/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 2 Which of the following are true?... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

Which of the following are true? If false, explain briefly. a. If the null hypothesis is true, you'll get a high P-value. b. If the null hypothesis is true, a P-value of 0.01 will occur about \(1 \%\) of the time. c. A P-value of 0.90 means that the null hypothesis has a good chance of being true. d. AP-value of 0.90 is strong evidence that the null hypothesis is true.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Statement a is true while the statements b, c, and d are false. A high P-value indicates weak evidence against the null hypothesis, so it would not be rejected, not that it has a good chance of being true. The P-value is the probability of the observed data (or something more extreme), given that the null hypothesis is true and not the other way around. Furthermore, a P-value of 0.01 does not indicate it would occur 1% of the time.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding statement a

Statement a says 'If the null hypothesis is true, you'll get a high P-value.' This statement is generally true. If our null hypothesis is correct, then we would expect our test statistic to give us a P-value which is high (typically > 0.05) indicating a large likelihood of observing the data we have actually observed, within the frame of our null hypothesis.
02

Understanding statement b

Statement b says 'If the null hypothesis is true, a P-value of 0.01 will occur about 1% of the time.' This statement is false. The P-value is not a fixed percentage occurrence but is the exact probability of the test statistic being at least as extreme as what is observed assuming the null hypothesis is true. Hence a P-value of 0.01 does not mean it will occur 1% of the time.
03

Understanding statement c

Statement c states 'A P-value of 0.90 means that the null hypothesis has a good chance of being true.' This statement is false. A larger P-value indicates weak evidence against the null hypothesis, so we fail to reject it, but that doesn't mean null hypothesis is true. Therefore the P-value itself is not a direct measure of the probability of the null hypothesis being true.
04

Understanding statement d

Statement d says 'A P-value of 0.90 is strong evidence that the null hypothesis is true.' Similar to statement c, this is also false. A high P-value, i.e., 0.90, means that there is not much evidence against the null hypothesis, hence we fail to reject it. But it does not confidently confirm that the null hypothesis is true.

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis is a foundational aspect of statistical hypothesis testing. It is a default statement that there is no effect or no difference. In simpler terms, it proposes that any changes we observe in our experiment are by chance or random variation.
- For example, when testing a new drug, the null hypothesis might be that the drug has no effect on patients compared to a placebo. - It is not a statement about the likelihood of truth, but a stance taken to test against possible alternative outcomes.
In hypothesis testing, we either reject the null hypothesis or fail to reject it. Not rejecting the null does not prove it's true but suggests there's insufficient evidence to say otherwise.
Statistical Significance
Statistical significance is a concept used to determine if the results from the data analysis are meaningful. It helps ascertain if the observed patterns or differences in data are likely due to actual factors rather than random chance.
- The threshold for statistical significance is often set at a 0.05 level. This means that there is only a 5% chance that the results are due to random chance, and not actual effects. - Statistical significance does not measure the size of an effect or its importance—only the likelihood that an observation is due to chance.
This measure is crucial in making decisions in hypothesis testing. If results are statistically significant, it leads us to reject the null hypothesis.
Hypothesis Testing
Hypothesis testing is a procedure in statistics that allows us to test an assumption about a population parameter. It involves setting up two hypotheses: the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis.
- The null hypothesis states that there is no effect or no difference. - The alternative hypothesis suggests there is indeed an effect or difference.
The steps in hypothesis testing involve:
  • Setting up the hypotheses
  • Selecting a significance level (alpha)
  • Calculating the appropriate test statistic and P-value from the data
  • Making a decision to reject or not reject the null hypothesis based on the P-value and chosen significance level
Successful hypothesis testing enables researchers to make informed conclusions about their data.
P-Value Probability
The P-value is a key component in hypothesis testing, providing insight into the evidence against the null hypothesis. It is the probability of observing data as extreme as what was observed, assuming the null hypothesis is true.
- A small P-value (typically ≤ 0.05) suggests strong evidence against the null hypothesis, leading us to reject it. - A large P-value indicates weaker evidence against the null hypothesis, where we fail to reject it. - The P-value itself is not the probability that either the null or alternative hypothesis is true.
Understanding P-values is essential in interpreting statistical outcomes, and they help guide decisions in research. It is important to note that a non-significant P-value is not proof of the null hypothesis being true; instead, it only implies insufficient evidence to reject it.

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

In January \(2016,\) at the end of his time in office, President Obama's approval rating stood at \(57 \%\) in Gallup's daily tracking poll of 1500 randomly surveyed U.S. adults. (www.gallup.com/poll/113980/gallup-daily-obama- jobapproval.aspx) a. Make a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for his approval rating by all U.S. adults. b. Based on the confidence interval, test the null hypothesis that Obama's approval rating was essentially the same as his approval rating of \(52 \%\) when he was elected to his second term.

An artist experimenting with clay to create pottery with a special texture has been experiencing difficulty with these special pieces. About \(40 \%\) break in the kiln during firing. Hoping to solve this problem, she buys some more expensive clay from another supplier. She plans to make and fire 10 pieces and will decide to use the new clay if at most one of them breaks. a. Suppose the new, expensive clay really is no better than her usual clay. What's the probability that this test convinces her to use it anyway? (Hint: Use a Binomial model.) b. If she decides to switch to the new clay and it is no better, what kind of error did she commit? c. If the new clay really can reduce breakage to only \(20 \%,\) what's the probability that her test will not detect the improvement? d. How can she improve the power of her test? Offer at least two suggestions.

Highway safety engineers test new road signs, hoping that increased reflectivity will make them more visible to drivers. Volunteers drive through a test course with several of the new- and old-style signs and rate which kind shows up the best. a. Is this a one-tailed or a two-tailed test? Why? b. In this context, what would a Type I error be? c. In this context, what would a Type II error be? d. In this context, what is meant by the power of the test? e. If the hypothesis is tested at the \(1 \%\) level of significance instead of \(5 \%\), how will this affect the power of the test? f. The engineers hoped to base their decision on the reactions of 50 drivers, but time and budget constraints may force them to cut back to 20 . How would this affect the power of the test? Explain.

As in Exercise 29 ?, state regulators are checking up on repair shops to see if they are certifying vehicles that do not meet pollution standards. a. In this context, what is meant by the power of the test the regulators are conducting? b. Will the power be greater if they test 20 or 40 cars? Why? c. Will the power be greater if they use a \(5 \%\) or a \(10 \%\) level of significance? Why? d. Will the power be greater if the repair shop's inspectors are only a little out of compliance or a lot? Why?

In a drawer are two coins. They look the same, but one coin produces heads \(90 \%\) of the time when spun while the other one produces heads only \(30 \%\) of the time. You select one of the coins. You are allowed to spin it once and then must decide whether the coin is the \(90 \%\) - or the \(30 \%\) -head coin. Your null hypothesis is that your coin produces \(90 \%\) heads. a. What is the alternative hypothesis? b. Given that the outcome of your spin is tails, what would you decide? What if it were heads? c. How large is \(\alpha\) in this case? d. How large is the power of this test? (Hint: How many possibilities are in the alternative hypothesis?) e. How could you lower the probability of a Type I error and increase the power of the test at the same time?

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.