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If we take a simple random sample of size \(n=500\) from a population of size \(5,000,000,\) the variability of our estimate will be (a) much less than the variability for a sample of size \(n=500\) from a population of size \(50,000,000\) . (b) slightly less than the variability for a sample of size \(n=500\) from a population of size \(50,000,000\) . (c) about the same as the variability for a sample of size \(n=500\) from a population of size \(50,000,000\) . (d) slightly greater than the variability for a sample of size \(n=500\) from a population of size \(50,000,000\) . (e) much greater than the variability for a sample of size \(n=500\) from a population of size \(50,000,000\) .

Short Answer

Expert verified
(c) about the same as the variability for a sample of size \(n=500\) from a population of size \(50,000,000\).

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Problem

We are comparing the variability of estimates from two different scenarios. Both scenarios have the same sample size, \(n=500\), but different population sizes (\(5,000,000\) and \(50,000,000\), respectively). The goal is to determine how the variability of these estimates compares.
02

Recalling the Concept of Variability

The variability of an estimator, like the sample mean, is often measured by the standard error. The standard error of the mean is calculated as \( \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \), where \(\sigma\) is the population standard deviation. However, in large populations, when \(n\) is fixed, the population size does not significantly impact the variability measured by standard error.
03

Analyzing the Given Sample Sizes and Population Sizes

Given that the sample size \(n=500\) is a small fraction of both populations, and assuming both populations are large, the finite population correction factor is negligible. This means that the variabilities in both sample estimates will be approximately equal, assuming equal population variances.
04

Making the Comparison

Since the main determinant of variability in this case is the sample size \(n=500\), and not the total population size, the variability of the estimates from both scenarios (populations of \(5,000,000\) and \(50,000,000\)) will be about the same.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Size
In statistics, the concept of sample size is critical for understanding how accurate the results from a sample will be when estimating characteristics of a larger population. The sample size, denoted as \(n\), represents the number of observations or elements selected from the population for analysis. A larger sample size often leads to more precise estimates because it reduces the range of variability or error in the estimation process.

When assessing the influence of sample size, there are several important factors to consider:
  • Precision: As the sample size increases, the estimate becomes more stable and closer to the true population parameter.
  • Resource Allocation: Larger samples may provide more accurate results but require more resources, such as time and money, to collect and analyze.
  • Representativeness: Even with a large sample, it's critical to ensure the sample is representative of the population to avoid bias.
In our exercise, a sample size of \(n=500\) is used. This size is relatively adequate for reducing the variability in estimates, assuming the sample is randomly and appropriately selected.
Population Variability
Population variability refers to how much individuals in a population differ from one another. It's often quantified by the standard deviation, denoted as \(\sigma\). Variability influences the reliability and accuracy of estimates derived from a sample; higher variability means a sample might need to be larger to accurately represent the population.

Key aspects of population variability include:
  • Standard Deviation: This measures how spread out the values in a population are. A large standard deviation means values are more spread out, signaling a high level of variability.
  • Impact on Sample Size: When population variability is high, larger sample sizes are generally required to get precise estimates.
  • Finite Population Considerations: As in our problem scenario, with large populations, the actual size of the population becomes less relevant after a certain point when calculating variability, especially if the sample is a small fraction of the population.
In our exercise, although the populations are vastly different in size (5,000,000 vs. 50,000,000), this difference is negligible regarding variability when using the specified sample size of \(n=500\). Hence, the two scenarios exhibit similar variability.
Standard Error
The standard error (SE) is a statistical term that provides a measure of the variability or precision of a sample mean in relation to the population mean. It is calculated as \( \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \), where \(\sigma\) is the standard deviation and \(n\) is the sample size. The standard error decreases as sample size increases, which means larger samples often lead to more precise estimations of the population mean.

Understanding the role of the standard error involves:
  • Relation to Sample Size: With an increasing sample size, \(n\), the denominator in the standard error formula increases, thereby decreasing the standard error and making the estimate more precise.
  • Assumption of Population Variability: If population variability is unknown, sample data or previous studies are typically used to estimate \(\sigma\).
  • Population Size Relevance: For very large populations, the population size minimally affects the standard error, especially when the sample size is a very small portion of the total population size.
In the exercise, the equal sample size of \(n=500\) across two different population sizes results in a similar standard error, leading to comparable estimate precision for both scenarios.

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