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Spell-checking Spell-checking software catches "nonword errors," which result in a string of letters that is not a word, as when "the" is typed as "teh." When undergraduates are asked to write a 250 -word essay (without spell-checking), the number X of nonword errors has the following distribution: $$ \begin{array}{ccccc}{\text { Value of } X :} & {0} & {1} & {2} & {3} & {4} \\\ {\text { Probability: }} & {0.1} & {0.2} & {0.3} & {0.3} & {0.1} \\\ \hline\end{array} $$ (a) Write the event "at least one nonword error" in terms of \(X\) . What is the probability of this event? (b) Describe the event \(X \leq 2\) in words. What is its probability? What is the probability that \(X<2 ?\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) Probability is 0.9; (b) 'X ≤ 2' means 0, 1, or 2 errors; P(X ≤ 2) is 0.6, P(X < 2) is 0.3.

Step by step solution

01

Define 'At least one nonword error'

The event 'at least one nonword error' can be represented as the event where the number of errors, \(X\), is greater than or equal to 1. In mathematical terms, this is the event \(X \geq 1\).
02

Calculate Probability of At Least One Error

To find the probability of 'at least one nonword error', calculate the complement of the event where there are zero errors (\(X = 0\)). This is given by: \(P(X \geq 1) = 1 - P(X = 0)\). From the distribution, \(P(X = 0) = 0.1\). Thus, \(P(X \geq 1) = 1 - 0.1 = 0.9\).
03

Describe Event 'X ≤ 2'

The event \(X \leq 2\) means there are either zero, one, or two nonword errors in the essay. This encompasses the outcomes \(X = 0\), \(X = 1\), and \(X = 2\).
04

Calculate Probability of 'X ≤ 2'

The probability of \(X \leq 2\) is the sum of probabilities of \(X = 0\), \(X = 1\), and \(X = 2\). Therefore, \(P(X \leq 2) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) = 0.1 + 0.2 + 0.3 = 0.6\).
05

Calculate Probability of 'X < 2'

The event \(X < 2\) includes outcomes where there are either zero or one nonword error, corresponding to \(X = 0\) and \(X = 1\). Thus, the probability is \(P(X < 2) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) = 0.1 + 0.2 = 0.3\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Nonword Errors
Nonword errors happen during typing when the arrangement of letters does not form a legitimate word. For example, typing "teh" instead of "the". In the context of spell-checking, identifying and understanding nonword errors becomes crucial. While writing essays or documents, if spell-checking software is not used, it's common to find these errors. They are essential data points for analyzing behavior in typing and can indicate areas where one needs to improve their attention or typing accuracy.
Nonword errors are significant because they help in assessing the frequency and pattern of errors that occur during typing. By analyzing the distribution of nonword errors, one can determine how often users make mistakes over a typical set of words, like in a 250-word essay.
Complement Rule
The complement rule in probability tells us that the probability of an event occurring is 1 minus the probability of it not occurring. This is because the sum of probabilities of all possible outcomes of a random experiment is always 1. In simpler terms, if you know the probability of an event does not happen, you subtract that from 1 to get the probability of it happening.
  • This rule is particularly useful when calculating probabilities of more complex events by focusing on their simpler complements.
  • For instance, when calculating the probability of having at least one nonword error (i.e., at least one mistake), it's easier to calculate the probability of having no errors (zero mistakes) and then subtract that from 1.
The complement rule provides a handy shorthand for calculating probabilities, particularly when directly calculating them seems complicated. Knowing this rule can significantly streamline probability calculations.
Probability Calculation
Probability calculation is integral to understanding how likely an event is to occur. It involves adding probabilities of individual outcomes to find the total probability of an event. In the context of nonword errors, this involves summing up the probabilities of different numbers of errors in an essay. Here’s how it works:
  • To find the probability of an event, say, "at least one error," you might use the complement rule to simplify your work, finding the probability of "zero errors" first.
  • For calculating the probability of the event where the number of errors, \(X\), is less than or equal to 2, it involves adding the probabilities when \(X = 0\), \(X = 1\), and \(X = 2\).
In summary, probability calculations help to quantify uncertainties in real-world contexts, enabling clearer measurements of possible outcomes.
Discrete Random Variable
A discrete random variable is a type of variable whose possible values are countable and distinct. They often take on integer values, like the number of nonword errors in a written essay.
  • This type of variable is fundamental in probability and statistics because it relates to events that occur in a finite sample space.
  • In our example of a 250-word essay, the number of nonword errors, \(X\), can be 0, 1, 2, 3, or 4, making it a discrete random variable.
Discrete random variables help us model real-world scenarios where we observe the frequency or count of an event. They are particularly useful in scenarios where outcomes are distinct and separate. Understanding these variables is crucial as they form the building block for more complex statistical and probability analyses.

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