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Commuting to work Refer to Exercise 52 .

a. Assume that B and Ware independent random variables. Explain what this means in context.

b. Calculate and interpret the standard deviation of the difference D(Bus - Walk) in the time it would take Sulé to get to work on a randomly selected day.

c. From the information given, can you find the probability that it will take Sulé longer to get to work on the bus than if he walks on a randomly selected day? Explain why or why not.

Short Answer

Expert verified
  1. The commute times of independent random variables B and W are unaffected by each other.
  2. The average difference between commuting by bus and commuting by foot deviates by approximately 4.1231minutes from the mean difference of -4minutes.
  3. No, because the B and W distributions are unknown.

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1: Given information

B and W are two unrelated random variables.

02

Part (a) Step 2: Calculation

To get the B:

Mean,

μB=12minutes

Standard deviation,

σB=4minutes

For W:

Mean,

μW=16minutes

Standard deviation,

σw=1minute

B: bus travel time

W: walking commute time

We are aware that

B and W are two unrelated random variables.

This means

In any case, the commute time by bus B has no bearing on the journey time by walking W.

Similarly,

In any case, the commute time by walking W has no bearing on the commuting time by bus B.

03

Part (b) Step 1: Given information

B and W are two unrelated random variables.

04

Part (b) Step 2:  Calculation

For B:

Mean,

μB=12minutes

Standard deviation,

σB=4minutes

For W:

Mean,

μW=16minutes

Standard deviation,

σW=1minute

B: commute time by bus

W: commute time when walking

Now,

The mean difference in travel times for B and W is:

μD=μB-W=μB-μw=12-16=-4minutes

The variance of the difference is equal to the sum of the variances of the random variables when they are independent.

σD2=σB-w2=σB2+σW2=(4)2+(1)2=16+1=17minutes

We also know that

The square root of the variance is the standard deviation:

σB-w=σB-w2=17≈4.1231minutes

The average difference between commuting by bus and commuting by foot deviates by approximately 4.1231 minutes from the mean difference of -4 minutes.

05

Part(c) Step 1: Given information

B and W are two unrelated random variables.

06

Part(c) Step 2: Calculation

For B:

Mean,

μB=12minutes

Standard deviation,

σB=4minutes

For W:

Mean,

μw=16minutes

Standard deviation,

σW=1minute

B: commute time by bus

W: commute time when walking

From Part (b),

We came to know that

The difference B-W had mean of -4minutes and standard deviation of approx. 4.1231minutes.

Because the distribution of B or the distribution of W are unknown.

Thus,

The distribution of the difference B-W is unknown.

Hence,

It is hard to predict whether the commute time by bus will be longer than the travel time by walking.

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