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The Candy Shoppe assembles gift boxes that contain 8chocolate truffles and 2handmade caramel nougats. The truffles have a mean weight of 2ounces with a standard deviation of 0.5ounce, and the nougats have a mean weight of 4ounces with a standard deviation of 1ounce. The empty boxes have mean weight 3ounces with a standard deviation of 0.2ounce.

a. Assuming that the weights of the truffles, nougats, and boxes are independent, what are the mean and standard deviation of the weight of a box of candy?

b. Assuming that the weights of the truffles, nougats, and boxes are approximately Normally distributed, what is the probability that a randomly selected box of candy will weigh more than 30ounces?

c. If five gift boxes are randomly selected, what is the probability that at least one of them will weigh more than 30ounces?

d. If five gift boxes are randomly selected, what is the probability that the mean weight of the five boxes will be more than 30ounces?

Short Answer

Expert verified

Part a. The mean is 27ounces.

The standard deviation of the weight of a box of candy is 2.01ounces

Part b. The probability that a randomly selected box of candy will weigh more than 30ounces is 0.0681

Part c. The probability that at least one of them will weigh more than 30ounces is 0.2972

Part d. The probability that the mean weight of five boxes will weigh more than30 ounces is0.0004

Step by step solution

01

Part a. Step 1. Calculation

It is given that the candy shop assembles gift boxes that contains eight chocolate truffles and two handmade caramel nougats. Thus, now:

Let us define Xi(i=1,2,...8)represents the weight of a truffleYi(i=1,2)and represents the weight of the handmade caramel nougat and represents the weight of the empty box.

Now, the total weight will be:

U=∑i-18Xi+Y1+Y2+Z

And it is given in the question that:

μxi=2σxi=0.5μyi=4σyi=1μzi=3σzi=0.2

As we know that the mean of the sum of random variables is equal to the sum of their means, then total mean will be calculated as:

μu=8μxi+2μyi+μz=8(2)+2(4)+3(1)=16+8+3=27

Thus the mean is 27ounces.

The variance of the sum of random variables is equal to the sum of their variances, when the random variables are independent. So, the variance is:

σ2u=8σ2xi+2σ2yi+σ2z=8(0.5)2+2(1)2+0.22=4.04

Now, the standard deviation will be calculated by square root of variance:

σu=σ2u=4.04=2.01

Thus, the standard deviation of the weight of a box of candy is 2.01ounces.

02

Part b. Step 1. Calculation

From part (a), we know that,

μ=27σ=2.01x=30

Now, to calculate the probability we have to find the z-score:

z=x-μσ=30-272.01=1.49

Now, we will find the corresponding probability using the normal probability table. As,

P(X>30)=P(Z>1.49)=1-P(Z>1.49)=1-0.9319=0.0681=6.81%

Thus, the probability that a randomly selected box of candy will weigh more than 30ounces is0.0681.

03

Part c. Step 1. Calculation

It is given that:

n=5p=P(X>30)=0.0681 from part (c)

The number of successes among a fixed number of independent trials with a constant probability of success follows the binomial distribution.

Thus, now evaluate probability at K=0

role="math" localid="1663667060763" P(Y=0)C05×(0.0681)0×(1-0.0681)5-0=5!0!(5-0)!×(0.0681)0×(0.9319)5=1×(0.0681)0×(0.9319)5=0.7028

Now, use the complement rule:

P(Y≥1)=1-P(Y=0)=1-0.7028=0.2972=29.72%

Thus, the probability that at least one of them will weigh more than 30ounces is0.2972

04

Part d. Step 1. Calculation

Now, it is given and from part (a), we have,

μ=27σ=2.01x-=30n=5

Now, since we know the population is normal, the sampling distribution of the sample mean x-is also normal.

Thus, the sampling distribution of the sample mean x-has mean μand standard deviation σn

So, we have to first find the z-score:

z=x--μσx=x--μσn=30-272.015=3.34

And now we will find the corresponding probability using the normal probability table. As,

P(X¯>30)=P(Z>3.34)=1-P(Z<3.34)=1-0.9996=0.0004=0.04%

Thus, the probability that the mean weight of five boxes will weigh more than 30ounces is0.0004.

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