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The \(z\) statistic for a test of \(H_{0}: p=0.4\) versus \(H_{a}: p \neq 0.4\) is \(z=2.43 .\) This test is (a) not significant at either \(\alpha=0.05\) or \(\alpha=0.01\). (b) significant at \(\alpha=0.05\) but not at \(\alpha=0.01\). (c) significant at \(\alpha=0.01\) but not at \(\alpha=0.05\). (d) significant at both \(\alpha=0.05\) and \(\alpha=0.01\). (e) inconclusive because we don't know the value of \(\hat{p}\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
(b) significant at \( \alpha=0.05 \) but not at \( \alpha=0.01 \).

Step by step solution

01

Identify the critical values

For a two-tailed test with significance level \( \alpha = 0.05 \), we look up the critical values from the standard normal \( z \)-table. These critical values are approximately \( z = \pm 1.96 \). For \( \alpha = 0.01 \), the critical values are approximately \( z = \pm 2.576 \).
02

Compare the test statistic to critical values

The given test statistic is \( z = 2.43 \). Compare this with the critical values at both significance levels:- For \( \alpha = 0.05 \), \(2.43 > 1.96\), so the test statistic is in the critical region.- For \( \alpha = 0.01 \), \(2.43 < 2.576\), so the test statistic is not in the critical region.
03

Decide significance

Since the test statistic \( z = 2.43 \) is within the critical region for \( \alpha = 0.05 \) but not for \( \alpha = 0.01 \), the test is significant at \( \alpha = 0.05 \) but not at \( \alpha = 0.01 \).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding the Z-Statistic
The z-statistic is a key concept in hypothesis testing. It represents the number of standard deviations a data point is from the mean. In simple terms, the z-statistic measures how extreme a test statistic is when compared to the null hypothesis assumption. For instance, in our problem, the z-statistic is 2.43. This value tells us how far away our sample proportion is from the hypothesized proportion under the null hypothesis, assuming the data follows a standard normal distribution. The larger the absolute value of the z-statistic, the more evidence there is against the null hypothesis. Understanding the z-statistic involves:
  • Calculating how a sample deviates from the population mean under the null hypothesis.
  • Interpreting this deviation in terms of standard normal distribution.
Importance of the Significance Level
The significance level, denoted by \( \alpha \), is a threshold used to decide whether a test result is statistically significant. Common levels are 0.05 and 0.01, which correspond to 5% and 1% respectively. At these levels, we define how confident we are in rejecting the null hypothesis.Choosing a significance level involves balancing the risk of Type I error (rejecting a true null hypothesis). A lower \( \alpha \) means you're more stringent, thus requiring stronger evidence to reject the null. In our exercise, different \( \alpha \) values determine whether our z-statistic falls into the critical region or not, influencing the decision of the test mechanism.
Critical Values in Hypothesis Testing
Critical values are the boundaries that separate the critical region from the non-critical region in a distribution. They are crucial in hypothesis testing because they help us decide whether to reject the null hypothesis.For a two-tailed test at \( \alpha = 0.05 \), the critical values are \( \pm 1.96 \), while for \( \alpha = 0.01 \), they are \( \pm 2.576 \). These values are derived from the standard normal distribution.Comparing the test statistic to these critical values determines its significance. If the test statistic falls beyond the critical values, it lies in the critical region, suggesting significant results against the null hypothesis.
Explaining a Two-Tailed Test
A two-tailed test is used when we are interested in deviations in either direction from the hypothesized parameter. In this test, the alternative hypothesis indicates that the population proportion is not equal (either higher or lower) to a specified value.This means that we are considering both extremes in the distribution: too high or too low relative to the mean. Therefore, the critical region encompasses both tails of the distribution. In our case, we have used a two-tailed test with critical values at both \( +z \) and \( -z \), reflecting the possibility of deviations in either direction away from the hypothesized mean. This approach ensures that we catch any significant differences, regardless of their direction.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In a recent year, \(73 \%\) of firstyear college students responding to a national survey identified "being very well-off financially" as an important personal goal. A state university finds that 132 of an SRS of 200 of its first-year students say that this goal is important. Is there convincing evidence at the \(\alpha=0.05\) significance level that the proportion of all first-year students at this university who think being very well-off is important differs from the national value, \(73 \% ?\)

Tests and CIs The \(P\) -value for a two-sided test of the null hypothesis \(H_{0}: \mu=15\) is 0.03 . (a) Does the \(99 \%\) confidence interval for \(\mu\) include \(15 ?\) Why or why not? (b) Does the \(95 \%\) confidence interval for \(\mu\) include \(15 ?\) Why or why not?

Explaining confidence (8.2) Here is an explanation from a newspaper concerning one of its opinion polls. Explain what is wrong with the following statement. For \(a\) poll of 1,600 adults, the variation due to sampling error is no more than three percentage points either way. The error margin is said to be valid at the 95 percent confidence level. This means that, if the same questions were repeated in 20 polls, the results of at least 19 surveys would be within three percentage points of the results of this survey.

A researcher looking for evidence of extrasensory perception (ESP) tests 500 subjects. Four of these subjects do significantly better \((P<0.01)\) than random guessing. (a) Is it proper to conclude that these four people have ESP? Explain your answer. (b) What should the researcher now do to test whether any of these four subjects have ESP?

You read that a statistical test at significance level \(\alpha=0.05\) has power 0.78 . What are the probabilities of Type I and Type II errors for this test?

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