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Are you feeling stressed? (4.1) A Gallup Poll asked whether people experienced stress a lot of the day yesterday. Forty percent said they did. Gallup’s report said, “Results are based on telephone interviews with 178,545 national adults, aged 18 and older, conducted Jan. 2–June 30, 2009\(^{4}\) (a) Identify the population and the sample. (b) Explain how undercoverage could lead to bias in this survey.

Short Answer

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(a) Population: all national adults aged 18 and older; Sample: 178,545 interviewed adults. (b) Undercoverage bias may occur as those without telephones aren't represented.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Population

The population in a survey consists of the entire group of individuals or cases that we wish to learn about. In this exercise, the population refers to all adults aged 18 and older in the nation during the specified time period of the survey (January 2–June 30, 2009).
02

Define the Sample

The sample is a subset of the population that has been observed or collected for the study. Here, the sample includes the 178,545 adults who were interviewed via telephone for the Gallup Poll.
03

Explain Undercoverage

Undercoverage occurs when some members of the population are inadequately represented in the sample. If certain groups do not have access to a telephone, or choose not to use one and therefore cannot be reached through this survey method, they are not covered in the sample.
04

Assess Bias Due to Undercoverage

Undercoverage in this survey could lead to bias because the opinions and stress levels of those who do not use or have access to a telephone (such as certain socio-economic groups, younger adults who rely more on mobile phones, etc.) are not represented in the results, potentially skewing the findings.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Population vs. Sample
When conducting a survey, understanding the difference between a population and a sample is crucial. The **population** refers to the entire group of individuals that a study aims to draw conclusions about. In the context of the Gallup Poll we are considering, the population consists of all national adults aged 18 and older, during the period from January 2 to June 30, 2009. Simply put, these are the people whose stress levels the poll aimed to assess. On the other hand, the **sample** is the actual group of individuals selected from the population that are observed or questioned in a study. In this scenario, the sample comprises the 178,545 adults who participated in the telephone interviews. Sampling is necessary because it’s often impractical or impossible to survey an entire population due to cost, time, or logistics. Consequently, researchers select a smaller, manageable segment of the population, hoping it accurately represents the larger group.
Undercoverage Bias
Undercoverage bias occurs when certain groups within the population are not adequately represented in the sample. This can lead to skewed results, as some perspectives or experiences are missing from the data collected. In the Gallup Poll scenario, undercoverage could arise if particular socio-economic groups or regions were less likely to have access to a telephone. For instance:
  • Individuals who cannot afford landlines
  • People who primarily use mobile phones instead
  • Certain rural communities with limited telecom infrastructure
These groups might have different experiences of stress compared to those who were interviewed, leading to inconsistent survey results. Missing voices mean that the true stress levels of the entire population may not be accurately captured, potentially misleading the findings and public policies derived from them.
Sampling Bias
Sampling bias is a distortion in the sample that's caused when some members of the intended population are more likely to be included than others. This sort of bias can occur when the process of selecting a sample systematically favors certain outcomes. An example in the context of the Gallup Poll could be the reliance on telephone interviews, which might not reach demographics that are less likely to use or own a telephone. Such sampling bias skews the findings because the respondents – the sample – might not accurately represent the broader, diverse population. Overcoming sampling bias involves using more rigorous sampling techniques, such as random sampling, where every individual in the population has an equal chance of being chosen. This helps in ensuring that the sample is truly reflective of the population, reducing the risk of biased results.
Gallup Poll
The Gallup Poll is one of the most well-known surveys that regularly collects public opinion data on various topics, including stress levels, as in our exercise. For several decades, it has been a valuable tool for understanding social trends and public attitudes. In this example, the Gallup Poll conducted telephone interviews with 178,545 national adults to inquire about their stress levels. Using a large sample size has its benefits:
  • It can increase the reliability and validity of the results
  • It provides a more comprehensive representation of the population’s opinions
However, even with these advantages, certain limitations like undercoverage and sampling biases can still impact the authenticity of the findings. Fostering an awareness of these issues can help researchers and the public critically evaluate and interpret the results presented by such polls.

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