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Assessment records indicate that the value of homes in a small city is skewed right, with a mean of \(\$ 140,000\) and standard deviation of \(\$ 60,000 .\) To check the accuracy of the assessment data, officials plan to conduct a detailed appraisal of 100 homes selected at random. Using the \(68-95-99.7\) Rule, draw and label an appropriate sampling model for the mean value of the homes selected.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The sampling distribution of the mean is approximately normal with mean $140,000 and standard deviation $6,000. Apply the empirical rule to find the typical ranges.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Problem Context

We are given a dataset with home values that are skewed right and have a mean value of $140,000 and a standard deviation of $60,000. A sample of 100 homes is selected for appraisal.
02

Determine the Distribution of the Sample Mean

According to the Central Limit Theorem, the sampling distribution of the sample mean will be approximately normal if the sample size is large, even if the underlying distribution is not normal. Here, the sample size is 100, which is large enough.
03

Calculate the Mean of the Sampling Distribution

The mean of the sampling distribution (\(\mu_\bar{x}\)) is equal to the mean of the population. Thus, \(\mu_\bar{x} = 140,000\).
04

Calculate the Standard Deviation of the Sampling Distribution

The standard deviation of the sampling distribution, also known as the standard error (SE), is obtained by dividing the population standard deviation by the square root of the sample size. \[SE = \frac{60,000}{\sqrt{100}} = 6,000\]
05

Apply the 68-95-99.7 Rule

Using the 68-95-99.7 rule (empirical rule), for normally distributed data: - 68% of the data falls within one standard deviation, - 95% falls within two standard deviations, - 99.7% falls within three standard deviations. 1. One standard deviation: \( [134,000, 146,000] = 140,000 \pm 6,000 \) (68%)2. Two standard deviations: \( [128,000, 152,000] = 140,000 \pm 12,000 \) (95%)3. Three standard deviations: \( [122,000, 158,000] = 140,000 \pm 18,000 \) (99.7%)
06

Draw and Label the Sampling Model

Draw a normal distribution curve. Mark the center at $140,000 and label the three ranges calculated in Step 5 that correspond to the 68-95-99.7 rule.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sampling Distribution
In the study of statistics, understanding the concept of sampling distribution is crucial. Imagine you have a large population, like the home values in a city, which are skewed. When we take a sample, say of 100 homes, and calculate their mean, this average is just one of many possible outcomes. When you repeat the sampling process multiple times, the means form what we call a sampling distribution.
This distribution of sample means will approximate a normal distribution if the sample size is large, regardless of the population's actual distribution, due to the Central Limit Theorem.
In our example, the skewed distribution of home values becomes less of a concern with a sample size of 100, as the sampling distribution of the means will be approximately normal.
Standard Error
Standard Error (SE) tells us how much the sample mean is expected to vary from the true population mean. It gives a measure of precision for the sample mean as an estimate of the population mean.
SE is calculated by taking the population standard deviation and dividing it by the square root of the sample size. Mathematically, it is represented as:
\[ SE = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \] where \( \sigma \) is the population standard deviation and \( n \) is the sample size.
In our case, with a population standard deviation of \( \\(60,000 \) and a sample size of 100, the standard error is \( \\)6,000 \). This means each sample mean is expected to vary by about \( \\(6,000 \) from the actual population mean of \( \\)140,000 \).
Normal Distribution
Normal distribution, often referred to as the bell curve, is a key concept in statistics due to its unique properties. A normal distribution is symmetric, with most data points clustering around the mean and tapering off as they move away.
When analyzing data such as our home values, even if the original data is skewed, the sampling distribution of the sample mean will be normally distributed if the sample size is large enough, courtesy of the Central Limit Theorem.
  • For our problem, because the sample size is 100, we can assume a normal distribution for the sample mean.
  • The mean of this distribution is the same as the population mean, \( \$140,000 \).
Understanding normal distribution is fundamental as it allows us to apply various statistical rules and predictions.
Empirical Rule
The Empirical Rule, also known as the 68-95-99.7 rule, provides insights into the distribution of data in a normal distribution:
  • 68% of data lies within one standard deviation of the mean.
  • 95% within two standard deviations.
  • 99.7% within three standard deviations.
Applying this to our scenario, using a standard error of \( \\(6,000 \):
- About 68% of the sample means would fall between \( \\)134,000 \) and \( \\(146,000 \).
- 95% fall within \( \\)128,000 \) to \( \\(152,000 \).
- Virtually all, or 99.7%, will be within \( \\)122,000 \) to \( \$158,000 \).
This rule is invaluable for making predictions and assessing variability in normally distributed data sets.

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