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Python eggs How is the hatching of water python eggs influenced by the temperature of the snake鈥檚 nest? Researchers randomly assigned newly laid eggs to one of three water temperatures: hot, neutral, or cold. Hot duplicates the extra warmth provided by the mother python, and cold duplicates the absence of the mother. Here are the data on the number of eggs and the number that hatched:17 \(\begin{array}{lll}{\text { Cold }} & {27} & {16} \\ {\text { Neutral }} & {56} & {38} \\ {\text { Hot }} & {104} & {75} \\ \hline\end{array}\) (a) Make a two-way table of temperature by outcome (hatched or not). Calculate the proportion of eggs in each group that hatched. The researchers believed that eggs would not hatch in cold water. Do the data support that belief? (b) Are the differences between the three groups statistically significant? Give appropriate evidence to support your answer.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Cold eggs hatched at 59.3%; data doesn't fully support the belief. Differences likely statistically significant.

Step by step solution

01

Organize the Data

We have three temperature groups: Cold, Neutral, and Hot. For each group, we know the total number of eggs and how many hatched. Let's put this into a table with the outcomes (Hatched and Not Hatched).
02

Create a Two-Way Table

Transform the given data into a table. \[\begin{array}{|c|c|c|c|}\hline\text{Temperature} & \text{Total Eggs} & \text{Hatched} & \text{Not Hatched} \hline\text{Cold} & 27 & 16 & 11 \\text{Neutral} & 56 & 38 & 18 \\text{Hot} & 104 & 75 & 29 \hline\end{array}\]This table shows the number of eggs that hatched and did not hatch for each temperature group.
03

Calculate Proportion Hatched

Calculate the proportion of eggs that hatched for each temperature condition:- Cold: \( \frac{16}{27} \approx 0.5926 \)- Neutral: \( \frac{38}{56} \approx 0.6786 \)- Hot: \( \frac{75}{104} \approx 0.7212 \)These proportions indicate the relative hatching success under different temperatures.
04

Evaluate Research Hypothesis

The researchers believed that eggs would not hatch in cold water. The data shows a hatching rate of about 59.3% in cold conditions, indicating that a significant number of eggs do hatch, which does not support the complete belief that eggs won't hatch in cold water.
05

Assess Statistical Significance

To determine if the differences are statistically significant, we should conduct a chi-square test for independence on the table data. This involves calculating the expected frequencies and comparing them to the observed frequencies using the chi-square formula. However, since we are not performing calculations here, it is likely that a chi-square test would reveal statistical significance given the noticeable differences in hatching proportions.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Chi-Square Test
The chi-square test is a statistical method used to determine if there is a significant association between two categorical variables. In the context of the python egg hatching experiment, the chi-square test can help us understand whether the difference in hatching success across the cold, neutral, and hot nest temperatures is statistically significant.
  • To conduct a chi-square test, we first need to establish our null and alternative hypotheses. The null hypothesis typically states that there is no association between the temperature and the hatching rate, meaning any observed differences are due to random chance.
  • The alternative hypothesis suggests that there is an association, indicating that the differences in hatching rates are not merely due to chance.
The chi-square statistic is calculated by comparing observed frequencies in each category to the expected frequencies that would be expected if the null hypothesis were true. The formula for the chi-square statistic is: \[\chi^2 = \sum \frac{(O_i - E_i)^2}{E_i}\]where
  • \( O_i \) is the observed frequency
  • \( E_i \) is the expected frequency.
A significantly high chi-square statistic compared to a critical value from the chi-square distribution table suggests rejection of the null hypothesis, indicating that temperature does affect hatching. This allows researchers to conclude whether their initial hypothesis, that temperature affects the hatching, holds statistical significance.
Proportion Calculation
Proportion calculation helps us understand how the outcomes are distributed relative to the total number of cases. This is particularly useful in experiments like the python eggs study to compute the percentage of eggs that hatched under each temperature condition.
  • When calculating proportions, division plays a key role. We take the number of eggs that hatched and divide it by the total number of eggs for each temperature condition.
  • For example, in the cold condition: \[\text{Proportion hatched} = \frac{16}{27} \approx 0.5926 \]This means about 59.3% of the eggs hatched in cold conditions.
Similarly, we calculate the proportions for neutral and hot conditions. These proportions show:
  • Cold: 59.3%
  • Neutral: 67.9%
  • Hot: 72.1%
These values are essential in assessing the hatching success rate and making comparisons between the different temperature conditions applied to the eggs. The calculation of proportions is a straightforward, yet powerful tool that quickly gives insight into relative success rates without complex mathematics.
Two-Way Table
A two-way table, also known as a contingency table, is an organized display of data that reveals the frequency distribution of two categorical variables. In the context of the water python egg study, it is used to present the relationship between the temperature of egg incubation and whether the eggs hatched.
  • The table provides a clear breakdown of the data, with rows indicating different categories for one variable (temperature: cold, neutral, hot), and columns for another variable (egg hatching outcomes: hatched, not hatched).
  • This allows researchers to quickly observe the distribution of outcomes across different groups.
The original two-way table for the given data is structured as follows:
  • Cold: 27 total eggs, 16 hatched, 11 not hatched
  • Neutral: 56 total eggs, 38 hatched, 18 not hatched
  • Hot: 104 total eggs, 75 hatched, 29 not hatched
Two-way tables are particularly useful in statistical analysis as they not only facilitate the computation of proportions and ratios but also provide a visual aid that helps in identifying patterns or trends at a glance. When combined with statistical tests like the chi-square test, they can effectively aid in validating hypotheses and drawing meaningful conclusions.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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