/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 67 The composition of the earth's a... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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The composition of the earth's atmosphere may have changed over time. To try to discover the nature of the atmosphere long ago, we can examine the gas in bubbles inside ancient amber. Amber is tree resin that has hardened and been trapped in rocks. The gas in bubbles within amber should be a sample of the atmosphere at the time the amber was formed. Measurements on 9 specimens of amber from the late Cretaceous era (75 to 95 million years ago) give these percents of nitrogen: \(^{20}\) $$ \begin{array}{llllllll} 63.4 & 65.0 & 64.4 & 63.3 & 54.8 & 64.5 & 60.8 & 49.1 & 51.0 \end{array} $$ Explain why we should not carry out a one-sample \(t\) test in this setting.

Short Answer

Expert verified
A one-sample t-test is inappropriate due to the small sample size and potential non-normality.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the One-Sample t-Test

The one-sample t-test is used to determine if the mean of a single sample is significantly different from a known population mean. It requires certain assumptions about the data to be valid, such as the data being approximately normally distributed and the use of a known reference mean.
02

Checking Assumptions of the One-Sample t-Test

One key assumption of the t-test is that the data should be approximately normally distributed, especially when the sample size is small (usually under 30). Our sample consists of only 9 data points. We need to verify if this small sample meets the normality assumption.
03

Evaluating Normality with Small Sample Size

For small samples, tools like normal probability plots or tests for normality are often used to assess if the data is sufficiently normal. With only 9 observations, a histogram or normality test (such as Shapiro-Wilk) might reveal deviations from normality, making parametric tests less reliable.
04

Exploring Data Distribution

The small sample size raises concerns about the data distribution, which can affect the robustness of the t-test. For example, the presence of outliers, as might be indicated by the much lower nitrogen percents (49.1 and 51.0), suggests that the data may not be normally distributed.
05

Conclusion

Due to the small sample size and possible lack of normality, a one-sample t-test might not be appropriate. Non-parametric alternatives, like the Wilcoxon signed-rank test, could be considered if we cannot assume normality.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Normality Assumption
One important concept when conducting a statistical test like the one-sample t-test is the normality assumption. This assumption suggests that the data being analyzed should be approximately normally distributed to validate the use of parametric tests like the t-test.

When we have small sample sizes, such as the 9 specimens of amber in this case, normality becomes even more crucial. Deviations from normality in small samples can largely impact the results and conclusions of the test. Thus, we often require additional steps to confirm that the data distribution doesn't starkly deviate from a normal distribution.

Checking the normality can be done using visual tools like normal probability plots or formal tests like the Shapiro-Wilk test. However, in small samples like ours, these tools might indicate whether the distribution is normal or if other statistical options should be considered.
Sample Size
Sample size plays a critical role in determining the accuracy and reliability of statistical tests like the t-test. A larger sample size generally provides more reliable estimates and allows parametric assumptions to be more flexibly abused.

In our example, we only have 9 observations. Such a small sample makes it challenging to rely on parametric methods, as they heavily depend on the sample's distribution being approximately normal. This is because, with fewer observations, any outliers or deviations significantly influence the mean and standard deviation, skewing results.

With small sample sizes, it becomes even essential to carefully inspect the distribution and consider whether a parametric approach like a t-test is suitable or if alternatives should be pursued.
Non-Parametric Tests
When the assumptions of parametric tests (like the normality assumption for t-tests) can't be met, non-parametric tests become a handy tool. Non-parametric tests do not rely on data following a specific distribution, making them more flexible in certain scenarios.

In our case, with only 9 amber samples which may not be normally distributed, using a non-parametric test like the Wilcoxon signed-rank test could be more appropriate. These tests work with other elements of the data, like the ranks, rather than relying on strict statistical distributions.

This flexibility allows them to offer insights even when the data has outliers or when the sample size is too small to confidently assume normality, as is often the case with historical data samples.
Data Distribution
Understanding the distribution of the data is a fundamental step in statistical analysis. Data distribution refers to how the data points in a sample are spread or arranged.

In our small sample of 9 amber specimens, peculiarities in distribution, like potential outliers, can skew results and affect the suitability of a t-test. Observing the values like 49.1 and 51.0 among others, suggests disparities in the data distribution which could deviate from normality.

This emphasizes the importance of closely examining the data distribution to ensure the chosen statistical method aligns with the nature of the data. If substantial deviations are detected, a non-parametric approach can often accommodate these nuances and provide more robust conclusions.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A retailer entered into an exclusive agreement with a supplier who guaranteed to provide all products at competitive prices. The retailer eventually began to purchase supplies from other vendors who offered better prices. The original supplier filed a lawsuit claiming violation of the agreement. In defense, the retailer had an audit performed on a random sample of 25 invoices. For each audited invoice, all purchases made from other suppliers were examined and compared with those offered by the original supplier. The percent of purchases on each invoice for which an alternative supplier offered a lower price than the original supplier was recorded. \({ }^{21}\) For example, a data value of 38 means that the price would be lower with a different supplier for \(38 \%\) of the items on the invoice. A histogram and some computer output for these data are shown below. Explain why we should not carry out a one-sample \(t\) test in this setting.

Exercises 21 and 22 refer to the following setting. Slow response times by paramedics, firefighters, and policemen can have serious consequences for accident victims. In the case of life-threatening injuries, victims generally need medical attention within 8 minutes of the accident. Several cities have begun to monitor emergency response times. In one such city, the mean response time to all accidents involving life-threatening injuries last year was \(\mu=6.7\) minutes. Emergency personnel arrived within 8 minutes on \(78 \%\) of all calls involving life-threatening injuries last year. The city manager shares this information and encourages these first responders to "do better." At the end of the year, the city manager selects an SRS of 400 calls involving life-threatening injuries and examines the response times. (a) State hypotheses for a significance test to determine whether the average response time has decreased. Be sure to define the parameter of interest. (b) Describe a Type I error and a Type II error in this setting, and explain the consequences of each. (c) Which is more serious in this setting: a Type I error or a Type II error? Justify your answer.

. You are testing \(H_{0}: \mu=10\) against \(H_{a}: \mu<10\) based on an SRS of 20 observations from a Normal population. The \(t\) statistic is \(t=-2.25\). The \(P\) -value (a) falls between 0.01 and 0.02 . (b) falls between 0.02 and 0.04 . (c) falls between 0.04 and 0.05 . (d) falls between 0.05 and 0.25 . (e) is greater than 0.25 .

Significance tests \(A\) test of \(H_{0}: p=0.5\) versus \(H_{a}: p>0.5\) has test statistic \(z=2.19\) (a) What conclusion would you draw at the \(5 \%\) significance level? At the \(1 \%\) level? (b) If the alternative hypothesis were \(H_{a}: p \neq 0.5,\) what conclusion would you draw at the \(5 \%\) significance level? At the \(1 \%\) level?

Experiments on learning in animals sometimes measure how long it takes mice to find their way through a maze. The mean time is 18 seconds for one particular maze. A researcher thinks that a loud noise will cause the mice to complete the maze faster. She measures how long each of 10 mice takes with a noise as stimulus. The appropriate hypotheses for the significance test are (a) \(H_{0}: \mu=18 ; H_{a}: \mu \neq 18\). (b) \(H_{0}: \mu=18 ; H_{a}: \mu>18\). (c) \(H_{0}: \mu<18 ; H_{a}: \mu=18\) (d) \(H_{0}: \mu=18 ; H_{a}: \mu<18\). (e) \(H_{0}: \bar{x}=18 ; H_{a}: \bar{x}<18\).

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