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Suppose that an SRS of 2500 eighth-graders has \(x^{-} x=285\). Based on this sample, a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for \(\mu\) is (a) \(4.31 \pm 0.086\) (b) \(285 \pm 4.31\). (c) \(282 \pm 4.31\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
The correct confidence interval is (b) \(285 \pm 4.31\).

Step by step solution

01

Understanding Confidence Interval

A confidence interval estimates a range within which we can expect the population parameter (mean, in this case) to lie, with a certain level of confidence, here 95%.
02

Given Information

We have a sample mean \(\bar{x} = 285\), and we want to determine the 95% confidence interval for the population mean \(\mu\).
03

Identifying Standard Error

The confidence interval is given by \(\bar{x} \pm z^{*} \cdot SE\), where \(z^{*}\) is the z-value for 95% confidence (approximately 1.96), and SE is the standard error of the mean.
04

Interpretation of the Options

The option (b) is structured as \(285 \pm 4.31\), the sample mean is provided directly with its confidence interval as margin, which is typical for listing a confidence interval.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Standard Error
The standard error (SE) is an important statistical concept that measures how much a sample mean \( \bar{x} \) deviates from the true population mean \( \mu \). It reflects the variability or spread of a sample mean when different samples are taken from the same population.

To calculate the standard error, one generally uses the formula:
  • SE = \( \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \) , where \( \sigma \) is the standard deviation of the population, and \( n \) is the sample size.
In many real-world scenarios, especially when the population standard deviation is not known, one might use the sample standard deviation as an estimate.

The smaller the SE, the closer our sample mean is likely to be to the population mean. A small SE indicates that if we were to take multiple samples from the population, the means of these samples would cluster tightly around the true population mean. Therefore, it is critical in constructing confidence intervals, which provide a range of values likely to include the population mean.

Population Mean
The population mean, often symbolized as \( \mu \), is a measure of central tendency that represents the average of all the values in a population. It is the point estimate that we aim to approximate or infer with data collected from a sample.

Since it is usually impractical to measure every individual in a large population, researchers use samples to estimate the population mean. This involves calculating the mean of the sample data and using statistical methods, like confidence intervals, to infer the population mean.

Constructing a confidence interval helps in providing an estimated range within which the actual population mean \( \mu \) is expected to lie, based on the sample data collected. In our exercise, the sample mean of 285 helps us formulate a confidence interval to estimate \( \mu \). Having such intervals gives insight into how accurate our sample mean is as an estimate of the population mean and the uncertainty associated with the estimate.

Sample Mean
The sample mean, denoted as \( \bar{x} \), is the average value of a sample and acts as an estimator of the population mean, \( \mu \). It is calculated by summing up all the observed values in the sample and dividing this total by the number of observations. In the exercise provided, the sample mean is given as 285.

The sample mean is often used because it is a simple, effective measure, and because the average of a sample is often a reasonable reflection of the average of a population. However, unlike the true population mean, which remains constant, the sample mean can differ between different samples.

By constructing a confidence interval around the sample mean, researchers can estimate the extent of variability expected between the sample mean and the population mean. This is crucial for decision-making and drawing inferences about the population, especially when direct access to the entire population is unrealistic.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Why are larger samples better? Statisticians prefer large samples. Describe briefly the effect of increasing the size of a sample on the margin of error of a \(95 \%\) confidence interval.

Confidence Level and Margin of Error. Example \(16.1\) (page 377) described NHANES survey data on the body mass index (BMI) of 654 young women. The mean BMI in the sample was \(x^{-} \bar{x}=26.8\). We treated these data as an SRS from a Normally distributed population with standard deviation \(\sigma=7.5\). (a) Give three confidence intervals for the mean BMl \(\mu\) in this population, using \(90 \%, 95 \%\), and \(99 \%\) confidence. (b) What are the margins of error for \(90 \%, 95 \%\), and \(9 \% \%\) confidence? How does increasing the confidence level change the margin of error of a confidence interval when the sample size and population standard deviation remain the same?

Sample Size and Margin of Error. Example \(16.1\) (page 377 ) described NHANES survey data on the body mass index (BMI) of 654 young women. The mean BMI in the sample was \(x^{-} \bar{x}=26.8\). We treated these data as an SRS from a Normally distributed population with standard deviation \(\sigma=7.5\). (a) Suppose that we had an SRS of just 100 young women. What would be the margin of error for \(95 \%\) confidence? (b) Find the margins of error for \(95 \%\) confidence based on SRSs of 400 young women and 1600 young women. (c) Compare the three margins of error. How does increasing the sample size change the margin of error of a confidence interval when the confidence level and population standard deviation remain the same?

Student study times. A class survey in a large class for first-year college students asked, "About how many hours do you study during a typical week?" The mean response of the 463 students was \(x^{-} \bar{x}=13.7\) hours. \({ }^{6}\) Suppose that we know that the study time follows a Normal distribution with standard deviation \(\sigma=7.4\) hours in the population of all first-year students at this university. (a) Use the survey result to give a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for the mean study time of all first-year students. (b) What condition not yet mentioned must be met for your confidence interval to be valid?

In the previous exercise, suppose that we computed a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for \(\mu\). Which of the following is true? (a) This \(90 \%\) confidence interval would have a smaller margin of error than the \(95 \%\) confidence interval. (b) This \(90 \%\) confidence interval would have a larger margin of error than the \(95 \%\) confidence interval. (c) This \(90 \%\) confidence interval could have either a smaller or a larger margin of error than the \(95 \%\) confidence interval. This varies from sample to sample.

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