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Blood types In the United States, 44\(\%\) of adults have type O blood. Suppose we choose 7 U.S. adults at random. Let \(X=\) the number who have type \(O\) blood. Use the binomial probability formula to find \(P(X=4)\) . Interpret this result in context.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that exactly 4 out of 7 adults have type O blood is 0.2312.

Step by step solution

01

Identify Parameters of Binomial Distribution

To solve using the binomial probability formula, first identify the parameters for the distribution: the number of trials (\(n\)) and the probability of success (\(p\)). Here, \(n = 7\), as we are choosing 7 adults, and \(p = 0.44\), since 44\(\%\) of adults have type O blood.
02

State the Binomial Probability Formula

The binomial probability formula is given by: \[ P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k} \]where \(k\) is the number of successes (having type O blood), \(n\) is the number of trials, and \(p\) is the probability of success.
03

Calculate the Probability

Substitute the known values into the formula:\[ P(X = 4) = \binom{7}{4} (0.44)^4 (1-0.44)^{7-4} \]Calculate each part:1. \(\binom{7}{4} = \frac{7!}{4!(7-4)!} = 35\)2. \(0.44^4 = 0.03763\)3. \(0.56^3 = 0.1756\)Thus,\[ P(X = 4) = 35 \times 0.03763 \times 0.1756 \approx 0.2312 \]
04

Interpret the Result

The calculation shows that the probability that exactly 4 out of 7 randomly chosen U.S. adults have type O blood is approximately 0.2312. Thus, when choosing 7 adults at random, there is about a 23.12\(\%\) chance that exactly 4 will have type O blood.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Blood Types
Blood types are crucially important for medical procedures such as blood transfusions. In humans, there are four main blood types: A, B, AB, and O. These types are determined by the presence or absence of certain antigens on the surface of red blood cells.

Type O blood is particularly interesting because it's often referred to as the "universal donor" type. This is because type O negative blood can be donated to individuals of any other blood type without causing an immune reaction.

In the United States, a significant proportion of the population, about 44\(\%\), possesses blood type O. This relatively high prevalence makes it a staple for emergency situations and thus a common topic of study in statistics.
Statistics
Statistics provides the tools and techniques we need to analyze data and make informed decisions. In the context of blood types, statistics can help us understand the distribution and prevalence of different blood types in a population.

Analytical methods in statistics, such as descriptive and inferential statistics, allow for understanding blood type frequencies within populations or among specific groups. Other common statistical functions involve estimating probabilities and risk factors associated with medical conditions linked to certain blood types.

When we sample a population to find the probability of a specific distribution—such as how many out of a select group have type O blood—we often use a statistical method called the binomial distribution, which calculates probabilities in systems with two possible outcomes.
Probability Distribution
A probability distribution describes how the values of a random variable are distributed. It tells us which values are more or less likely to occur. In our exercise, we're looking at a binomial probability distribution, which is used when there are two possible outcomes for each trial in a series of independent experiments.

The binomial distribution is characterized by a fixed number of trials, a known probability of success, and accounts for the number of trials that result in a specific outcome. It's often calculated using the binomial probability formula for precise probabilities.

For example, in the problem of finding the probability that 4 out of 7 adults have type O blood, each trial (selecting an adult) can either be a success (the adult has type O blood) or a failure (the adult does not have type O blood). The distinct binomial characteristic allows for exact calculations, which are vital for detailed statistical studies like those on blood types.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Multiple choice: Select the best answer for Exercises 101 to 105. Joe reads that 1 out of 4 eggs contains salmonella bacteria. So he never uses more than 3 eggs in cooking. If eggs do or don't contain salmonella independently of each other, the number of contaminated eggs when Joe uses 3 chosen at random has the following distribution: (a) binomial; \(n=4\) and \(p=1 / 4\) (b) binomial; \(n=3\) and \(p=1 / 4\) (c) binomial; \(n=3\) and \(p=1 / 3\) (d) geometric; \(p=1 / 4\) (e) geometric; \(p=1 / 3\)

Roulette Marti decides to keep placing a \(\$ 1\) bet on number 15 in consecutive spins of a roulette wheel until she wins. On any spin, there's a 1 -in- 38 chance that the ball will land in the 15 slot. (a) How many spins do you expect it to take until Marti wins? Justify your answer. (b) Would you be surprised if Marti won in 3 or fewer spins? Compute an appropriate probability to support your answer.

No replacement To use a binomial distribution to approximate the count of successes in an SRS, why do we require that the sample size \(n\) be no more than 10\(\%\) of the population size \(\mathrm{N}\) ?

Exercises 57 and 58 refer to the following setting. In Exercises 14 and 18 of Section \(6.1,\) we examined the probability distribution of the random variable \(X=\) the amount a life insurance company earns on a 5 -year term life policy. Calculations reveal that \(\mu_{X}=\$ 303.35\) and \(\sigma_{X}=\$ 9707.57\) Life insurance The risk of insuring one person's life is reduced if we insure many people. Suppose that we insure two 21 -year-old males, and that their ages at death are independent. If \(X_{1}\) and \(X_{2}\) are the insurer's income from the two insurance policies, the insurer's average income \(W\) on the two policies is $$W=\frac{X_{1}+X_{2}}{2}=0.5 X_{1}+0.5 X_{2}$$ Find the mean and standard deviation of W. (You see that the mean income is the same as for a single policy but the standard deviation is less.)

Suppose you toss a fair coin 4 times. Let \(X=\) the number of heads you get. (a) Find the probability distribution of \(X .\) (b) Make a histogram of the probability distribution. Describe what you see. (c) Find \(P(X \leq 3)\) and interpret the result.

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