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In Exercises 6.103 and 6.104 , find a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the mean two ways: using StatKey or other technology and percentiles from a bootstrap distribution, and using the t-distribution and the formula for standard error. Compare the results. Mean distance of a commute for a worker in Atlanta, using data in Commute Atlanta with \(\bar{x}=\) 18.156 miles, \(s=13.798,\) and \(n=500\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The exact values of the confidence intervals would depend on the exact computations, but as a rough approximation, the results from both methods should be similar and within an acceptable range of one another. Any large discrepancies between the results of the two methods would imply that an error might have occurred during calculations.

Step by step solution

01

Bootstrap Confidence Interval

Use a technology such as StatKey. Input the given data and set the percentile bootstrap confidence interval to 95%. The software will generate a range for the confidence interval.
02

T-Distribution Confidence Interval

Utilize the formula \(\bar{x} \pm t* (\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}})\), where \(\bar{x}\) = 18.156 miles, s = 13.798, and n = 500. The symbol 't*' represents the t-score, which, for a 95% confidence level and degrees of freedom (n-1 = 499), can be gathered from the t-distribution table or a calculator.
03

Calculate Standard Error

Calculate the standard error using the formula \(\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}\) that will be used in the confidence interval formula.
04

Compute Confidence Interval

Substitute the obtained values into the formula to calculate the low and high bounds of the confidence interval.
05

Compare the Results

Compare the confidence intervals produced from both methods. If they are similar, it validates the accuracy of both methods. If not, there might be an error in one method or the difference might be due to the difference between exact percentile based confidence interval and approximation using t-distribution.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Bootstrap Distribution
The bootstrap distribution is a powerful tool in statistics that helps to estimate the variability of a sample estimate. When we refer to a bootstrap distribution, we are typically talking about the distribution of a statistic based on resampling with replacement from an observed data set. This method involves:
  • Taking multiple samples (called resamples) from the original dataset, with replacement.
  • Calculating the statistic of interest (in this case, the sample mean) for each resample.
  • Building a distribution from these statistics to create a full picture of the estimate's variability.
This method is particularly useful when we don't want to make strong assumptions about the population from which the sample was drawn or when the sample size is relatively small.
By using the bootstrap distribution, we can create confidence intervals by taking percentiles from this distribution. For example, to create a 95% confidence interval, we can find the 2.5th and 97.5th percentiles from this bootstrap distribution.
T-Distribution
The t-distribution is a type of probability distribution that is symmetric and bell-shaped, similar to the normal distribution, but with heavier tails. It arises when working with small sample sizes, typically when the population standard deviation is unknown.
The key distinguishing feature of the t-distribution is that it takes into account sample size through its degrees of freedom, which is usually the sample size minus one (- 饾憶-1).
  • As the sample size increases, the t-distribution approaches the normal distribution.
  • For small sample sizes, the t-distribution provides a more conservative estimate by accounting for additional uncertainty.
In the exercise you are working on, the t-distribution is utilized alongside the sample data to compute the confidence interval by using the formula \[\bar{x} \pm t^* \left(\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}\right)\]where \(t^*\) is the t-score from the t-distribution table for the desired confidence level and degrees of freedom (499 in this case).
Standard Error
The standard error is a measure of the statistical accuracy of an estimate, specifically the sample mean in this context. It reflects how far the sample mean of the data is likely to be from the true population mean.
The formula for the standard error (SE) of the sample mean is:\[\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}\]
  • \(s\) is the standard deviation of the sample.
  • \(n\) is the sample size.
The smaller the standard error, the more precise the estimate is. In the exercise, calculating the standard error is an integral step when using the t-distribution to determine the confidence interval. It ensures that the variability of the sample mean is taken into account when estimating the population mean.
Mean Distance
The mean distance, in the context of this exercise, refers to the average commuting distance for workers in Atlanta. The mean, symbolized as \(\bar{x}\), is a measure in statistics that represents the central point of the data.
Calculating the mean is fundamental as it is used as a point estimate in constructing confidence intervals. Here, the mean distance is given as 18.156 miles.
This estimate serves as the 'center' around which the confidence interval is determined, both in the bootstrap method and when utilizing the t-distribution. The confidence interval gives a range that is believed to contain the true mean of the population, with a certain level of confidence, showing that the average commute falls somewhere within this interval.

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