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SKILL BUILDER 1 In Exercises 3.41 to \(3.44,\) data from a sample is being used to estimate something about a population. In each case: (a) Give notation for the quantity that is being estimated. (b) Give notation for the quantity that gives the best estimate. Random samples of people in Canada and people in Sweden are used to estimate the difference between the two countries in the proportion of people who have seen a hockey game (at any level) in the past year.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The population parameter that is being estimated is \( P_C - P_S \), and the statistic that gives the best estimate is \( p_C - p_S \).

Step by step solution

01

Identification of the Population Parameter

The quantity that is being estimated from the problem mentioned is 'the difference between the proportions of people who have seen a hockey game in the past year in Canada and Sweden'. Let's represent this population parameter as \( P_C - P_S \), where \( P_C \) is the proportion of people who have seen a hockey game in Canada and \( P_S \) is the same in Sweden.
02

Identification of the Sample Statistic

We are using random samples from each country to estimate the population parameter. So the quantity that gives the best estimate would be the difference between the sample proportions from each country. Let's denote this sample statistic as \( p_C - p_S \), where \( p_C \) is the sample proportion of people who have seen a hockey game in Canada, and \( p_S \) is the same in Sweden.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Proportion
When addressing the concept of sample proportion, we refer to the ratio of individuals in a sample meeting a certain criteria to the total number of individuals in that sample. For example, if a survey were conducted to determine how many people out of a selected group had seen a hockey game within the past year, the sample proportion (\( p \)) would be the number of people who had seen a game divided by the total number of surveyed individuals.

In the given exercise, sample proportions were denoted as \( p_C \) and \( p_S \) for Canada and Sweden respectively. It's important to gather a large enough sample size to ensure accuracy and diminish the impact of outliers or sampling errors, thus providing a reliable estimate of the population proportion.

Another point to note is that the accuracy of a sample as an estimate of the wider population depends significantly on how well the sample represents the entire population. This concept, known as representativeness, can greatly affect the reliability of the sample proportion as a proxy for the population proportion.
Population Proportion
While sample proportion refers to a subset, the population proportion encompasses the entire group of interest. In our hockey game example, the population proportion (\( P \) when referring to a general population) would be the actual ratio of all people in Canada or Sweden who have seen a hockey game in the last year.

Often, obtaining data for an entire population is impractical due to resource and time constraints, hence why we use sample data to estimate the population proportion. The exercise uses the notation \( P_C \) and \( P_S \) for the population proportions in Canada and Sweden, respectively.

Understanding the distinction between the sample and population proportions is fundamental in statistics as it guides how we interpret data and make predictions about larger groups based on sample findings. Sampling methods and techniques are tailored to maximize the likelihood that the sample proportion will accurately reflect the population proportion.
Difference Between Proportions
When we talk about the difference between proportions, we are comparing two sample or population proportions with the aim of understanding the relationship or disparity between them. The exercise presents a scenario requiring the estimation of the difference between the population proportions of people in Canada and Sweden who have seen a hockey game in the last year.

The formula used here for the difference between two population proportions is \( P_C - P_S \) while the difference between two sample proportions is represented as \( p_C - p_S \). This distinction is crucial since it helps us quantify the specific variation between groups from different populations.

In practical terms, calculating the difference between proportions can inform decisions, strategies, or policies relevant to the populations in question. For instance, understanding the difference in the popularity of hockey between Canada and Sweden could influence sports marketing strategies in both countries.
Confidence Interval
A confidence interval is a range of values that is likely to contain a population parameter with a certain level of confidence. Although not directly mentioned in the exercise, the concept is commonly used in estimation to account for the inherent uncertainty present when using sample data.

With reference to the previous concepts, a confidence interval would provide a range in which we believe the true difference between the population proportions (\( P_C - P_S \)) lies. It's calculated from our sample statistic (\( p_C - p_S \)) and accounts for variability within the data. The confidence level, usually expressed as a percentage (e.g., 95%), indicates the probability that the interval will capture the population parameter if we were to take many samples.

Understanding confidence intervals is essential when presenting and interpreting statistical estimates, as it provides context regarding the reliability of these estimates. It can be noted that wider confidence intervals suggest higher uncertainty in the estimate, while narrower intervals indicate more precise estimates, all else being equal.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Effect of Overeating for One Month: Correlation between Short-Term and Long- Term Weight Gain In Exercise 3.70 on page \(227,\) we describe a study in which participants ate significantly more and exercised significantly less for a month. Two and a half years later, participants weighed an average of 6.8 pounds more than at the start of the experiment (while the weights of a control group had not changed). Is the amount of weight gained over the following 2.5 years directly related to how much weight was gained during the one-month period? For the 18 participants, the correlation between increase of body weight during the one-month intervention and increase of body weight after 30 months is \(r=0.21 .\) We want to estimate, for the population of all adults, the correlation between weight gain over one month of bingeing and the effect of that month on a person's weight 2.5 years later. (a) What is the population parameter of interest? What is the best estimate for that parameter? (b) To find the sample correlation \(r=0.21,\) we used a dataset containing 18 ordered pairs (weight gain over the one month and weight gain 2.5 years later for each individual in the study). Describe how to use this data to obtain one bootstrap sample. (c) What statistic is recorded for the bootstrap sample? (d) Suppose that we use technology to calculate the relevant statistic for 1000 bootstrap samples. Describe how to find the standard error using those bootstrap statistics. (e) The standard error for one set of bootstrap statistics is 0.14. Calculate a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the correlation. (f) Use the confidence interval from part (e) to indicate whether you are confident that there is a positive correlation between amount of weight gain during the one-month intervention and amount of weight gained over the next 2.5 years, or whether it is plausible that there is no correlation at all. Explain your reasoning. (g) Will a \(90 \%\) confidence interval most likely be wider or narrower than the \(95 \%\) confidence interval found in part (e)?

To create a confidence interval from a bootstrap distribution using percentiles, we keep the middle values and chop off some number of the lowest values and the highest values. If our bootstrap distribution contains values for 1000 bootstrap samples, indicate how many we chop off at each end for each confidence level given. (a) \(95 \%\) (b) \(90 \%\) (c) \(98 \%\) (d) \(99 \%\)

3.34 A Sampling Distribution for Average Salary of NFL Players Use StatKey or other technology to generate a sampling distribution of sample means using a sample of size \(n=5\) from the YearlySalary values in the dataset NFLContracts2015, which gives the total and yearly money values from the contracts of all NFL players in 2015 . (a) What are the smallest and largest YearlySalary values in the population? (b) What are the smallest and largest sample means in the sampling distribution? (c) What is the standard error (that is, the standard deviation of the sample means) for the sampling distribution for samples of size \(n=5 ?\) (d) Generate a new sampling distribution with samples of size \(n=50 .\) What is the standard error for this sampling distribution?

SKILL BUILDER 2 In Exercises 3.45 to 3.48 , construct an interval giving a range of plausible values for the given parameter using the given sample statistic and margin of error. For \(\mu,\) using \(\bar{x}=25\) with margin of error 3 .

Exercises 3.112 to 3.115 give information about the proportion of a sample that agree with a certain statement. Use StatKey or other technology to find a confidence interval at the given confidence level for the proportion of the population to agree, using percentiles from a bootstrap distribution. StatKey tip: Use "CI for Single Proportion" and then "Edit Data" to enter the sample information. Find a \(95 \%\) confidence interval if 180 agree in a random sample of 250 people.

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