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Your math instructor brings a large, opaque jar to class one day, claiming it is filled with red, blue, and green candies. He says that there are 200 candies in the jar, all mixed up. Each of the twenty students in the class takes one piece of candy from the jar at random. Let \(x\) equal the number of selected red candies, let \(y\) equal the number of selected blue candies, and \(z\) equal the number of selected green candies. Give an expression in terms of \(x\) that gives your best estimate of the number of red candies in the jar. Do the same for blue candies (in terms of \(y\) ) and green candies (in terms of \(z\) ).

Short Answer

Expert verified
The estimates are 10x red candies, 10y blue candies, and 10z green candies.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Proportional Sampling

When each of the 20 students takes one candy, this forms a sample of 20 candies out of the 200 total. Therefore, the observed proportion in the sample is assumed to represent the proportion in the entire jar.
02

Establish the Ratio for Red Candies

The number of red candies selected is denoted by \(x\). The proportion of red candies in the sample is \(\frac{x}{20}\). Assuming this proportion holds for the entire jar, the estimated number of red candies in the jar would be \(\frac{x}{20} \times 200\).
03

Simplify the Expression for Red Candies

Simplifying the expression \(\frac{x}{20} \times 200\) gives \(10x\). This is the estimated number of red candies in the jar.
04

Establish the Ratio for Blue Candies

Similarly, for blue candies, where \(y\) is the number of blue candies selected, the estimated number in the jar is given by \(\frac{y}{20} \times 200\).
05

Simplify the Expression for Blue Candies

Simplifying \(\frac{y}{20} \times 200\) results in \(10y\). This represents the estimated number of blue candies in the jar.
06

Establish and Simplify the Expression for Green Candies

Lastly, for green candies, let \(z\) be the number selected. The estimated number of green candies is \(\frac{z}{20} \times 200\), which simplifies to \(10z\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sampling Theory
Sampling theory is a concept where a smaller sample is used to make inferences about a larger population. In the context of estimating the count of candies in the jar, each student selects one candy, creating a sample size of 20. This sample acts as a miniature representation of the entire jar.

By analyzing the sample, we assume that the proportion of each candy type in this sample is representative of the proportion in the whole jar. For example, if half of the candy selected is red, we would extrapolate that about half of the whole jar might also be red candies. This basic principle forms the foundation of many statistical inference techniques.

This method relies heavily on the assumption that the sample is random and unbiased. In practice, ensuring randomness can be quite challenging, but it is crucial for making accurate and useful predictions about the population.
Estimation
Estimation refers to making an educated guess about an unknown property or quantity in a population based on a sample. In the candy jar exercise, we use estimations to predict the total number of each candy type in the jar based on how many were selected by students.

For each candy color, we observe the ratio or proportion in the sample and apply it to the entire population in the jar. For example, if 7 out of 20 candies selected are red, this implies that \[x = \frac{7}{20}\] proportion of the sample is red.

Assuming that the sample is representative of the larger jar, we multiply this proportion by the total number of candies (200) to get an estimate of the number of red candies in the entire jar. The formula is:

\[\text{Estimated number of red candies} = \frac{x}{20} \times 200\], or simplified to \[10x\], where \(x\) is the number of red candies selected. This estimation helps us make sense of the larger picture even when dealing with limited information.
Ratios
Ratios are used to express the relationship between two or more quantities, showing how many times one value contains or is contained within the other. In our candy jar scenario, ratios come into play when comparing the number of candies of each color that are picked by the students.

The proportion calculated using ratios assists in projecting the likely composition of the entire jar. For example, say three candies are red, five are blue, and twelve are green out of a sample of twenty. The respective ratios—\[\frac{3}{20} \text{ red candies, } \frac{5}{20} \text{ blue candies, and } \frac{12}{20} \text{ green candies}\]—help set the stage for more precise estimations.

Such ratios provide a clear visual way of understanding how the parts relate to the whole. Learning to effectively calculate and interpret ratios is an essential skill in mathematics and many real-world applications, from budget planning to scientific calculations.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

There are five dining halls on your campus. One night, \(10 \%\) of the students eat at the first dining hall, \(20 \%\) eat at the second, \(40 \%\) eat at the third, \(15 \%\) eat at the fourth, and the remaining students eat at the fifth dining hall. If there are 2000 students at your school, how many students ate at the fifth dining hall?

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