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Two companies market new batteries targeted at owners of personal music players. Dura Tunes claims a mean battery life of 11 hours, while RockReady advertises 12 hours. a) Explain why you would also like to know the standard deviations of the battery lifespans before deciding which brand to buy. b) Suppose those standard deviations are 2 hours for DuraTunes and 1.5 hours for RockReady. You are headed for 8 hours at the beach. Which battery is most likely to last all day? Explain. c) If your beach trip is all weekend, and you probably will have the music on for 16 hours, which battery is most likely to last? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified
DuraTunes is more likely to last both 8 and 16 hours, given their respective standard deviations and means.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Importance of Standard Deviation

The mean battery life gives the average time a battery lasts, but it doesn't tell how consistent or reliable that average is. Knowing the standard deviation helps us understand the variability or spread of the battery life. A smaller standard deviation means the battery life is more consistent, whereas a larger standard deviation indicates greater variability.
02

Comparison for 8-hour Use

Given the situation where you plan to use the battery for 8 hours, we check the likelihood of each battery lasting at least this long. The mean battery life for DuraTunes is 11 hours with a standard deviation of 2 hours, and for RockReady, it's 12 hours with a standard deviation of 1.5 hours. We use the normal distribution to assess probabilities. For DuraTunes: \( z = \frac{8 - 11}{2} = -1.5 \), and for RockReady: \( z = \frac{8 - 12}{1.5} = -2.67 \). The higher z-score of DuraTunes indicates it's more likely to last 8 hours.
03

Comparison for 16-hour Use

For a 16-hour use case, we again calculate the z-scores for both batteries. For DuraTunes: \( z = \frac{16 - 11}{2} = 2.5 \), and for RockReady: \( z = \frac{16 - 12}{1.5} = 2.67 \). Larger z-scores suggest a higher probability of not lasting. Here, RockReady has a higher z-score, indicating it's less likely to last. Therefore, DuraTunes is more likely to last 16 hours.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Battery Life
When you're shopping for a new battery, especially for something as crucial as your personal music player, understanding battery life is important. Most companies advertise the mean battery life to inform us of their product's average performance. However, this number alone doesn't paint a full picture. It's essential also to consider how consistent this battery life is from one use to another. In the context of deciding between DuraTunes and RockReady batteries, both companies provide a mean battery life: 11 hours and 12 hours, respectively. But speaking about consistency requires understanding the standard deviation, which tells us how much the battery life deviates from the mean. A smaller standard deviation implies more reliability and consistency in performance. So, knowing the standard deviation along with the average provides a more comprehensive outlook. Choosing a battery isn't just about which one lasts longer on average, but also which is more likely to last as promised. For instance, if one battery consistently lasts close to or even beyond its advertised average, you may find it a more dependable choice, particularly when planning long outings.
Normal Distribution
When dealing with battery life, normal distribution plays a crucial role in understanding and making predictions about how the battery will perform. Normal distribution is a statistical concept where data is symmetrically distributed and most values cluster around the mean value. This is commonly known as the bell curve. In our case of DuraTunes and RockReady, their battery life spans are assumed to follow a normal distribution. This means that while some batteries may last slightly longer or shorter than the average, the majority will be around the mean battery life. To decide which battery is likely to last your entire day at the beach or a weekend getaway, we use the z-score, which is a measure of how many standard deviations away a specific data point (like the 8-hour or 16-hour use mark) is from the mean. A key takeaway is that a higher z-score indicates a lower probability that a battery will last as long as needed because it measures deviations below the average. Understanding these statistical concepts aids us in estimating the likelihood of a battery lasting a particular time span based on normal distribution.
Probability Assessment
Probability assessment helps us determine which battery is more likely to perform to our expectations based on statistical data. The z-score calculation is pivotal here. This technique transforms battery life observations into a standardized format, allowing us to compare probabilities directly.For the scenario of spending 8 hours at the beach, calculating the z-score for DuraTunes gives \( z = \frac{8 - 11}{2} = -1.5 \), while for RockReady, it's \( z = \frac{8 - 12}{1.5} = -2.67 \). The greater negative z-score implies a lower probability of lasting, hence DuraTunes appears a better choice in this context due to its lower z-score.When evaluating for a 16-hour weekend beach trip, DuraTunes has a z-score of \( z = \frac{16 - 11}{2} = 2.5 \), and RockReady's is \( z = \frac{16 - 12}{1.5} = 2.67 \). The smaller z-score for DuraTunes in this instance suggests it is relatively more likely to last the full 16 hours. Understanding and calculating z-scores not only give us insights into battery life variability but help make informed decisions on which battery to opt for, reflecting the practical application of probability in everyday decisions.

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