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Churches For your political science class, you'd like to take a survey from a sample of all the Catholic church members in your city. A list of churches shows 17 Catholic churches within the city limits. Rather than try to obtain a list of all members of all these churches, you decide to pick 3 churches at random. For those churches, you'll ask to get a list of all current members and contact 100 members at random. a. What kind of design have you used? b. What could go wrong with your design?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The survey is using a two-stage cluster sampling design. The design could be problematic because it might not capture the full spectrum of views among all church members, and churches with different sizes might be represented unequally.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the type of sampling

In this case, a two-stage cluster sampling design is being used. Firstly, three churches are being selected at random from the total of seventeen churches (first stage). Secondly, within those selected churches, a random sample of 100 members is chosen for the survey (second stage).
02

Discuss potential problems

There could be several issues with this design. Firstly, the sample might not be representative of the entire population as only three churches are selected out of seventeen. Members of different churches might have different views and opinions, all of which might not be represented in the sample. Secondly, selecting 100 members from each of the three selected churches could be problematic if the churches have vastly different membership size. A larger church will be underrepresented compared to a smaller one.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Two-Stage Sampling
Two-stage sampling is a method often utilized when dealing with large populations and it is not practical to study the entire group. It helps in simplifying the data collection process by dividing it into more manageable stages. Imagine a tree, where you first select branches (first stage) and then choose leaves from those branches (second stage).

In the context of the exercise, the first stage is the selection of three churches from the total of seventeen within the city. The second stage consists of choosing 100 church members at random from the selected churches for the survey. This approach is practical and cost-efficient, especially when the population is too large and spread out, making it hard to compile a complete list to sample from.
Survey Sampling
Survey sampling refers to the process of selecting a portion of the population to represent the entire group. It's like picking a handful of jellybeans from a jar to guess the overall flavor profile of all the jellybeans.

In your study, survey sampling is used to gauge the political views of Catholic church members. By carefully selecting a sample, you aim to draw conclusions about the larger population without needing to ask every single member. However, the most critical aspect of survey sampling is ensuring that your sample is as representative as possible for the results to be valid and reliable.
Representativeness of Sample
The representativeness of a sample is crucial. It determines how well your sample mirrors the characteristics of the population you're studying. Like a movie trailer that should tease the essence of the full film, your sample should reflect the larger population.

In the exercise, by selecting three churches randomly and then individuals within those churches equally randomly, you aim to have a microcosm that accurately reflects the variety of opinions and demographics present in all Catholic church members of the city. But if the chosen churches aren't reflective of the larger group (say, they are all from more affluent areas or cater to a specific demographic), the sample will provide skewed insights that do not genuinely represent the whole. To improve representativeness, one might consider factors such as church size, location, and demographics when selecting churches.
Sampling Problems
Sampling problems can skew the results and undermine the integrity of a study. Think of it like making a fruit salad but only grabbing apples - it's not going to give you the full picture.

The design in the exercise might face several challenges. For instance, the non-representative sample: if the selected churches differ significantly from those not chosen, you might end up with a biased view of the population's opinions. Another problem lies in proportionality; large churches contribute the same number of individuals to the sample as smaller ones, which can cause over- or under-representation issues. There's also the risk of non-response bias; not everyone selected to participate in the survey will respond, and those who don't might share common characteristics that won't be accounted for. Addressing these potential problems early on can vastly improve the quality and trustworthiness of the survey's findings.

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