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Churches For your political science class, you'd like to take a survey from a sample of all the Catholic Church members in your city. A list of churches shows 17 Catholic churches within the city limits. Rather than try to obtain a list of all members of all these churches, you decide to pick 3 churches at random. For those churches, you'll ask to get a list of all current members and contact any 100 members selected at random. a) What kind of design have you used? b) What could go wrong with your design?

Short Answer

Expert verified
It's a cluster sampling design that may not represent the entire population effectively.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Design

The exercise description clearly states that 3 churches are chosen randomly from a list of 17 Catholic churches in the city. Then, within each selected church, 100 members are randomly selected to be surveyed. This technique of randomly selecting groups and then randomly selecting individuals within those groups is known as a cluster sampling method.
02

Identify Potential Issues

Cluster sampling might lead to a sample that is not representative of the entire population. Because the churches were chosen randomly, it is possible that the selected churches could share similar demographic characteristics that are not reflective of all Catholic Church members in the city. Additionally, selecting only 3 out of 17 churches may introduce bias if these churches have uniquely different characteristics than the rest.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Random Selection
Random selection is a critical component in sampling methods like cluster sampling. When you randomly select samples, including groups like churches, it ensures that each entity has an equal chance of being chosen. This helps to prevent personal biases from influencing the selection process. By picking churches randomly, the selection is fair and unbiased.
However, just because the selection process is random, doesn't always guarantee a perfectly representative sample. In this exercise, the churches and then later the members within them are selected randomly at different stages. This double-layer of random selection boosts the sample's potential to represent the wider population. The randomness counteracts favoritism and helps in generalizing results from the sample to the population. It's a fundamental strategy in surveys and experiments aimed at minimizing human error in the selection process.
Survey Design
A well-thought-out survey design is crucial for obtaining reliable outcomes. In this exercise, the survey design involves several steps:
  • Identifying the population: All Catholic Church members within a specific city.
  • Deciding the sampling method: Cluster sampling is chosen for this survey.
  • Implementing the selection mechanism: Choose 3 churches randomly, then picking 100 members randomly from each chosen group.
This design allows for significant coverage of the population without the need to survey every individual. Cluster sampling reduces logistical challenges and costs when conducting the survey. Nonetheless, attention must be paid to ensure the chosen clusters are as diverse as possible to maintain the study's integrity. Effective execution of survey design generally leads to compelling insights and conclusions without exhaustive resources.
Sampling Bias
Sampling bias can occur in any survey or study. It refers to errors introduced in the sampling process that cause certain members of a population to be less likely included in the sample than others. This bias can skew results and lead to inaccurate conclusions.
Cluster sampling is not immune to sampling bias. For instance, if the chosen churches happen to represent a specific demographic or have unique practices that differ significantly from other churches, the sample may not accurately reflect the entire city's Catholic church membership. Selecting only 3 out of 17 churches means potential biases might arise if these churches have characteristics that are not common to all other churches. It’s essential to recognize this shortcoming and consider methods to mitigate it, such as increasing the diversity of clusters or increasing the number of clusters sampled.
Demographic Characteristics
Demographic characteristics refer to statistical data about a population. They include information such as age, gender, income, and education level. In the context of the survey, it's crucial that the demographic characteristics of the selected sample align closely with those of the entire population. This ensures that the findings are relevant and applicable to the whole population.
It’s important to assess whether the 3 chosen churches differ demographically from the rest. If they do, the results might not accurately represent the city’s overall Catholic Church community. For instance, if all selected churches have predominantly older members while the city’s overall Catholic population is more age-diverse, this mismatch could affect survey results. Understanding these demographics helps in evaluating and enhancing the validity of survey conclusions. Ensuring that demographic characteristics across samples align with the broader community can improve the accuracy and utility of the survey outcomes.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Identify the following items possible ). If you can't tell, then say so - this often happens when we read about a survey. a) The population b) The population parameter of interest c) The sampling frame d) The sample e) The sampling method, including whether or not randomization was employed f) Any potential sources of bias you can detect and any problems you see in generalizing to the population of interest Drinking and driving In order to determine how adults of legal drinking age in their city feel about whether drinking and driving was a problem, researchers waited outside a bar they had randomly selected from a list of such establishments. They rolled a ten-sided die and it came up \(4,\) so they stopped the fourth person who came out of the bar, then every 10 th person after that, and asked whether he or she thought drinking and driving was a serious problem.

Roper Through their Roper Reports Worldwide, GfK Roper conducts a global consumer survey to help multinational companies understand different consumer attitudes throughout the world. Within 30 countries, the researchers interview 1000 people aged \(13-65 .\) Their samples are designed so that they get 500 males and 500 females in each country. (www.gfkamerica.com) a) Are they using a simple random sample? Explain. b) What kind of design do you think they are using?

Gallup World At its website (www.gallupworldpoll com) the Gallup World Poll describes their methods. After one report they explained: Results are based on face-to-face interviews with randomly selected national samples of approximately 1,000 adults, aged 15 and older, who live permanently in each of the 21 sub-Saharan African nations surveyed. Those countries include Angola (areas where land mines might be expected were excluded), Benin, Botswana, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Madagascar (areas where interviewers had to walk more than 20 kilometers from a road were excluded), Mali, Mozambique, Niger, Nigeria, Senegal, Sierra Leone, South Africa, Tanzania, Togo, Uganda (the area of activity of the Lord's Resistance Army was excluded from the survey), Zambia, and Zimbabwe.... In all countries except Angola, Madagascar, and Uganda, the sample is representative of the entire population. a) Gallup is interested in sub-Saharan Africa. What kind of survey design are they using? b) Some of the countries surveyed have large populations. (Nigeria is estimated to have about 130 million people.) Some are quite small. (Togo's population is estimated at 5.4 million.) Nonetheless, Gallup sampled 1000 adults in each country. How does this affect the precision of its estimates for these countries?

\- Accounting Between quarterly audits, a company likes to check on its accounting procedures to address any problems before they become serious. The accounting staff processes payments on about 120 orders each day. The next day, the supervisor rechecks 10 of the transactions to be sure they were processed properly. a) Propose a sampling strategy for the supervisor. b) How would you modify that strategy if the company makes both wholesale and retail sales, requiring different bookkeeping procedures?

Student Center Survey For their class project, a group of Statistics students decide to survey the student body to assess opinions about the proposed new student center. Their sample of 200 contained 50 first-year students, 50 sophomores, 50 juniors, and 50 seniors. a) Do you think the group was using an SRS? Why? b) What sampling design do you think they used?

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