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91Ó°ÊÓ

Consider each of these situations. Do you think the proposed sampling method is appropriate? Explain. a) We want to know what percentage of local doctors accept Medicaid patients. We call the offices of 50 doctors randomly selected from local Yellow Page listings. b) We want to know what percentage of local businesses anticipate hiring additional employees in the upcoming month. We randomly select a page in the Yellow Pages and call every business listed there.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The sampling methods in both situations are not appropriate due to potential bias and lack of representation.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Problem

First, identify the key elements of each situation. In part (a), we need to determine whether the method of randomly calling 50 doctors from Yellow Page listings will provide a representative sample for finding out what percentage accept Medicaid patients. In part (b), we need to assess if selecting one page and calling every business on it can accurately represent the hiring plans of all local businesses.
02

Analyze Sampling Method - Situation (a)

In situation (a), calling 50 randomly selected doctors from the Yellow Pages may not give an accurate representation since the list might not be comprehensive or updated. Additionally, using Yellow Pages could introduce bias if it doesn't list all doctors equally, such as those newer to the community or those not advertising there.
03

Analyze Sampling Method - Situation (b)

For situation (b), choosing one page from the Yellow Pages and calling every business on that page is likely to introduce significant bias. This approach doesn't ensure that all types of businesses are included, as the page may contain a cluster of similar types of businesses that do not represent the entire local business population.
04

Conclusion

Overall, both sampling methods are flawed. In situation (a), the random selection lacks breadth and might not be reflective of all doctors. In situation (b), the selection based on a single page introduces bias due to potential homogeneity of listed businesses.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Representative Sample
A representative sample is a critical concept in research and statistics, ensuring that the sample accurately reflects the population from which it is drawn. When a sample is representative, findings can be generalized to the larger population. This means that every relevant subgroup within the population should be proportionally included. Using the Yellow Pages to sample doctors, as in part (a) of the original exercise, may not produce a representative sample. This is because the directory might not list all practitioners, especially newer or less-publicized ones.

To enhance representativeness, the sample should be drawn from a comprehensive and updated list that includes all members of the population. For instance, using a professional medical registry or database would likely yield a more representative group of doctors. When evaluating sampling methods, always consider whether all segments of the population have been adequately represented.
Survey Bias
Survey bias occurs when the results of a survey are systematically skewed due to how the sampling or data collection is conducted. In situation (b) from the original exercise, selecting only one page from the Yellow Pages to call businesses can lead to survey bias. This sampling method might capture a narrow group, like mostly retail stores, if those happen to be clustered on that page.

Common types of survey bias include coverage bias, where some members of the population are inadequately represented because they are not included in the sample source. This can inadvertently skew results, as seen with the potential homogeneity of businesses on a single page. To minimize bias:
  • Use a diverse and complete list for sampling.
  • Ensure randomization covers all business types.
  • Verify that the sampling methodology includes all relevant sectors fairly.
Appropriate methods will help produce more reliable and valid results, allowing for accurate interpretations and decisions made from the survey data.
Random Sampling
Random sampling is a technique in which each member of a population has an equal probability of being selected. This method is often advocated to reduce bias and enhance the representativeness of samples. Random sampling was attempted in both situations of the original exercise but was flawed.

In part (a), randomly selecting 50 doctors from the Yellow Pages assumes that this list is unbiased and complete, which isn't guaranteed. In part (b), even though a random page was selected, there was no randomness in the selection of businesses because all businesses on a single page were chosen.

To properly implement random sampling, the sample should be drawn from an exhaustive list where each entry has an equal chance of selection. Consider using computerized random number generators to select participants, ensuring that every individual or business in the database has an equal opportunity to be picked. Proper random sampling helps ensure that the sample is both unbiased and truly representative of the entire population.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The Web site www.gamefaqs.com asked, as their question of the day to which visitors to the site were invited to respond, \({ }^{4}\) Do you ever use emoticons when you type online? "Of the 87,262 respondents, \(27 \%\) said that they did not use emoticons. a) What kind of sample was this? b) How much confidence would you place in using \(27 \%\) as an estimate of the fraction of people who use emoticons?

At its Web site (www.gallupworldpoll .com) the Gallup World Poll describes their methods. After one report they explained: Results are based on face-to-face interviews with randomly selected national samples of approximately 1,000 adults, aged 15 and older, who live permanently in each of the 21 sub-Saharan African nations surveyed. Those countries include Angola (areas where land mines might be expected were excluded), Benin, Botswana, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Madagascar (areas where interviewers had to walk more than 20 kilometers from a road were excluded), Mali, Mozambique, Niger, Nigeria, Senegal, Sierra Leone, South Africa, Tanzania, Togo, Uganda (the area of activity of the Lord's Resistance Army was excluded from the survey), Zambia, and Zimbabwe..... In all countries except Angola, Madagascar, and Uganda, the sample is representative of the entire population. a) Gallup is interested in sub-Saharan Africa. What kind of survey design are they using? b) Some of the countries surveyed have large populations. (Nigeria is estimated to have about 130 million people.) Some are quite small. (Togo's population is estimated at \(5.4\) million.) Nonetheless, Gallup sampled 1000 adults in each country. How does this affect the precision of its estimates for these countries?

Examine each of the following questions for possible bias. If you think the question is biased, indicate how and propose a better question. a) Should companies that pollute the environment be compelled to pay the costs of cleanup? b) Given that 18 -year-olds are old enough to vote and to serve in the military, is it fair to set the drinking age at \(21 ?\)

An online poll at a Web site asked: A nationwide ban of the diet supplement ephedra went into effect recently. The herbal stimulant has been linked to 155 deaths and many more heart attacks and strokes. Ephedra manufacturer NVE Pharmaceuticals, claiming that the FDA lacked proof that ephedra is dangerous if used as directed, was denied a temporary restraining order on the ban yesterday by a federal judge. Do you think that ephedra should continue to be banned nationwide? \(65 \%\) of 17,303 respondents said "yes." Comment on each of the following statements about this poll: a) With a sample size that large, we can be pretty certain we know the true proportion of Americans who think ephedra should be banned. b) The wording of the question is clearly very biased. c) The sampling frame is all Internet users. d) Results of this voluntary response survey can't be reliably generalized to any population of interest.

Prior to the mayoral election discussed in Exercise 15, the newspaper also conducted a poll. The paper surveyed a random sample of registered voters stratified by political party, age, sex, and area of residence. This poll predicted that Amabo would win the election with \(52 \%\) of the vote. The newspaper was wrong: Amabo lost, getting only \(46 \%\) of the vote. Do you think the newspaper's faulty prediction is more likely to be a result of bias or sampling error? Explain.

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