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A $$ 95 \%$$ confidence interval for the mean body mass index (BMI) of young American women is \(26.8 \pm 0.6\). Discuss whether each of the following explanations is correct. (a) We are confident that \(95 \%\) of all young women have BMI between 26.2 and 27.4 . (b) We are \(95 \%\) confident that future samples of young women will have mean BMI between 26.2 and 27.4 . (c) Any value from 26.2 to 27.4 is believable as the true mean BMI of young American women. (d) If we take many samples, the population mean BMI will be between 26.2 and 27.4 in about \(95 \%\) of those samples. (e) The mean BMI of young American women cannot be 28 .

Short Answer

Expert verified
Correct explanations: (c) and (d).

Step by step solution

01

Understanding Confidence Interval

The given confidence interval is for the mean BMI of young American women: \(26.8 \pm 0.6\). This means the interval is from \(26.2\) to \(27.4\). A 95% confidence interval suggests that if we were to take many samples, about 95% of them would produce intervals that contain the true population mean.
02

Evaluating Explanation (a)

Explanation (a) is incorrect. A confidence interval for the mean does not predict that 95% of all individual women have a BMI within this range, but rather it estimates a population parameter (the mean BMI). The confidence interval does not refer to the distribution of individual observations.
03

Evaluating Explanation (b)

Explanation (b) is incorrect. The confidence interval provides an estimate for the current population mean; it does not predict future sample means. Different samples will generally produce different confidence intervals due to variability.
04

Evaluating Explanation (c)

Explanation (c) is correct. The interval \([26.2, 27.4]\) estimates the range of plausible values for the true mean BMI based on the sample data, considering the 95% confidence level.
05

Evaluating Explanation (d)

Explanation (d) is correct. If we take many samples, 95% of the constructed confidence intervals will contain the true population mean due to the nature of a 95% confidence interval, although this does not mean the population mean itself varies.
06

Evaluating Explanation (e)

Explanation (e) is incorrect. While the interval from \(26.2\) to \(27.4\) does not contain 28, this does not conclusively mean that the mean BMI cannot be 28. The interval suggests that 28 is not a plausible estimate of the current population mean based on this sample but does not rule it out entirely.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Mean BMI
Body Mass Index, or BMI, is a numerical value derived from a person's weight and height, commonly used to assess if an individual is underweight, normal weight, overweight, or obese. In statistical analysis, the mean BMI represents the average BMI value across a specific population group. In our exercise, the focus is on young American women. Calculating the mean BMI involves summing the BMI values of all individuals in the sample and dividing by the number of individuals. This result gives us an estimate of the central tendency for the BMI among this group. A confidence interval is then used to indicate the reliability of this mean BMI estimate, which provides a range of values that likely includes the true mean BMI for the entire population of young American women.
Young American Women
When we refer to 'young American women' in statistical studies, we are targeting a particular demographic group that can influence the statistical outcomes. Understanding the demographic characteristics is crucial because factors such as age, ethnic background, and socio-economic status can affect BMI. Researchers often define 'young' within a specific age range, such as 18-24 years old, to ensure clarity and consistency across studies. This demographic focus allows researchers to draw more relevant and accurate conclusions about BMI patterns, as the health and lifestyle factors affecting this group can differ greatly from those of older women or women from different cultural backgrounds.
Statistical Interpretation
Statistical interpretation is the process of making sense of the data by evaluating and drawing conclusions from statistical analyses. In the context of a confidence interval, it's about understanding what the interval implies regarding the mean BMI of the population. For example, a 95% confidence interval ( [26.2, 27.4] ) informs us that if we repeat this sampling method many times, we expect the true mean BMI to lie within this range 95% of the time. It's important to note that this interpretation doesn't imply that 95% of young American women have a BMI within this range. Rather, it gives us a degree of certainty about where the average value lies in relation to the entire population.
Population Parameter Estimation
Population parameter estimation entails using sample data to estimate a parameter, such as the mean BMI, for the whole population. In statistical practice, direct access to entire populations is often unfeasible, so samples are collected to make statistical inferences. To achieve a reliable parameter estimate, researchers use methods like confidence intervals. These intervals give a range within which the true population parameter is expected to fall, with a specific level of confidence. This process aids in understanding the population's health and wellness trends, remains critical for policy-making, and helps in setting public health guidelines. However, it's essential to remember that while an interval provides plausible estimates, it never guarantees certainty about a population parameter.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Stores advertise price reductions to attract customers. What type of price cut is most attractive? Experiments with more than one factor allow insight into interactions between the factors. A study of the attractiveness of advertised price discounts had two factors: percent of all foods on sale \((25 \%, 50 \%, 75 \%,\) or \(100 \%)\) and whether the discount was stated precisely (as in, for example, "60\% off") or as a range (as in "40\% to \(70 \%\) off"). Subjects rated the attractiveness of the sale on a scale of 1 to 7 . (a) Describe a completely randomized design using 200 student subjects. (b) Explain how you would use the partial table of random digits below to assign subjects to treatment groups. Then use your method to select the first 3 subjects for one of the treatment groups. Show your work clearly on your paper. $$\begin{array}{llllllll}45740 & 41807 & 65561 & 33302 & 07051 & 93623 & 18132 & 09547 \\\12975 & 13258 & 13048 & 45144 & 72321 & 81940 & 00360 & 02428\end{array}$$ (c) The figure below shows the mean ratings for the eight treatments formed from the two factors. \({ }^{32}\) Based on these results, write a careful description of how percent on sale and precise discount versus range of discounts influence the attractiveness of a sale.

What proportion of students are willing to report cheating by other students? A student project put this question to an SRS of 172 undergraduates at a large university: "You witness two students cheating on a quiz. Do you go to the professor?" Only 19 answered "Yes." \({ }^{12}\) (a) Identify the population and parameter of interest. (b) Check conditions for constructing a confidence interval for the parameter. (c) Construct a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for \(p .\) Show your method. (d) Interpret the interval in context.

Gambling is an issue of great concern to those involved in college athletics. Because of this concern, the National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) surveyed randomly selected student athletes concerning their gamblingrelated behaviors. \({ }^{17}\) Of the 5594 Division I male athletes in the survey, 3547 reported participation in some gambling behavior. This includes playing cards, betting on games of skill, buying lottery tickets, betting on sports, and similar activities. A report of this study cited a \(1 \%\) margin of error. (a) The confidence level was not stated in the report. Use what you have learned to find the confidence level, assuming that the NCAA took an SRS. (b) The study was designed to protect the anonymity of the student athletes who responded. As a result, it was not possible to calculate the number of students who were asked to respond but did not. How does this fact affect the way that you interpret the results?

You have an SRS of 23 observations from a large population. The distribution of sample values is roughly symmetric with no outliers. What critical value would you use to obtain a \(98 \%\) confidence interval for the mean of the population? (a) 2.177 (b) 2.183 (c) 2.326 (d) 2.500 (e) 2.508

One reason for using a \(t\) distribution instead of the standard Normal curve to find critical values when calculating a level \(C\) confidence interval for a population mean is that (a) \(z\) can be used only for large samples. (b) \(z\) requires that you know the population standard deviation \(\sigma\). (c) \(z\) requires that you can regard your data as an \(\mathrm{SRS}\) from the population. (d) \(z\) requires that the sample size is at most \(10 \%\) of the population size. (e) a \(z\) critical value will lead to a wider interval than a \(t\) critical value.

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