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91Ó°ÊÓ

A researcher investigating the association between two variables collected some data and was surprised when he calculated the correlation. He had expected to find a fairly strong association, yet the correlation was near 0. Discouraged, he didn't bother making a scatterplot. Explain to him how the scatterplot could still reveal the strong association he anticipated.

Short Answer

Expert verified
A scatterplot can reveal non-linear associations missed by the correlation coefficient.

Step by step solution

01

Understand Correlation Coefficient

The correlation coefficient, usually denoted as \( r \), measures the strength and direction of a linear relationship between two variables. A correlation near 0 suggests no linear relationship, but it does not rule out other types of associations.
02

Consider Non-linear Associations

A near zero correlation doesn't mean there isn't a relationship; the relationship might be non-linear. The correlation coefficient can miss out on non-linear patterns, which can still show a strong association between the variables.
03

Generate a Scatterplot

By plotting a scatterplot, you can visually assess the relationship between the two variables. While a linear trend would align points in a line, other patterns such as curves, clusters, or circles may emerge, suggesting different types of associations.
04

Analyze Scatterplot Patterns

Upon examining the scatterplot, you might notice patterns indicating a non-linear relationship. For instance, a U-shaped curve, a parabola, or a cluster pattern would not be detected by the correlation coefficient but can still show a strong association.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Non-linear Relationships
In the world of data analysis, it's important to remember that not all relationships between variables are linear. **Non-linear relationships** refer to associations where changes in one variable do not result in constant changes in another variable.

These relationships can manifest in numerous forms, such as:
  • Curves (U-shaped or inverse U-shaped)
  • Parabolic patterns
  • Exponential or logarithmic trends
These kinds of relationships may be significant, yet remain undetected by the correlation coefficient. The correlation coefficient, represented as \( r \), is specifically designed to measure the strength and direction of linear relationships. So while \( r \) might be close to zero, indicating no linear association, a scatterplot may reveal a strong non-linear pattern that should not be overlooked. Understanding this can help identify meaningful connections between variables that are not immediately apparent through linear evaluation.
Scatterplot Analysis
A **scatterplot** is a visual tool used in statistics to display the relationship between two quantitative variables. When grappling with unexpected outcomes in correlation analysis, turning to a scatterplot can be enlightening.

Here's why scatterplots are so valuable:
  • They provide a visual representation of data, making it easier to identify patterns.
  • They allow us to spot non-linear relationships overlooked by the correlation coefficient.
  • They show clusters or outliers that might influence the interpretation of data.
In this context, a scatterplot is especially helpful. By examining the plotted points, one might uncover curves, clusters, or other forms of patterns that suggest a strong, albeit non-linear, relationship. Simply put, a scatterplot can reveal the true complexity and beauty of the data that might be hidden beneath linear metrics.
Correlation Coefficient Interpretation
Interpreting the **correlation coefficient** can be tricky if one assumes it tells the whole story. The correlation coefficient \( r \) ranges from -1 to 1, with 1 indicating a perfect positive linear relationship and -1 a perfect negative linear relationship.

Key points to consider in interpretation:
  • \( r = 0 \) suggests no linear relationship, but this does not imply there is no relationship at all.
  • The correlation coefficient alone doesn't account for non-linear relationships.
  • Collaborating a scatterplot with \( r \) is essential to grasp the full picture of the data.
To understand the association between variables comprehensively, one must recognize that low or zero correlation coefficients do not inherently denote lack of association. It's all about perspective. Rather than being discouraged by a low \( r \), using scatterplots to investigate further might reveal the strong, albeit non-linear, connection that was initially anticipated.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A polling organization is checking its database to see if the two data sources it used sampled the same zip codes. The variable Data source \(=1\) if the data source is Metro Media, 2 if the data source is Data Qwest, and 3 if it's Rolling Poll. The organization finds that the correlation between five-digit zip code and Data source is \(-0.0229 .\) It concludes that the correlation is low enough to state that there is no dependency between Zip Code and Source of Data. Comment.

Consider the following data from a small bookstore $$\begin{array}{|c|c|} \hline \begin{array}{c} \text { Number of Sales } \\ \text { People Working } \end{array} & \text { Sales (in }\$ 1000) \\ \hline 2 & 10 \\ 3 & 11 \\ 7 & 13 \\ 9 & 14 \\ 10 & 18 \\ 10 & 20 \\ 12 & 20 \\ 15 & 22 \\ 16 & 22 \\ 20 & 26 \\ \bar{x}=10.4 & \bar{y}=17.6 \\ S D(x)=5.64 & S D(y)=5.34 \\ \hline \end{array}$$ a) Prepare a scatterplot of Sales against Number of sales people working. b) What can you say about the direction of the association? c) What can you say about the form of the relationship? d) What can you say about the strength of the relationship? e) Does the scatterplot show any outliers?

Here are the number of domestic flights flown in each year from 2000 to 2010 (www. TranStats .bts.gov). $$\begin{array}{|l|l|} \hline \text { Year } & \text { Flights } \\ \hline 2000 & 7,905,617 \\ 2001 & 7,626,312 \\ 2002 & 8,089,140 \\ 2003 & 9,458,818 \\ 2004 & 9,968,047 \\ 2005 & 10,038,373 \\ 2006 & 9,712,750 \\ 2007 & 9,839,578 \\ 2008 & 9,376,251 \\ 2009 & 8,753,295 \\ 2010 & 8,685,184 \\ \hline \end{array}$$ a) Find the correlation of Flights with Year. b) Make a scatterplot and describe the trend. c) Why is the correlation you found in part a not a suitable summary of the strength of the association?

Medical researchers followed 1435 middle-aged men for a period of 5 years, measuring the amount of Baldness present (none \(=1,\) little \(=2,\) some \(=3,\) much \(=4\) extreme \(=5\) ) and presence of Heart Disease (No \(=0,\) Yes \(=1\) ). They found a correlation of 0.089 between the two variables. Comment on their conclusion that this shows that baldness is not a possible cause of heart disease.

Your Economics instructor assigns your class to investigate factors associated with the gross domestic product \((G D P)\) of nations. Each student examines a different factor (such as Life Expectancy, Literacy Rate, etc.) for a few countries and reports to the class. Apparently, some of your classmates do not understand Statistics very well because you know several of their conclusions are incorrect. Explain the mistakes in their statements below. a) "My very low correlation of -0.772 shows that there is almost no association between \(G D P\) and Infant Mortality Rate." b) "There was a correlation of 0.44 between \(G D P\) and Continent."

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