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Lactose intolerance Lactose intolerance causes difficulty in digesting dairy products that contain lactose (milk sugar). It is particularly common among people of African and Asian ancestry. In the United States (not including other groups and people who consider themselves to belong to more than one race), 82% of the population is White, 14% is Black, and 4% is Asian. Moreover, 15% of Whites, 70% of Blacks, and 90% of Asians are lactose intolerant. 22 Suppose we select a U.S. person at random and find that the person is lactose intolerant. What鈥檚 the probability that she or he is Asian?

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability of a lactose intolerant Asian being randomly selected in the United States is approximately 0.1401.

Step by step solution

01

Step 1:Given information

Data for African and Asian ancestry in United States:

82%of the population is White

14% of the population is Black

4%of the population is Asian

Lactose intolerant people:

15% are Whites

70%are Blacks

90% are Asians

02

Step 2:Calculation

Probability for White,

P(W)=0.82

Probability for Black,

P(B)=0.14

Probability for Asian,

P(A)=0.04

Probability for White lactose intolerant,

P(LW)=0.15

Probability for Black lactose intolerant,

P(LB)=0.70

Probability for Asian lactose intolerant,

P(LA)=0.90

Apply general multiplication rule:

Probability for lactose intolerant and White,

P(LandW)=P(W)P(LW)=0.820.15=0.123

Probability for lactose intolerant and Black,

P(LandB)=P(B)P(LB)=0.140.70=0.098

Probability for lactose intolerant and Asian,

P(LandA)=P(A)P(LA)=0.040.90=0.036

Since the group of people considering themselves to belong to more than one race are not included.

Apply general addition rule for mutually exclusive events:

P(L)=P(LandW)+P(LandB)+P(LandA)

=0.123+0.098+0.036

=0.257

Using conditional probability definition:

P(AL)=P(LandA)P(L)=0.0360.257=362570.1401

Thus,

The conditional probability for randomly selected person is lactose intolerant Asian is approx.0.1401.

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