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Friday the 13th Do people behave differently on Friday the13th? Researchers collected data on the number of shoppers at a random sample of 45grocery stores on Friday the 6thand Friday the 13thin the same month. Then they calculated the difference (subtracting in the order6thminus13th ) in the number of shoppers at each store on these 2days. The mean difference is -46.5and the standard deviation of the differences is 178.0.

a. If the result of this study is statistically significant, can you conclude that the difference in shopping behavior is due to the effect of Friday the 13thon people鈥檚 behavior? Why or why not?

b. Do these data provide convincing evidence at the=0.05level that the number of shoppers at grocery stores on these 2days differs, on average?

c. Based on your conclusion in part (a), which type of error鈥攁 Type I error or a Type II error鈥攃ould you have made? Explain your answer.

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. No we can not conclude that the difference in shopping behavior is due to the effect of Friday the 13thon people鈥檚 behavior.

b. No, There is no convincing evidence that the number of shoppers at grocery stores on these 2days differs, on average.

c. We have made a Type II error.

Step by step solution

01

Part (a): Step 1: Given information

We have been given that we collected data on the number of shoppers at a random sample of45 grocery stores on Friday the 6thand Friday the 13thin the same month and the mean difference is -46.5and the standard deviation of the differences is 178.0.

We need to find out that if the result of this study is statistically significant, can we conclude that the difference in shopping behavior is due to the effect of Friday the 13thon people鈥檚 behavior.

02

Part (a): Step 2: Explanation

We note that the selected stores are a random sample and we took two Fridays in the same month and it may be possible that some special occasion occurs in either of these two weeks which affects the no. of shoppers on these days.

So we can not conclude that the difference in shopping behavior is due to the effect of Friday the 13thon people鈥檚 behavior.

03

Part (b): Step 1: Given information

We have been given that we collected data on the number of shoppers at a random sample of 45grocery stores on Friday the 6thand Friday the 13thin the same month and the mean difference is -46.5and the standard deviation of the differences is 178.0.

We need to find out that do these data provide convincing evidence at the =0.05level that the number of shoppers at grocery stores on these two days differs, on average.

04

Part (b): step 2: Explanation

Given:

n=Samplesize=45xd=Meandifferences=-46.5sd=Standarddeviationofdifferences=178=Significancelevel=0.05

Now we will carry out a hypothesis test for the population mean difference:

H0=Nullhypothesis(H)a=AlternativehypothesisH0:d=0Ha:d0Nowwewilldeterminethevalueofteststatistics:t=xd-dsdnt=-46.5-017845-1.752

The P-value is the probability of obtaining the value of test statistics.

Degree of freedom=n-1=45-1=44

The test is a two-tailed test so we double the boundaries of the P-value and we will use the value of the degree of freedom equal to 40because the table does not contain value 44.

0.05=20.025<P<20.05=0.10nowatt=-1.752andDegreeoffreedom=40,pvalue=0.08674

We have to reject the null hypothesis if the probability value is less than the hypothesis value.

P>0.05FailtorejectH0

There is no convincing evidence that the number of shoppers at grocery stores on these two days differs, on average.

05

Part (c): Step 1: Given information

We have been given that we collected data on the number of shoppers at a random sample of 45grocery stores on Friday the 6thand Friday the 13thin the same month and the mean difference is -46.5and the standard deviation of the differences is 178.0.

We need to find out that based on part (a) which type of error鈥攁 Type I error or a Type II error鈥攃ould we have made.

06

Part (c): Step 2: Explanation

We could have Type II error (if we made an error) because we failed to reject the null hypothesis.

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