therefore, knowing the intersection probability is fundamental to distinguishing between these types of events.

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