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91Ó°ÊÓ

Based on the sample, the large-sample \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of all American adults who actively try to avoid drinking regular soda or pop is (a) \(0.611 \pm 0.020\). (b) \(0.611 \pm 0.025\). (c) \(0.611 \pm 0.031\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
The answer is (b) \(0.611 \pm 0.025\).

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Problem

We need to find the correct confidence interval for the given proportion. The confidence interval is given as a point estimate plus/minus the margin of error.
02

Identifying the Components of a Confidence Interval

The confidence interval is represented as \( \hat{p} \pm E \), where \( \hat{p} \) is the sample proportion and \( E \) is the margin of error. Here, \( \hat{p} = 0.611 \).
03

Decoding the Options

Each option is presented in the format \( 0.611 \pm x \), where \( x \) is the margin of error. We need to select the option where the expression matches the confidence interval stated in the problem.
04

Selecting the Correct Option

Compare the given options:\( 0.611 \pm 0.020 \), \( 0.611 \pm 0.025 \), and \( 0.611 \pm 0.031 \). Determine which one fits the correct confidence interval description by considering the typical range of a 90% confidence interval margin for the proportion.
05

Final Decision

The correct option is \( 0.611 \pm 0.025 \), as this is a reasonable margin of error for a 90% confidence interval with a given point estimate close to 0.6.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Proportion
In statistics, a proportion is a type of ratio that compares a part to the whole. For instance, when we talk about the proportion of American adults who avoid drinking soda, we're comparing the number of adults who avoid soda to the total number of American adults. Understanding proportions is crucial to interpret data in a meaningful way.
A proportion is often expressed as a fraction, decimal, or percentage. Here, it is represented as decimal such as the sample proportion of 0.611 in our example. This means that about 61.1% of the sample group avoids drinking soda.
It's important to note that proportions offer insights into data trends and are fundamental in constructing confidence intervals for predictions about a population. By analyzing sample data, we can make educated inferences about the larger group based on the observed proportion.
Margin of Error
The margin of error is a vital part of interpreting confidence intervals in statistics, providing a range within which the true population proportion is expected to lie. It quantifies the uncertainty or variability inherent in the sample estimate.
For our example, the margin of error was given in options such as 0.020, 0.025, and 0.031. It is generally expressed as a plus or minus value (±) attached to the sample proportion, which creates an interval demonstrating potential fluctuation in the data.
The smaller the margin of error, the more precise the estimate of the population proportion is. A 90% confidence interval like the one in our example means that we are 90% confident that the true proportion of all American adults avoiding soda is within the margin of error range around the point estimate.
Sample Proportion
The sample proportion is a statistical estimate that provides an approximation of the true proportion of the population. It is symbolized as \( \hat{p} \) and calculated by dividing the number of successful outcomes by the total number of trials in a sample.
In our example, the sample proportion \( \hat{p} \) is 0.611, meaning 61.1% of the sample surveyed tries to avoid drinking soda.
This measure is a cornerstone of inferential statistics, as it serves as the best estimate for the population proportion when constructing a confidence interval. It plays a crucial role by serving as the reference point from where the upper and lower bounds of the confidence interval are calculated, allowing researchers to make predictions about an entire population based on a sample.

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