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In a city library, the mean number of pages in a novel is 525with a standard deviation of 200. Approximately 30%of the novels have fewer than 400 pages. Suppose that you randomly select 50 novels from the library.

a. What is the probability that the average number of pages in the sample is less than 500?

b. What is the probability that at least 20 of the novels have fewer than 400 pages?

Short Answer

Expert verified
  1. The chance of the total number of pages being fewer than 25,000is0.1894.
  2. the probability that at least 20 of the novels have fewer than 400 pages is0.0618.

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1: Given information

Given:

μ=525σ=200n=50

Below is the Formula we can use:

z=x¯-μdln

02

Part (a) Step 2: Calculation 

The required Sample mean is

25,0050=500z=x¯-μa/n=500-525200/50=-0.88P(x¯<500)=P(Z<-0.88)=0.1894

The chance of the total number of pages being fewer than 25,000 is 0.1894.

03

Part (b)  Step 1: Given information

Given,

n=50p=30%=0.30

Folllow the following Formula used:

σp^=p(1-p)nz=x-μσ

04

Part (b)  Step 2: Calculation 

For a binomial distribution with a normal approximation: np≥and nq≥10.

np=50(0.30)=15≥10nq=n(1-p)=50(1-0.35)=35≥10

The normal distribution is then used to approximate the binomial distribution.

μp^=p=0.30σp^=p(1-p)n=0.30(1-030)50=0.0648

The standardised score is calculated by dividing the value x by the mean and then by the standard deviation.

z=x-μσ=0.4-0.300.0648=1.54

Using the normal probability table, calculate the corresponding probability.

P(x≥20)=P(p^-0.40)=P(Z>1.54)=1-P(Z<1.54)=1-0.9382=0.0618

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