/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 7 The following preference table g... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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The following preference table gives the results of a straw vote among three candidates, \(\mathrm{A}, \mathrm{B}\), and \(\mathrm{C}\). $$ \begin{array}{|l|c|c|c|c|} \hline \text { Number of Votes } & \mathbf{1 0} & \mathbf{8} & \mathbf{7} & \mathbf{4} \\ \hline \text { First Choice } & \text { C } & \text { B } & \text { A } & \text { A } \\ \hline \text { Second Choice } & \text { A } & \text { C } & \text { B } & \text { C } \\ \hline \text { Third Choice } & \text { B } & \text { A } & \text { C } & \text { B } \\ \hline \end{array} $$ a. Using the plurality-with-elimination method, which candidate wins the straw vote? b. In the actual election, the four voters in the last column who voted \(A, C, B\), in that order, change their votes to \(\mathrm{C}, \mathrm{A}, \mathrm{B}\). Using the plurality-with-elimination method, which candidate wins the actual election? c. Is the monotonicity criterion satisfied? Explain your answer.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Candidate C wins both the straw vote and the actual election. The monotonicity criterion is satisfied because changing the votes did not alter the winning candidate.

Step by step solution

01

Tally the first-choice votes

According to the preference table, the first-choice votes distribute as follows: Candidate A receives 7+4=11 votes, Candidate B receives 8 votes, and Candidate C receives 10 votes.
02

Apply the Plurality-with-Elimination method for the straw vote

As per the method, the candidate with the least first-choice votes (Candidate B) is eliminated first. Then, the votes of the voters who preferred Candidate B are redistributed according to their next (second) choice. This leaves 11 votes for Candidate A and \((8+10)=18\) votes for Candidate C.
03

Determine the winner of the straw vote

Candidate C wins the straw vote because he obtained the highest number of votes after applying the plurality-with-elimination method.
04

Apply the plurality-with-elimination method for the actual election

Some voters change their choices for the actual election, so now Candidate A gets \((7+0)=7\) votes, Candidate B continues to get 8 votes, and Candidate C now has \((10+4)=14\) votes. Apply the method as before: eliminate Candidate A and redistribute their votes according to the next choices of the voters. This leads to Candidate C obtaining \((14+8)=22\) votes. B's votes are not redistributed as there's no next choice now.
05

Determine the winner of the actual election

Candidate C also wins the actual election after the votes are redistributed.
06

Evaluate the monotonicity criterion

The monotonicity criterion implies that if a voter changes their vote to increase preferences for a candidate, then everything else held constant, it shouldn't cause that candidate to lose nor a candidate to win if their ranks are lowered. Here, even when the voters changed their rankings, Candidate C still won the election. Therefore, the monotonicity criterion is satisfied in this scenario.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Voting Theory
Voting theory, also known as social choice theory, plays a critical role in mathematical decision-making, particularly in the context of elections. It’s a fascinating area of study that deals with aggregating individual preferences to reach a collective decision. Different voting systems exist, with each system having its own set of rules to determine an outcome based on voters' preferences.

One of these systems is the plurality-with-elimination method, also known as the instant-runoff voting. In this method, if no candidate receives a majority of first-choice votes, the candidate with the fewest first-choice votes is eliminated. Voters who preferred the eliminated candidate will then have their votes reallocated to their next preferred candidate. This process continues until one candidate secures a majority of the votes.

In the exercise presented, the plurality-with-elimination method was applied to a straw vote. We first tallied the first-choice votes, then proceeded to eliminate the candidate with the least votes, redistributing those votes according to voters' second choices. Successive rounds of elimination would occur until a candidate receives a more than half of the votes. It’s a method that ensures the winner reflects a broader consensus among voters rather than just a plurality.
Mathematical Decision-making
Mathematical decision-making involves using quantitative methods to make choices between different alternatives, often optimizing for a certain goal or set of criteria. In the realm of voting, mathematical decision-making is employed to convert the preferences of individual voters into a collective decision that reasonably represents the will of the group. The decision-making process must take into account various factors like fairness, representativeness, and strategic resistance.

The plurality-with-elimination method used in the exercise is an example of mathematical decision-making providing a systematic approach to determine an election winner. By eliminating candidates in a step-wise fashion and reallocating votes, the method attempts to ensure that the winner has wide-reaching support. In both the straw vote and the actual election scenario, mathematical decision-making is at the forefront, ensuring that the will of the voters is accurately reflected in the final outcome.
Monotonicity Criterion
The monotonicity criterion is a concept in voting theory that addresses how changes in voter preferences should affect election outcomes. Specifically, it posits that if voters increase their preference ranking for a certain candidate, that candidate should not be disadvantaged by this change. Conversely, if voters decrease their ranking for a candidate, that should not inadvertently benefit that candidate.

In the context of the exercise, we are asked if the monotonicity criterion is satisfied. It’s evident from the solution that even after a group of voters changed their votes favoring Candidate C more highly, Candidate C remained the winner. This result reflects the monotonicity criterion being satisfied because improving a candidate's position in voter preferences did not change the outcome to their detriment. Thus, the voting system used here adheres to the principle that gaining support should not harm a candidate's standing in the election result.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Three candidates, A, B, and \(\mathrm{C}\), are running for mayor. Election rules stipulate that the pairwise comparison method will determine the winner. In the event that the pairwise comparison method leads to a tie, the Borda count method will decide the winner. The election results are summarized in the following preference table. Under these rules, which candidate becomes the new mayor? $$ \begin{array}{|l|c|c|c|c|c|} \hline \text { Number of Votes } & \mathbf{6 0 , 0 0 0} & \mathbf{4 0 , 0 0 0} & \mathbf{4 0 , 0 0 0} & \mathbf{2 0 , 0 0 0} & \mathbf{2 0 , 0 0 0} \\ \hline \text { First Choice } & \text { A } & \text { C } & \text { B } & \text { A } & \text { C } \\ \hline \text { Second Choice } & \text { B } & \text { A } & \text { C } & \text { C } & \text { B } \\ \hline \text { Third Choice } & \text { C } & \text { B } & \text { A } & \text { B } & \text { A } \\ \hline \end{array} $$

The table shows the 1790 United States census. In 1793, at th direction of President George Washington, 105 seats in t House of Representatives were to be divided among the 15 stat according to their 1790 populations. Use this information to sol Exercises 23-26. $$ \begin{aligned} &1790 \text { UNITED STATES CENSUS }\\\ &\begin{array}{|l|r|l|r|} \hline \text { Connecticut } & 236,841 & \text { New York } & 331,589 \\ \hline \text { Delaware } & 55,540 & \text { North Carolina } & 353,523 \\ \hline \text { Georgia } & 70,835 & \text { Pennsylvania } & 432,879 \\ \hline \text { Kentucky } & 68,705 & \text { Rhode Island } & 68,446 \\ \hline \text { Maryland } & 278,514 & \text { South Carolina } & 206,236 \\ \hline \text { Massachusetts } & 475,327 & \text { Vermont } & 85,533 \\ \hline \text { New Hampshire } & 141,822 & \text { Virginia } & 630,560 \\ \hline \text { New Jersey } & 179,570 & & \\ \hline \end{array} \end{aligned} $$ Use Hamilton's method to find each state's apportionment of congressional seats.

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Describe the difference between the modified divisor, \(d\), in terms of the standard divisor using Jefferson's method and Adams's method.

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