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Researchers wondered whether maintaining a patient鈥檚 body temperature close to normal by heating the patient during surgery would affect rates of infection of wounds. Patients were assigned at random to two groups: the normothermic group (core temperatures were maintained at near normal, 36.5C, using heating blankets) and the hypothermic group (core temperatures were allowed to decrease to about 34.5C). If keeping patients warm during surgery alters the chance of infection, patients in the two groups should show a difference in the average length of their hospital stays. Here are summary statistics on hospital stay (in number of days) for the two groups:

a. Construct and interpret a 95%confidence interval for the difference in the true mean length of hospital stay for normothermic and hypothermic patients like these.

b. Does your interval in part (a) suggest that keeping patients warm during surgery affects the average length of patients鈥 hospital stays? Justify your answer.

c. Interpret the meaning of 鈥95%confidence鈥 in the context of this study.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Part(a) 95%confidence interval for the difference in the true mean length of hospital stay for normothermic and hypothermic patients like these is (-4.175,-1.025)

Part(b) Yes, keeping patients warm during surgery affects the average length of patients鈥 hospital stays

Part(c) "95%confidence" means 95% of the intervals would grasp the true difference in mean hospital stay.

Step by step solution

01

Part(a) Step 1 : Given information

We need to interpret a confidence interval for the difference in the true mean length of hospital stay for normothermic and hypothermic patients like these.

Group
n
x-3051526=0.200=20.0%x
S3051526=0.200=20.0%Sx
Normothermic
104
12.1
4.4
Hypothermic
96
14.7
6.5
02

Part(a) Step 2 : Simplify

As given :

x1=12.1x2=14.7s1=4.4s2=6.5n1=104n2=96c=95%

Now, degree of freedom :

df=min(n1-1,n2-1)=min(104-1,96-1)=95>80

Now, tc=1.990using table B.

The endpoints of confidence interval are :

(x1-x2)-t2s12n1+s22n2=(12.1-14.7)-1.9904.42104+6.5296=-4.175(x1-x2)+t2s12n1+s22n2=(12.1-14.7)+1.9904.42104+6.5296=-1.025

Therefore, 95% confidence interval for the difference in the true mean length of hospital stay for normothermic and hypothermic patients like these.

03

Part(b) Step 1 : Given information

We need to find that keeping patients warm during surgery affects the average length of patients鈥 hospital stays.

04

Part(b) Step 2 : Simplify

Yes, The confidence interval (-4.175,-1.025)in component (a) does not contain zero, implying that keeping patients warm during surgery influences the average length of their hospital stay.

05

Part(c) Step 1 : Given information

We need to interpret meaning of " 95%confidence".

06

Part(c) Step 2 : Simplify

In the context of this study, "95 percent confidence" means that if we repeated the experiment many times, about 95 percent of the intervals would grasp the true difference in mean hospital stay between patients who are receiving heating blankets during surgery and patients who have one鈥榮 core temperature reduced during surgery.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Friday the 13thRefer to Exercise 88.

a. Construct and interpret a 90%confidence interval for the true mean difference. If you already defined parameters and checked conditions in Exercise 88, you don鈥檛 need to do them again here.

b. Explain how the confidence interval provides more information than the test in Exercise 88.

TicksLyme disease is spread in the northeastern United States by infected ticks. The ticks are infected mainly by feeding on mice, so more mice result in more infected ticks. The mouse population, in turn, rises and falls with the abundance of acorns, their favored food. Experimenters studied two similar forest areas in a year when the acorn crop failed. To see if mice are more likely to breed when there are more acorns, the researchers added hundreds of thousands of acorns to one area to imitate an abundant acorn crop, while leaving the other area untouched. The next spring, 54of the 72mice trapped in the first area were in breeding condition, versus 10of the 17mice trapped in the second area.

a. State appropriate hypotheses for performing a significance test. Be sure to define the parameters of interest.

b. Check if the conditions for performing the test are met.

Which of the following describes a Type II error in the context of this study?

a. Finding convincing evidence that the true means are different for males and females when in reality the true means are the same

b. Finding convincing evidence that the true means are different for males and females when in reality the true means are different

c. Not finding convincing evidence that the true means are different for males and females when in reality the true means are the same

d. Not finding convincing evidence that the true means are different for males and females when in reality the true means are different

e. Not finding convincing evidence that the true means are different for males and females when in reality there is convincing evidence that the true means are different.

American-made cars Nathan and Kyle both work for the Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV), but they live in different states. In Nathan鈥檚 state, 80%of the registered cars are made by American manufacturers. In Kyle鈥檚 state, only 60%of the registered cars are made by American manufacturers. Nathan selects a random sample of 100cars in his state and Kyle selects a random sample of 70cars in his state. Let pn-pkbe the difference (Nathan鈥檚 state 鈥 Kyle鈥檚 state) in the sample proportion of cars made by American manufacturers.

a. What is the shape of the sampling distribution of pn-pk? Why?

b. Find the mean of the sampling distribution.

c. Calculate and interpret the standard deviation of the sampling distribution.

The P-value for the stated hypotheses is 0.002Interpret this value in the context of this study.

a. Assuming that the true mean road rage score is the same for males and females, there is a 0.002probability of getting a difference in sample means equal to the one observed in this study.

b. Assuming that the true mean road rage score is the same for males and females, there is a 0.002 probability of getting a difference in sample means at least as large in either direction as the one observed in this study.

c. Assuming that the true mean road rage score is different for males and females, there is a 0.002 probability of getting a difference in sample means at least as large in either direction as the one observed in this study.

d. Assuming that the true mean road rage score is the same for males and females, there is a 0.002 probability that the null hypothesis is true.

e. Assuming that the true mean road rage score is the same for males and females, there is a 0.002 probability that the alternative hypothesis is true.

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