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In the 2015 NAEP sample of 12th-graders in the United States, the mean mathematics scores were 150 for female students and 153 for male students. To see if this difference is statistically significant, you would use (a) the two-sample \(t\) test. (b) the matched pairs \(t\) test. (c) the one-sample \(t\) test.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Use (a) the two-sample t test.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Hypothesis

We are comparing the mean mathematics scores between two independent groups: female students and male students. The goal here is to determine if the difference in their mean scores is statistically significant.
02

Identify the test type

The test to use depends on the nature of the data. Since we have two independent samples (female and male students), we should consider a test designed for comparing means across two groups.
03

Two-Sample vs. Matched Pairs

The two-sample t-test is used for independent samples, which we have in this scenario (female vs. male). The matched pairs t-test is used when the same group is measured twice, which does not apply here.
04

One-Sample Test Consideration

A one-sample t-test would apply if we were comparing one sample mean against a known or hypothesized population mean, which is not the case here since we are comparing two separate groups.
05

Conclusion of Test Selection

Given that we have two independent samples and wish to compare their means, the appropriate statistical test to use is the two-sample t-test to check for significant difference in mean scores.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Two-sample t-test
The two-sample t-test is a vital statistical method used when comparing the means of two independent groups. In the context of the NAEP sample of 12th-graders, we look at the mean mathematics scores for female and male students. The test helps us understand if the mean score difference between these two groups is significant or happened by random chance.
The two-sample t-test works by formulating a hypothesis such as: the mean scores for female and male students are equal. The test then uses sample data to calculate the likelihood of observing the given difference if the null hypothesis were true. If the resulting probability (often called the *p-value*) is below a predetermined threshold, we reject the null hypothesis, concluding that the difference in means is statistically significant.
This test is especially useful when you need to assess differences between two distinct groups, like gender differences in academic performance.
Hypothesis Testing
Hypothesis testing is a critical component of statistical analysis and research. It is the process of making inferences about population parameters based on sample data. In hypothesis testing, we start with a null hypothesis (typically, a statement of no effect or no difference) and an alternative hypothesis (a statement indicating the presence of an effect or difference).
In the example of NAEP mathematics scores, the null hypothesis might be that there is no difference in average scores between female and male students. The alternative hypothesis would be that a difference exists between the two groups.
The ultimate goal of hypothesis testing is to determine which hypothesis is more likely, based on the evidence provided by the sample data. The two-sample t-test aids in this process by helping us decide if the observed data strongly supports the alternative hypothesis. This decision-making is key to conducting a meaningful statistical analysis.
Independent Samples
Independent samples refer to groups in a study where the data is collected without pairing or grouping participants in either of the groups being compared. For example, the scores of female and male students in the NAEP test are considered independent samples.
It's crucial to note that the independence of the samples is a foundational assumption of the two-sample t-test. The integrity of our results depends on each participant's score in one group not being related to any participant’s score in the other group. If this assumption is violated, the test might return misleading results.
To summarize, treating samples as independent means acknowledging that there is no systematic connection between the groups, which is essential for the validity of our statistical analysis.
Statistical Significance
Statistical significance is a concept that quantifies whether a result observed in a dataset is likely due to a specific effect rather than random variation. In the scenario of the test scores, we aim to ascertain if the difference in mathematics scores between female and male students might arise merely by chance, or if there is a real, differentiating factor at play.
When conducting a statistical test like the two-sample t-test, we calculate a *p-value*. This value indicates the probability of observing a result as extreme as the test statistic, assuming that the null hypothesis is true. If the p-value is less than a predetermined threshold (usually 0.05), the result is deemed statistically significant, and we reject the null hypothesis.
Understanding statistical significance is crucial because it helps us evaluate whether our findings reflect genuine differences or are artifacts of random variability. This assessment not only ensures the reliability of research conclusions but also guides practical decision-making based on the data.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The 2015 National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) gave a mathematics test to a random sample of 12th-graders in the United States. The mean score was 152 out of 300 . To give a confidence interval for the mean score of all 12th-graders in the United States, you would use (a) the two-sample \(t\) interval. (b) the matched pairs \(t\) interval. (c) the one-sample \(t\) interval.

Credit card companies earn a percent of the amount charged on their credit cards, paid by the stores that accept the card. A credit card company compares two proposals for increasing the amount that its customers charge on their credit cards. Proposal 1 offers to eliminate the annual fee for customers who charge \(\$ 1800\) or more during the year on their card. Proposal 2 offers a small percent of the total amount charged as a cash reward at the end of the year. The credit card company offers each proposal to an SRS of 100 of its existing customers. At the end of the year, the total amount charged by each customer is recorded. Here are the summary statistics. $$ \begin{array}{lccc} \hline \text { Group } & n & x^{-} \bar{x} & s \\ \hline \text { Proposal 1 } & 100 & \$ 1319 & \$ 261 \\ \hline \text { Proposal 2 } & 100 & \$ 1372 & \$ 274 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ (a) Do the data show a significant difference between the mean amounts charged by customers offered the two proposed plans? Give the null and alternative hypotheses, and calculate the two-sample \(t\) statistic. Obtain the \(P\)-value, using Option 2. State your practical conclusions. (b) The distributions of the amounts charged on credit cards are skewed to the right. However, outliers are prevented by the limits that the credit card companies impose on credit balances. Do you think that skewness threatens the validity of the text that you used in part (a)? Explain your answer.

Lamb's-quarter is a common weed that interferes with the growth of corn. An agriculture researcher planted corn at the same rate in 16 small plots of ground, then weeded the plots by hand to allow a fixed number of lamb's-quarter plants to grow in each meter of corn row. No other weeds were allowed to grow. Here are the yields of corn (bushels per acre) for only the experimental plots controlled to have one weed per meter of row and nine weeds per meter of row: \({ }^{9}\) $$ \begin{array}{l|llll} \hline \text { One weed/meter } & 166.2 & 157.3 & 166.7 & 161.1 \\ \hline \text { Nine weeds/meter } & 162.8 & 142.4 & 162.8 & 162.4 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ Explain carefully why a two-sample \(t\) confidence interval for the difference in mean yields may not be accurate.

A research firm supplies manufacturers with estimates of the sales of their products from samples of stores. Marketing managers often look at the sales estimates and ignore sampling error. An SRS of 50 stores this month shows mean sales of 41 units of a particular appliance with standard deviation of 11 units. During the same month last year, an SRS of 52 stores gave mean sales of 38 units of the same appliance with a standard deviation of 13 units. An increase from 38 to 41 is a rise of \(7.9 \%\). The marketing manager is happy because sales are up \(7.9 \%\). (a) Give a 95\% confidence interval for the difference in mean number of units of the appliance sold at all retail stores. (b) Explain in language that the manager can understand why he cannot be confident that sales rose by \(7.9 \%\) and, in fact, may have dropped.

Twenty-nine college students, identified as having a positive attitude about Mitt Romney as compared to Barack Obama in the 2012 presidential election, were asked to rate how trustworthy the face of Mitt Romney appeared, as represented in their mental image of Mitt Romney's face. Ratings were on a scale of 0 to 7 , with 0 being "not at all trustworthy" and 7 being "extremely trustworthy." Here are the 29 ratings: \({ }^{22}\) \(\begin{array}{llllllllll}2.6 & 3.2 & 3.7 & 3.3 & 3.4 & 3.6 & 3.7 & 3.8 & 3.9 & 4.1\end{array}\) \(\begin{array}{lllllllllll}4.2 & 4.9 & 5.7 & 4.2 & 3.9 & 3.2 & 4.5 & 5.0 & 5.0 & 4.6\end{array}\) \(\begin{array}{lllllllll}4.6 & 3.9 & 3.9 & 5.3 & 2.8 & 2.6 & 3.0 & 3.3 & 3.7\end{array}\) Twenty-nine college students identified as having a negative attitude about Mitt Romney as compared to Barack Obama in the 2012 presidential election, were also asked to rate how trustworthy the face of Mitt Romney appeared. Here are the 29 ratings: \(\begin{array}{lllllllllll}1.8 & 3.3 & 4.3 & 4.4 & 2.5 & 2.6 & 3.5 & 4.2 & 4.7 & 2.5\end{array}\) \(\begin{array}{llllllllll}2.5 & 3.6 & 3.9 & 3.9 & 4.3 & 4.3 & 3.8 & 3.3 & 2.9 & 1.7\end{array}\) \(\begin{array}{lllllllll}3.3 & 3.3 & 3.9 & 4.3 & 4.1 & 3.8 & 3.3 & 5.3 & 5.4\end{array}\) (a) Do the sample means suggest that there is a difference in the mean trustworthy ratings between the two groups? (b) Make stemplots for both samples. Are there any obvious departures from Normality? (c) Test the hypothesis \(H_{0}: \mu_{1}=\mu_{2}\) against the one-sided alternative that students with a positive attitude rate Mitt Romney more trustworthy than those with a negative attitude. What do you conclude from part (a) and from the result of your test?

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