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Friday the 13th Do people behave differently on Friday the13th? Researchers collected data on the number of shoppers at a random sample of 45grocery stores on Friday the 6thand Friday the 13thin the same month. Then they calculated the difference (subtracting in the order6thminus13th ) in the number of shoppers at each store on these 2days. The mean difference is -46.5and the standard deviation of the differences is 178.0.

a. If the result of this study is statistically significant, can you conclude that the difference in shopping behavior is due to the effect of Friday the 13thon people’s behavior? Why or why not?

b. Do these data provide convincing evidence at theα=0.05level that the number of shoppers at grocery stores on these 2days differs, on average?

c. Based on your conclusion in part (a), which type of error—a Type I error or a Type II error—could you have made? Explain your answer.

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. No we can not conclude that the difference in shopping behavior is due to the effect of Friday the 13thon people’s behavior.

b. No, There is no convincing evidence that the number of shoppers at grocery stores on these 2days differs, on average.

c. We have made a Type II error.

Step by step solution

01

Part (a): Step 1: Given information

We have been given that we collected data on the number of shoppers at a random sample of45 grocery stores on Friday the 6thand Friday the 13thin the same month and the mean difference is -46.5and the standard deviation of the differences is 178.0.

We need to find out that if the result of this study is statistically significant, can we conclude that the difference in shopping behavior is due to the effect of Friday the 13thon people’s behavior.

02

Part (a): Step 2: Explanation

We note that the selected stores are a random sample and we took two Fridays in the same month and it may be possible that some special occasion occurs in either of these two weeks which affects the no. of shoppers on these days.

So we can not conclude that the difference in shopping behavior is due to the effect of Friday the 13thon people’s behavior.

03

Part (b): Step 1: Given information

We have been given that we collected data on the number of shoppers at a random sample of 45grocery stores on Friday the 6thand Friday the 13thin the same month and the mean difference is -46.5and the standard deviation of the differences is 178.0.

We need to find out that do these data provide convincing evidence at the α=0.05level that the number of shoppers at grocery stores on these two days differs, on average.

04

Part (b): step 2: Explanation

Given:

n=Samplesize=45x¯d=Meandifferences=-46.5sd=Standarddeviationofdifferences=178α=Significancelevel=0.05

Now we will carry out a hypothesis test for the population mean difference:

H0=Nullhypothesis(H)a=AlternativehypothesisH0:μd=0Ha:μd≠0Nowwewilldeterminethevalueofteststatistics:t=xd¯-μdsdnt=-46.5-017845≈-1.752

The P-value is the probability of obtaining the value of test statistics.

Degree of freedom=n-1=45-1=44

The test is a two-tailed test so we double the boundaries of the P-value and we will use the value of the degree of freedom equal to 40because the table does not contain value 44.

0.05=20.025<P<20.05=0.10nowatt=-1.752andDegreeoffreedom=40,pvalue=0.08674

We have to reject the null hypothesis if the probability value is less than the hypothesis value.

P>0.05⇒FailtorejectH0

There is no convincing evidence that the number of shoppers at grocery stores on these two days differs, on average.

05

Part (c): Step 1: Given information

We have been given that we collected data on the number of shoppers at a random sample of 45grocery stores on Friday the 6thand Friday the 13thin the same month and the mean difference is -46.5and the standard deviation of the differences is 178.0.

We need to find out that based on part (a) which type of error—a Type I error or a Type II error—could we have made.

06

Part (c): Step 2: Explanation

We could have Type II error (if we made an error) because we failed to reject the null hypothesis.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Bag lunch? Phoebe has a hunch that older students at her very large high

school are more likely to bring a bag lunch than younger students because they have grown tired of cafeteria food. She takes a simple random sample of 80 sophomores and finds that 52of them bring a bag lunch. A simple random sample of 104seniors reveals that 78of them bring a bag lunch.

a. Do these data give convincing evidence to support Phoebe’s hunch at the α=0.05significance level?

b. Interpret the P-value from part (a) in the context of this study.

Music and memory Refer to Exercise 87.

a. Construct and interpret a 99%confidence interval for the true mean difference. If you already defined the parameter and checked conditions in Exercise87, you don’t need to do them again here.

b. Explain how the confidence interval provides more information than the test in Exercise .

Which of the following describes a Type II error in the context of this study?

a. Finding convincing evidence that the true means are different for males and females when in reality the true means are the same

b. Finding convincing evidence that the true means are different for males and females when in reality the true means are different

c. Not finding convincing evidence that the true means are different for males and females when in reality the true means are the same

d. Not finding convincing evidence that the true means are different for males and females when in reality the true means are different

e. Not finding convincing evidence that the true means are different for males and females when in reality there is convincing evidence that the true means are different.

Music and memory Does listening to music while studying help or hinder students’ learning? Two statistics students designed an experiment to find out. They selected a random sample of 30students from their medium-sized high school to participate. Each subject was given 10minutes to memorize two different lists of 20words, once while listening to music and once in silence. The order of the two word lists was determined at random; so was the order of the treatments. The difference (Silence − Music) in the number of words recalled was recorded for each subject. The mean difference was 1.57and the standard deviation of the differences was 2.70.

a. If the result of this study is statistically significant, can you conclude that the difference in the ability to memorize words was caused by whether students were performing the task in silence or with music playing? Why or why not?

b. Do the data provide convincing evidence at theα=0.01 significance level that the number of words recalled in silence or when listening to music differs, on average, for students at this school?

c. Based on your conclusion in part (a), which type of error—a Type I error or a Type II error—could you have made? Explain your answer.

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a. It remains the same.

b. It is multiplied by 2.

c. It is multiplied by 4.

d. It is divided by 2.

e. It is divided by 4.

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