/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 20 The coach of a Canadian universi... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

The coach of a Canadian university's women's soccer team records the resting heart rates of the 25 team members. You should not trust a confidence interval for the mean resting heart rate of all female students at this Canadian university based on these data because a. the members of the soccer team can't be considered a random sample of all female students at this university. b. heart rates may not have a Normal distribution. c. with only 25 observations, the margin of error will be large.

Short Answer

Expert verified
You should not trust the confidence interval because the sample is not randomly chosen, related to option a.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Problem

The problem asks us to evaluate why we should not trust a confidence interval for the mean resting heart rate for all female students at the university based on a sample from the women's soccer team.
02

Statement Analysis

Identify the reasons given in the problem that could impact the trustworthiness of a confidence interval. These include the sample not being random, potential non-Normal distribution of heart rates, and the small sample size leading to a large margin of error.
03

Analyze Option A

Option A states that the members of the soccer team are not a random sample of all female students. Since they're athletes, their heart rates may be systematically different from the average student, which invalidates the assumption of random sampling necessary for calculating a confidence interval.
04

Evaluate Option B

Option B points out that heart rates may not follow a Normal distribution. While the Central Limit Theorem helps with larger samples, this is less reliable with smaller samples, increasing the importance of the assumption of normality.
05

Consider Option C

Option C points to the issue of having only 25 observations, which could lead to a large margin of error. This is true but is not necessarily the primary reason to distrust the confidence interval, as the number of observations influences precision more than validity.
06

Conclusion

The main reason to distrust the confidence interval is because the sample is not randomly selected from all female students, as stated in Option A. While options B and C present valid concerns, the lack of a random sample directly affects the validity of using this sample to generalize.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Random Sampling
In statistics, random sampling is particularly important when trying to make generalizations about a population. It involves selecting individuals from a larger population where each individual has an equal probability of being chosen. This kind of sampling helps ensure that the sample you collect is representative of the population.
If a sample is not random, any analysis or resulting statistics may not accurately reflect the true characteristics of the whole population.
In the context of the exercise, the soccer team members are not a random sample of all female students. As athletes, they might have systematically different health characteristics, including varying resting heart rates, compared to non-athletes.
Without random sampling, assumptions based on the sample data could lead to skewed or biased results. The reliability of the findings can be compromised if such assumptions are used to infer details about the entire population without proper precautions.
Normal Distribution
Normal distribution, often known as the bell curve, is a fundamental concept in statistics. It's a symmetrical distribution where most data points cluster around the mean, with fewer points appearing as you move away from the center. The shape is influenced by the mean and standard deviation of the dataset.
When using a small sample size, assuming a normal distribution can be risky. Even if the population is normally distributed, its sample might not replicate that distribution due to random variation.
In Option B of the exercise, the idea that heart rates may not follow a normal distribution highlights a possible issue. While the Central Limit Theorem suggests that sampling means tend to a normal distribution with a sufficiently large sample size, this doesn't always hold true for smaller samples like our set of 25. Any deviation from normality could influence the accuracy of the confidence interval.
Sample Size
Sample size refers to the number of observations or data points in a data set. It plays a critical role in determining the accuracy and reliability of statistical measures like confidence intervals.
Larger sample sizes generally lead to more reliable and precise results. This is because they reduce the margin of error, providing a tighter range within which the true population parameter lies.
In the exercise, the sample size of 25 observations is relatively small. This could lead to a large margin of error, meaning the confidence interval is wider and less specific. However, this concern about sample size impacts precision more than the validity, making it less of a fundamental issue than non-random sampling, which directly questions the sample's ability to represent the entire population.
With a small sample, even if distribution assumptions are met, the results may not be as trustworthy and should be interpreted with caution.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Find the Error Probabilities. You have an SRS of size \(n=25\) from a Normal distribution with \(\sigma=2.0\). You wish to test $$ \begin{aligned} &H_{0}: \mu=0 \\ &H_{a}: \mu>0 \end{aligned} $$ You decide to reject \(H_{0}\) if \(x>0\) and not reject \(H_{0}\) otherwise. a. Find the probability of a Type I error. That is, find the probability that the test rejects \(H_{0}\) when in fact \(\mu=0\). b. Find the probability of a Type II error when \(\mu=0.5\). This is the probability that the test fails to reject \(H_{0}\) when in fact \(\mu=0.5\). c. Find the probability of a Type II error when \(\mu=1.0\).

Artery Disease. An article in the New England Journal of Medicine describes a randomized controlled trial that compared the effects of using a balloon with a special coating in angioplasty (the repair of blood vessels) compared with a standard balloon. According to the article, the study was designed to have power \(90 \%\), with a two-sided Type I error of \(0.05\), to detect a clinically important difference of approximately 17 percentage points in the presence of certain lesions 12 months after surgery. 14 a. What fixed significance level was used in calculating the power? b. Explain to someone who knows no statistics why power \(90 \%\) means that the experiment would probably have been significant if there had been a difference between the use of the balloon with a special coating and the use of the standard balloon.

Sampling at the Gour met Food Store. A market researcher chooses at random from men entering a gourmet food store. One outcome of the study is a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the mean of "the highest price you would pay for a bottle of wine." a. Explain why this confidence interval does not give useful information about the population of all men. b. Explain why it may give useful information about the population of men who shop at gourmet food stores.

Why Are Larger Samples Better? Statisticians prefer large samples. Describe briefly the effect of increasing the size of a sample (or the number of subjects in an experiment) on each of the following: a. The P-value of a test, when \(H_{0}\) is false and all facts about the population remain unchanged as \(\pi\) increases b. (Optional) The power of a fixed level \(\alpha\) test, when \(\alpha\), the alternative hypothesis, and all facts about the population remain unchanged

Is It Significant? In the absence of special preparation, SAT Mathematics (SATM) scores in 2019 varied Normally with mean \(\mu=528\) and \(\sigma=117\). Fifty students go through a rigorous training program designed to raise their SATM scores by improving their mathematics skills. Either by hand or by using the P-Value of a Test of Significance applet, carry out a test of $$ \begin{aligned} &H_{0}: \mu=528 \\ &H_{a}: \mu>528 \end{aligned} $$ (with \(\sigma=117\) ) in each of the following situations: a. The students' average score is \(x=555\). Is this result significant at the \(5 \%\) level? b. The average score is \(x=556\). Is this result significant at the \(5 \%\) level? The difference between the two outcomes in parts \((a)\) and (b) is of no practical importance. Beware attempts to treat \(\alpha=0.05\) as sacred.

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