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Test \(H_{0}: \mu=15\) vs \(H_{a}: \mu>15\) using the sample results \(\bar{x}=17.2, s=6.4,\) with \(n=40\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
Without the exact p-value, a definitive answer can't be given here. However, the process explained in the steps would yield either a rejection or failed rejection of the null hypothesis based on a comparison of the calculated p-value with the chosen level of significance.

Step by step solution

01

Formulate the hypothesis

The null hypothesis \(H_{0}: \mu=15\) states that the population mean is equal to 15. The alternative hypothesis \(H_{a}: \mu>15\) states that the population mean is greater than 15.
02

Calculate the Test Statistic

The test statistic in a one-sample t-test is calculated using the formula: \[T = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_{0}}{ \frac {s} {\sqrt{n}}} \]. Substituting the given values of it becomes: \[T = \frac{17.2 - 15}{ \frac {6.4} {\sqrt{40}}} \], now calculate the value.
03

Determine the p-value

The p-value is the probability of obtaining results as extreme as the observed results under the null hypothesis. Using a statistical software or table of the t-distribution, find the p-value associated with the calculated test statistic. Because it's a one-tailed test (due to the greater than sign in the alternative hypothesis), we'll only look at the tail area on the side of the test statistic to get the p-value.
04

Make a Decision

Based on the p-value obtained in step 3, make a decision about the null hypothesis. If the P-value is less than the significance level (commonly 0.05), then reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative hypothesis. If the P-value is greater than the significance level, do not reject the null hypothesis.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Hypothesis Testing
Hypothesis testing is a cornerstone of statistics, allowing researchers and analysts to make inferences about a population based on sample data. It begins with establishing two opposing hypotheses: the null hypothesis (ull) which is a statement of no effect or no difference, and the alternative hypothesis (ull) which suggests a new effect or difference.

In the featured exercise, hypothesis testing is used to determine if the sample data suggests that the population mean (ull) is greater than a specified value (in this case, 15). To do this, a test statistic is computed and compared against a critical value determined by the significance level, usually set at 0.05. If the test statistic falls beyond the critical value, the null hypothesis is rejected in favor of the alternative hypothesis.
p-Value
The p-value is a fundamental concept in hypothesis testing that measures the strength of the evidence against the null hypothesis. It is the probability of observing a test statistic as extreme as, or more extreme than, the one calculated from the sample data, if the null hypothesis were true.

In simpler terms, it helps us to decide whether our sample results are unusual under the assumption that the null hypothesis holds. The smaller the p-value, the stronger the evidence to reject the null hypothesis. If the p-value is less than a chosen significance level (typically 0.05), we say the results are statistically significant and it's reasonable to conclude against the null hypothesis.
Test Statistic
The test statistic is a standardized value that is calculated from sample data during a hypothesis test. It is used to decide whether to reject the null hypothesis. In a t-test, which is used when the population standard deviation is unknown, the test statistic follows a t-distribution.

For the exercise in question, the test statistic formula given is a function of the sample mean (ull), population mean under the null hypothesis (ull), sample standard deviation (s), and sample size (n). This formula allows us to compare the observed difference to the variability in the data. A larger absolute value of the test statistic indicates a greater departure from the null hypothesis.
Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis (ull) in testing is the baseline assumption that there is no effect or no difference. It is the default position that the treatment or change has no impact. The purpose of the null hypothesis is to provide an assertion that can be tested and possibly rejected in favor of an alternative hypothesis.

In the provided exercise, the null hypothesis is that the true mean is equal to 15 (ull). The goal of the t-test is to determine if there is enough evidence to reject this idea in favor of the alternative, stating that the mean is actually greater than 15.
Alternative Hypothesis
Contrasting with the null, the alternative hypothesis (ull) represents a new theory or belief that challenges the status quo of the null hypothesis. It defines what we would conclude if we find that the null hypothesis is not likely to be true.

In our context, the alternative hypothesis posits that the population mean is greater than 15 (ull). If we obtain a test statistic that falls beyond the critical value and results in a low p-value, we'll have enough justification to embrace this alternative view, suggesting that the population mean is, in fact, greater than 15.

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