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Detecting gypsy moths The gypsy moth is a serious threat to oak and aspen trees. A state agriculture department places traps throughout the state to detect the moths. Each month, an SRS of 50 traps is inspected, the number of moths in each trap is recorded, and the mean number of moths is calculated. Based on years of data, the distribution of moth counts is discrete and strongly skewed with a mean of 0.5 and a standard deviation of 0.7.

a. Explain why it is reasonable to use a Normal distribution to approximate the sampling distribution of x-x¯for SRSs of size 50 .

b. Estimate the probability that the mean number of moths in a sample of size 50 is greater than or equal to 0.6.

c. In a recent month, the mean number of moths in an SRS of size 50 was x-=0.6. x¯=0.6. Based on this result, is there convincing evidence that the moth population is getting larger in this state? Explain your reasoning.

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a) the sample size is 50 , which is more than 30 and therefore the sampling distribution of the sample means x¯is about normal, by the central limit theorem.

(b) The associative probability using table =0.1562

(c) it is plausible that the sample mean number of months is this high by chance alone.

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1: Given Information

Given,

μ=0.5σ=0.7n=50

02

Part (a) Step 2: Simplification

The central limit theorems say that the sampling distribution of the sample means is about normal, when the sample is sufficiently large. When a sample size of 10 or more is used, it is considered to be appropriately large.

By the central limit theorem, the sampling distribution of the sample means x¯ is nearly normal in this example because the sample size is 50, which is greater than 30.

03

Part (b) Step 1: Given Information

Given,

μ=0.5σ=0.7n=50

Formula used:

σx¯=σnz=x-μσ

04

Part (b) Step 2: Simplification

The mean of the sampling distribution of the sample mean x¯is equal to the population mean:

μx¯=μ=0.5

The sampling distribution of the sample mean's standard deviation x¯is

σx¯=σn=0.750=0.0990

The sample size is 30 or more. We know that the sampling distribution of the sample meanx¯is approximately normal because of the central limit theorem.

The z-score is a measure of how well something works.

z=x-μσ=0.6-0.50.0990=1.01

The associative probability using table

P(x¯≥0.6)=P(z>1.01)=P(Z<-1.01)=0.1562

05

Part (c) Step 1: Given information

Given,

μ=0.5σ=0.7n=50

06

Part (c) Step 2: Explanation

No

Since this probability is not insignificant, it is possible that the sample mean number of months is thus large just by coincidence.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A researcher initially plans to take an SRS of size 160 from a certain population and calculate the sample mean x-x¯. Later, the researcher decides to increase the sample size so that the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of x-x¯will be half as big as when using a sample size of 160 . What sample size should the researcher use?

a. 40

b. 80

c. 320

d. 640

e. There is not enough information to determine the sample size.

You work for an advertising agency that is preparing a new television commercial to appeal to women. You have been asked to design an experiment to compare the effectiveness of three versions of the commercial. Each subject will be shown one of the three versions and then asked to reveal her attitude toward the product. You think there may be large differences in the responses of women who are employed and those who are not. Because of these differences, you should use

a. a block design, but not a matched pairs design.

b. a completely randomized design.

c. a matched pairs design.

d. a simple random sample.

e. a stratified random sample.

A statistic is an unbiased estimator of a parameter when

a. the statistic is calculated from a random sample.

b. in a single sample, the value of the statistic is equal to the value of the parameter.

c. in many samples, the values of the statistic are very close to the value of the

parameter.

d. in many samples, the values of the statistic are centered at the value of the parameter.

e. in many samples, the distribution of the statistic has a shape that is approximately

Normal.

Refer to the small population of 5students in the table.

Sample means List all 10 possible SRSs of size n=2, calculate the

mean quiz score for each sample, and display the sampling distribution of the sample

mean on a dotplot.

Sample minimums List all 10possible SRSs of size n=3, calculate the minimum quiz score for each sample, and display the sampling distribution of the sample minimum on a dotplot.

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