/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 29 How well do people remember thei... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

How well do people remember their past diet? Data are available for 91 people who were asked about their diet when they were 18 years old. Researchers asked them at about age 55 to describe their eating habits at age 18 . For each subject, the researchers calculated the correlation between actual intakes of many foods at age 18 and the intakes the subjects now remember. The median of the 91 correlations was \(r=0.217\). \({ }^{10}\) Which of the following conclusions is consistent with this correlation? (a) We conclude that subjects remember approximately \(21.7 \%\) of their food intakes at age 18 . (b) We conclude that subjects remember approximately \(r^{2}=0.217^{2}=0.047\) of their food intakes at age 18 . (c) We conclude that food intake at age 55 is about \(21.7 \%\) that of food intake at age \(18 .\) (d) We conclude that memory of food intake in the distant past is fair to poor.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The best conclusion is (d): Memory of food intake in the distant past is fair to poor.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding Correlation

The task provides a correlation coefficient, denoted as \( r = 0.217 \), which measures the strength and direction of a linear relationship between two variables. A correlation value of 1 indicates a perfect linear relationship, while 0 indicates no linear relationship. A correlation of 0.217 implies a weak positive linear relationship between actual and remembered food intakes at age 18.
02

Meaning of Correlation Value

The correlation value \( r = 0.217 \) does not directly indicate a percentage of correctly remembered intakes. It does not mean that subjects remember 21.7% of their past intakes.
03

Squaring the Correlation Coefficient

When asked to interpret the strength of a correlation, one might consider \( r^2 \), also known as the coefficient of determination, which indicates the proportion of variance explained by the linear relationship. Here, \( r^2 = 0.217^2 = 0.047 \) or 4.7%, which means only 4.7% of the variance in remembered intakes can be explained by actual intakes.
04

Assessing the Options

Option (a) suggests 21.7% is directly remembered, which misinterprets \( r \). Option (b) aligns with \( r^2 \), suggesting people accurately remember a very small percent (4.7%) of their intake variance. Option (c) incorrectly relates current intake to remembered intake. Option (d), suggesting memory is fair to poor, reflects the weak correlation.
05

Choosing the Conclusion

Given \( r = 0.217 \) and \( r^2 = 0.047 \), the results align most closely with option (d). A weak correlation indicates memory is fair to poor, as only a small part of the variance is explained by their memory.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Coefficient of Determination
The coefficient of determination is a vital concept in statistics that helps us understand the relationship between two variables. It's often represented as \( r^2 \) and is derived by squaring the correlation coefficient \( r \). This value tells us how much of the variance in one variable is predictable from the other variable. In essence, it helps quantify the proportion of the "explained variance" in a data set.
For example, in a survey where people recall their dietary habits from many years ago, the correlation coefficient \( r = 0.217 \) suggests a weak linear relationship between actual and remembered intakes. Squaring this value, we get \( r^2 = 0.047 \), which means only 4.7% of the variation in remembered intakes can be explained by actual intakes.
  • High \( r^2 \): Indicates a strong relationship and high predictability.
  • Low \( r^2 \): Indicates a weak relationship with low predictability, as in our survey where memories don't align closely with past intakes.
Understanding \( r^2 \) is crucial for interpreting how much information in the dependent variable is accounted for by the independent variable in regression models.
Memory and Recall in Surveys
Memory and recall are critical when conducting surveys, especially those that rely on past experiences. Our memory can be quite fallible, and its accuracy can diminish over time. This is true in surveys where individuals are asked to recollect past eating habits.
One often faces limitations, such as:
  • Memory Decay: The longer the time span between the event and the recall, the less accurate the memory is likely to be.
  • Constructed Memories: Over time, memories can become distorted or altered, leading to recollections that aren't entirely true.
  • Social Desirability: There's a tendency for individuals to alter their memories to align with social norms or expectations.
In the specific study provided, participants attempted to remember dietary habits from age 18 when they were significantly older. With a median correlation of \( r = 0.217 \), it suggests their ability to recall correctly was indeed weak. The data show that people's memories are not very reliable for detailed dietary records from such a distant past.
Statistical Analysis of Dietary Habits
Statistical analysis plays a crucial role in understanding dietary habits. It helps us interpret data, identify patterns, and make sense of human behavior regarding food. In the context of our study, statistical tools were utilized to analyze the correlation between actual and remembered diets.
Analyzing dietary habits typically involves:
  • Data Collection: Accurate data collection is the foundation. This may involve personal records, surveys, or official databases.
  • Correlation Studies: Identifying relationships between various dietary aspects and health outcomes can be illuminating.
  • Descriptive Statistics: Means, medians, and modes help summarize the data, providing insights into typical dietary behaviors.
In this research, the weak correlation found highlights the challenge of relying solely on memory for dietary information. Statistical methods are essential here as they provide a quantifiable measure of recall's accuracy. They help validate findings, confirm assumptions, and guide further research to understand the broader impacts of dietary habits on health over a lifetime.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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